- Scientific papers: innovation … or imitation?John D. Cook
- CANSSI Distinguished Postdoctoral Fellowship, congrats Marouane!Freakonometrics
- Cactus Language • Syntax 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
- When are AI/ML models unlikely to help with decision-making?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Binomial number systemJohn D. Cook
- Introducing Category Theory (an almost final version)Logic Matters
- Anything you can do with Bayesian inference you can do in other ways. Bayesian inference is a bit like calculus: You can do derivatives and integrals without calculus (indeed, mathematicians in pre-Newtonian times were able to compute limits, with care), but calculus makes it a lot easier. Similarly, I find that Bayesian inference makes it a lot easier to combine information.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Musk vs. Trump is class Godzilla vs. RodanWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Specie invasive e come liberarseneMaddmaths!
- Erdős Lectures 2025: Mehtaab S. Sawhney, June 5,9 & 11Combinatorics and more
- introduction to Bayesian methods for the social sciences (18-22 Aug, Università della Svizzera italiana, Lugano)Xi'an's Og
- Rules vs StandardsComputational Complexity
- Additive and multiplicative persistenceJohn D. Cook
- Different sequences in narrative: why suspense can go flatStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Iterated logarithmJohn D. Cook
- Prometheus Unbound and the Great Pumpkin Theory of Technological InnovationWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Cactus Language • Syntax 3Inquiry Into Inquiry
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – XLVThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Decomposing a factorial into large factors (second version)What's new
- Decomposing a factorial into large factors (second version)What's new
- I Problemi di LeScienze – Maggio 2025 – Ghiaccio bollenteMaddmaths!
- BrieflyStats Chat
- Travels, 3Peter Cameron's Blog
- More on the emptiness of the government’s “gold standard science” sloganStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- a reason why the Dept of Education is needed (and so are independent universities)Xi'an's Og
- Survey Statistics: 2 flavors of calibrationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Approximation of Inverse, Inverse of ApproximationJohn D. Cook
- “Gold standard science”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Ethereum Foundation Talk and Conversation: A Critical View on Quantum Computing & A geometry day honoring Micha SharirCombinatorics and more
- The Unlikely Return of the "Progressives Should Be Nicer to Musk" NarrativeWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Roma Math Career Day 2025, aperte le iscrizioni!Maddmaths!
- Travels, 2Peter Cameron's Blog
- Cancer and exerciseStats Chat
- bridging ratio estimatorsXi'an's Og
- False witnessesJohn D. Cook
- On the number of exceptional intervals to the prime number theorem in short intervalsWhat's new
- On the number of exceptional intervals to the prime number theorem in short intervalsWhat's new
- Cactus Language • Syntax 2Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Houston’s long term planningJohn D. Cook
- Pascal’s triangle, the Ramanujan principle, and what makes something look like a part of an ellipse or a part a parabola?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- United Rugby Championship Predictions for the Semi-FinalsStats Chat
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 26Stats Chat
- Super Rugby Predictions for the Quarter-finalsStats Chat
- Rugby Premiership Predictions for the Semi-finalsStats Chat
- NRL Predictions for Round 14Stats Chat
- AFL Predictions for Week 14Stats Chat
- Complexity theory of hand-calculationsComputational Complexity
- Why the humanoid robot story mattersWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Referendum: il quorum visto da un matematicoMaddmaths!
- Io sono un platonista riformatoMaddmaths!
- AssnLab
- Marseille mais non Marseille!Xi'an's Og
- Survey Statistics: it is the peopleStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Gardener’s ellipseJohn D. Cook
- Fitting a parabola to an ellipse and vice versaJohn D. Cook
- Tannaka Reconstruction and the Monoid of MatricesThe n-Category Café
- Names in fiction (Perkus Tooth, Morrison Roog, Ragle Gumm, Addison Doug, Bodie Kane, and Thalia Keith)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Travels, 1Peter Cameron's Blog
- The tool/weapon duality of mathematicsMathematics under the Microscope
- Storie che contano: 5) Massimo Ferri, “5cm”Maddmaths!
- A drunk man will find his way home, but a drunk bird may get lost forever[UNTITLED BLOG]
- a novel discrepancy measureXi'an's Og
- Cactus Language • Syntax 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Linkage11011110
- The ellipse hidden inside Pascal’s triangleJohn D. Cook
- A Lean companion to “Analysis I”What's new
- A Lean companion to “Analysis I”What's new
- 10 Ph.D. positions in Torino – deadline 16 JuneEuropean Set Theory Society
- Online activities 2 – 8 JuneEuropean Set Theory Society
- The ladder of abstraction in statistical graphicsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Rivoluzioni matematiche: il Teorema di Stokes-Cartan di Chiara de FabritiisMaddmaths!
- Brussels snapshot [jatp]Xi'an's Og
- “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies”Shtetl-Optimized
- Stacking positive and negative cannonballsJohn D. Cook
- Statistical graphics: When does it make sense to introduce deliberate distortion to counteract an expected perceptual illusion?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- I'm as tired of the snark as you are. Let's do a fun robotics story.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Cosmin Pohoata and Daniel G. Zhu: Hypergraphic Zonotopes and AcyclohedraCombinatorics and more
- Il n. 17 di Didattica della Matematica è onlineMaddmaths!
- Bing’s metrization criterionDan Ma's Topology Blog
- Libé’s Cannes’tionaireXi'an's Og
- LLMs as behavioral study participantsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Russian roulette: You can have a deterministic potential-outcome framework, or an asymmetric utility function, but not bothStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Cactus Language • Preliminaries 17Inquiry Into Inquiry
- No one understands and explains the Age of the Business Idiot better than Ed ZitronWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- An episodic journey through the history of mathematics in forty short essays.The Renaissance Mathematicus
- crime stories, chain event graphs and a defence of Lucy Letby (by Jim Smith, 5 June, 5:30BST)Xi'an's Og
- Ecologists’ endless quest for automatic inferenceStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Hilltop StoryComputational Complexity
- How Mathematica Draws a DragonflyJohn D. Cook
- How often do the hands of a clock line up?John D. Cook
- Jerzy Neyman, Sigmund Freud, and Milton Friedman walk into a bar . . . (the mistaken association of null hypothesis testing with rigor)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Well, you have to admit, he can make things disappear.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- The bad version of a good testJohn D. Cook
- Logic at HUJICombinatorics and more
- [Undefined]https://jessecmckeown.tumblr.com/
- Typical weddingStats Chat
- The same configuration, highlighted in two different ways. Puzzle: How Many Desargues-Homologous…https://jessecmckeown.tumblr.com/
- the statistics of a genocideXi'an's Og
- Election analytics positions available at the New York TimesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Cactus Language • Preliminaries 16Inquiry Into Inquiry
- I know I am but what are you? Mind and Matter in Quantum MechanicsQuantum Frontiers
- The Actuary \| Modelling: At a CrossroadsFreakonometrics
- Taking our Models Seriously (my talk at StanBio Connect, this Friday 9am)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Trump, the Court and the Calculation: They will do anything for love, but they won't do that.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Risolvere un cruciverba sfruttando i segreti della percolazioneMaddmaths!
- A class of interesting permutation groupsPeter Cameron's Blog
- Shocking newsPeter Cameron's Blog
- Super Rugby Predictions for the Quarter-finalsStats Chat
- a journal of the chaos and hail yearXi'an's Og
- Simprocs for the Working MathematicianLean community blog
- Market and antimarket: The story of the Berkeley Electronic PressStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Memorial Day RepostWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Recent Academic EventsCombinatorics and more
- Ph.D. positions in Udine – Deadline 20 JuneEuropean Set Theory Society
- Online activities 26 May – 1 JuneEuropean Set Theory Society
- Some are Mathematicians, some are Carpenters' Wives, Some are Popes.Computational Complexity
- Representing octonions as matrices, sortaJohn D. Cook
- The most steampunk qubitQuantum Frontiers
- Mystery of the quincunx's missing quincunxThe Universe of Discourse
- Octonions sometimes associateJohn D. Cook
- Looking for keys under the lamppostJohn D. Cook
- Schubert on Sunday 12: Fantasy for Violin and Piano, D. 934Logic Matters
- Cactus Language • Preliminaries 15Inquiry Into Inquiry
- “Perplexing Plots”: Crime fiction, modernism, and the air of rigorStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Capitan America, Erdos o Bacon… chi è meglio?Maddmaths!
- Structured frameworks for complex systemsJohn D. Cook
- Dungeons, Dragons, and NumbersJohn D. Cook
- xkcd on radonStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- My favorite paper: H = WJohn D. Cook
- The fivefold symmetry of the quinceThe Universe of Discourse
- Categorial progress …Logic Matters
- “Exploratory data analysis” and “confirmatory data analysis” are the same thing.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Any excuse to post this videoWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Cactus Language • Preliminaries 14Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Mario Biagioli (1955–2025)The Renaissance Mathematicus
- Ph.D. positions in Udine – Deadline 20 JuneEuropean Set Theory Society
- Conference in Montpellier (France), on calibrationFreakonometrics
- Wilkinson’s polynomialJohn D. Cook
- Eunji Kim’s book, “The American Mirage: How Reality TV Upholds the Myth of Meritocracy”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- When they really want to tell a story...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Is mathematics useful?Peter Cameron's Blog
- The Schauder fixed point theorem and Leray-Schauder theory, part 3Hydrobates
- Interpolation instabilityJohn D. Cook
- Stephen Senn (guest post): “Relevant significance? Be careful what you wish for”Error Statistics Philosophy
- Link for fifth European Set Theory Colloquium, Thursday 22 MayEuropean Set Theory Society
- Drazin pseudoinverseJohn D. Cook
- Prior as data, prior as belief, prior as soft constraint, prior as unconditional distribution in a generative modelStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Effective graph resistanceJohn D. Cook
- The Schauder fixed point theorem and Leray-Schauder theory, part 2Hydrobates
- Cactus Language • Preliminaries 13Inquiry Into Inquiry
- What If We Had Bigger Brains? Imagining Minds beyond OursStephen Wolfram Writings
- “What happened in 2024”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Blog of RecordComputational Complexity
- Humanoid robots are the blockchain of 2025West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Bandwidth vs breadth-first search11011110
- Unveil Sources of Uncertainty: Feature Contribution to ConformalPrediction IntervalsFreakonometrics
- Multiplying a matrix by its transposeJohn D. Cook
- A bit-twiddling marvelJohn D. Cook
- “Can language models predict the next twist in a story?”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Quantum Duel in PragueCombinatorics and more
- Matrices of MatricesJohn D. Cook
- Coming to a vineyard near you...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Backward bifurcations and multistationarityHydrobates
- Exposé pour l’Institut des Actuaires, en FranceFreakonometrics
- Which AI coding assistant should I be using?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Probability of rolling a YahtzeeJohn D. Cook
- Test ScheduleStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- If only Arxiv required researchers to sign at the top rather than the bottom of the page, none of this would’ve happened.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- It's almost as if, bear with me here, it's more cost efficient to reduce the amount of carbon you're putting into the atmosphere than it is to try to capture it after the fact.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Graduation Days: A tale of two campusesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Is Satire Dangerous in the AI-Age?Computational Complexity
- Online activities 19 – 25 MayEuropean Set Theory Society
- Why were schools so slow to return to in-person instruction?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- IsarMathLib 1.33.0: ultrafilters, ultraproducts, hypernaturals, order on uniformitiesFormalized Mathematics
- Dead Stars Don’t RadiateAzimuth
- Cactus Language • Preliminaries 12Inquiry Into Inquiry
- An alternative Monty Hall problem. As with the usual Monty Hall problem, just set it up as a probability tree and it all works outStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- (Guest Post) Stephen Senn: “Delta Force: To what extent is clinical relevance relevant?” (reblog)Error Statistics Philosophy
- Struggles with surveying nonvoters and young votersStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- McLarty on ‘The roles of set theories in mathematics’Logic Matters
- Too many polls: “As news consumers, we’re like gluttons stuffing our faces with 5 potato chips at a time, just grabbing them out of the bag.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Criticism vs. Reviews vs. Meta-Reviews vs. Non-reviewsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Meteor Burst CommunicationsAzimuth
- Trinomial Coefficients and KingsJohn D. Cook
- Riff on an integration bee integralJohn D. Cook
- Proportionally Representative ClusteringAlgorithmics, Social choice, Market Design, and Other Topics
- Linkage11011110
- Using Stan to do sequential Bayesian updatingStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- More on humanoid robots -- who ya gonna believe?West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Integers 2025 CGT TalksCombinatorial Game Theory
- I trained neural nets on large cardinal axiomsAsaf Karagila
- A Bittersweet AnniversaryComputational Complexity
- The Lives They’re Living and this new biography of Elaine MayStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Possible Papal PostsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Souvenirs from Tunnel MountainNoncommutative Analysis
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – XLIVThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Confidence and Fairness: Scientific Foundations in AI and Risk, Workshop in ParisFreakonometrics
- Visions for the Future of PhysicsAzimuth
- Chaining Bayesian inference with priors constructed from posterior drawsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Leibniz's Dream and Dijkstra's nightmareMath ∩ Programming
- If this is happening in salt water, and the drinks are alcoholic, they will also float away; just…https://jessecmckeown.tumblr.com/
- The fractal nature of scientific revolutionsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- “How come I can’t breathe at home and y’all get to breathe at home?”West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Some variants of the periodic tiling conjectureWhat's new
- Some variants of the periodic tiling conjectureWhat's new
- Talk with CCR and chaire PARI, in Paris, on government intervention and welfareFreakonometrics
- Talk, Chaire ACTIONS, CNAM, ParisFreakonometrics
- Skolem’s paradox and the countable transitive submodel theorem, Leeds Set Theory Seminar, May 2025Joel David Hamkins
- My Graduate Career in MathMath ∩ Programming
- The Origins of Totalitarianism by Hannah ArendtHydrobates
- Postcard from AmsterdamLogic Matters
- AI in Systems Part 7: Final thoughtsLaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
- Bad advice all over the internetStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- A leftist filmmaker is interviewed in a leftist magazine about his recent pro-nuclear documentaryWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Online activities 12 – 18 MayEuropean Set Theory Society
- Random Thought on the New Pope (the actual New Pope, not the TV series). He was a math major!Computational Complexity
- Plotting truth vs. predicted valueStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Talks at Milliman R&D, ParisFreakonometrics
- A study is conducted on two groups. When does it make sense to report two separate estimates, and when does it make sense to just report the pooled estimate?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- A tool to verify estimates, II: a flexible proof assistantWhat's new
- A tool to verify estimates, II: a flexible proof assistantWhat's new
- AI in Systems Part 6: Assessment of the courseLaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
- Back before he was a vaccine denier, law professor Richard Epstein was a cliche-spinning dispenser of misinformationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- How can we say that Flow is a bad idea if Andreessen Horowitz invested a third of a billion dollars in it?West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A recent “brown bag” I gave in Philo at Va Tech: “What is the Philosophy of Statistics? (and how I was drawn to it)”Error Statistics Philosophy
- A descriptive theory of seasons in the Mid-AtlanticThe Universe of Discourse
- Arrivé à Paris pour une semaineFreakonometrics
- Cracking the Top Fifty!Shtetl-Optimized
- Don’t Hold Out On Me: Some thoughts on out-of-sample predictionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- AI in Systems Part 5: ProjectsLaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
- Using AI for ReviewsComputational Complexity
- Josh Marshal's understating how dysfunctional the titans of Silicon Valley have becomeWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- AI in Systems Part 4: Role of Generative AILaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
- Misattribution (when someone claims you said something that you’ve never said)–it’s kind of like plagiarism in reverse.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Another one for the lexicon: deerstalkerWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Hold the date!Peter Cameron's Blog
- High finance and higher education the legacy of Thomas GreshamThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Talk at ILAC (Institut Luxembourgeois des actuaires)Freakonometrics
- Opposing SB37Shtetl-Optimized
- Evaluation blind spots and eliciting moving targetsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- AI in Systems Part 3: Class discussions and assignmentsLaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
- “On Sociological Exploitation: Why the Guinea Pig Sometimes Bites”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- A few years ago Morgan Stanley released an analysis promising that the metaverse would soon be worth more than $5 trillion dollars. Their latest one on humanoid robots may not rise to that level of prescience.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Proving existence of the SVD directly without using the spectral theorem for selfadjoint compact operatorsregularize
- Talk in Lausanne, at the actuarial seminarFreakonometrics
- AISTATS ’25 Best Paper award—Margossian and Saul on exact recovery of means and correlation in VIStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
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