- The math behind voting by mailPunk Rock Operations Research
- What makes an MCMC sampler GPU-friendly?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Set Theory in the United Kingdom 14, Cambridge, 18 NovemberEuropean Set Theory Society
- “Ramified” means that around the point in question the projection map has the same behaviour as does…isomorphismes
- Test functions and [tempered] distributions require the notion of topological vector space ……isomorphismes
- Props to the liberal anticommunists of the 1930s-1950sStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Michael C. Bender is basically a Theodore H. White A.I.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Peter ZollernLab
- J. Ignacio CiracnLab
- trapped-ion quantum computingnLab
- L’IA ha difficoltà con problemi di matematica delle elementariMaddmaths!
- Excursion 1 Tour II (4th stop): The Law of Likelihood and Error Statistics (1.4)Error Statistics Philosophy
- A question for Nate Cohn at the New York Times regarding a claim about adjusting polls using recalled past voteStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- 45ième Marseille-Cassis [1:25:15, 698/19799, 4/598 M5M, 330m⁺, 17⁰-20⁰]Xi'an's Og
- Online activities 28 October – 3 NovemberEuropean Set Theory Society
- United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 7Stats Chat
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 9Stats Chat
- Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 7Stats Chat
- 2-adic numbering for binary tilings11011110
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 7Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Freakonomics does it again (not in a good way). Jeez, these guys are credulous:Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Band-limited expansionJohn D. Cook
- 10 years ago at the blog – – this one's gotten more relevant along at least a couple of dimensionsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Archimede 3/2024: speciale frattaliMaddmaths!
- Panel Discussion Questions from my Neyman Lecture: “Severity as a basic concept in philosophy of statistics”Error Statistics Philosophy
- Sculpting quantum steampunkQuantum Frontiers
- NYT catches up to Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social ScienceStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- OWAB [season] IXi'an's Og
- Random Thoughts on the ElectionComputational Complexity
- “Reduce likelihood of a tick bite by 73.6 times”? Forking paths on the Appalachian Trail.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Marseille – Cassis [45ième]Xi'an's Og
- Axiomatic Set Theory 6: GluingThe n-Category Café
- This one might possibly be interesting.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Delay differential equationsJohn D. Cook
- Comics&Science Palace 2024: scienza + intrattenimento a LuccaMaddmaths!
- Un nuovo, gigantesco, numero primo di Mersenne!Maddmaths!
- More neurons in the hidden layer than predictive features in neural netsFreakonometrics
- Triangulations of the SphereThe n-Category Café
- Triangulations of the SphereAzimuth
- Laplace transform inversion theoremsJohn D. Cook
- The Art of Uncertainty [not my book review]Xi'an's Og
- Mellin transform and Riemann zetaJohn D. Cook
- 39th Annual Meeting of the Canadian Econometrics Study Group (CESG), in TorontoFreakonometrics
- Prediction markets and the need for “dumb money” as well as “smart money”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- More MortWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Al Festival della Scienza a Genova la duplice sfida delle donne matematicheMaddmaths!
- Una chiacchierata sulla topologia: 7 – Ma cosa sono le varietà?Maddmaths!
- Nature tidbits [and garbage out]Xi'an's Og
- Flatiron Institute hiring: postdocs, joint faculty, and permanent research positionsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Z-functornLab
- Postdoc opportunity! to work with me here at Columbia! on Bayesian workflow! for contamination models! With some wonderful collaborators!!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Risques, nouveau numéro (139)Freakonometrics
- A traditional Republican's case against DobbsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Geometric model of particles: a didactical approachDoc Madhattan
- La Matematica al Festival della Scienza 2024Maddmaths!
- Sawtooth wavesJohn D. Cook
- Moving to Utrecht UniversityPieter Belmans
- Duh?!Xi'an's Og
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 6Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Family Feud vs PointlessComputational Complexity
- Which book should you read first, Active Statistics or Regression and Other Stories?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Abortion -- Secondary and Tertiary EffectsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – XXXIIThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- MathSpeak, il primo protocollo per parlare matematicoMaddmaths!
- à la journée François PerronXi'an's Og
- I Calendari dei Rudi MathematiciMaddmaths!
- Response to Ben Recht’s post (“What is Statistics’ Purpose?”) on my Neyman seminar (ii)Error Statistics Philosophy
- ChatGPT o1-preview can code StanStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Pioneering work is uglyJohn D. Cook
- 3M misconduct regarding knowledge of “forever chemicals”: As is so often the case, the problem was in open sight for a long time before anything was doneStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Ten years ago at the blog -- turns out this wasn't nearly the stupidest thing Marc Andreessen was saying.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- 6th Hausdorff Medal 2024European Set Theory Society
- United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 6Stats Chat
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 8Stats Chat
- Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 6Stats Chat
- Bunnings NPC Predictions for the FinalStats Chat
- London Grammar: The Greatest LoveXi'an's Og
- Octoberfest 2024The n-Category Café
- New Mersenne prime foundJohn D. Cook
- Supporting Bayesian modeling workflows with iterative filtering for multiverse analysisStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The MAGA and the Gender Gap Thread -- Mister Robinson's NeighborhoodWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Mid-Atlantic Mathematical Logic Seminar, Rutgers 1 – 3 NovemberEuropean Set Theory Society
- Online activities 21 – 27 OctoberEuropean Set Theory Society
- Quella strega dell’AgnesiMaddmaths!
- Contrast an Episode of Columbo with the recent Nobel PrizesComputational Complexity
- Octoberfest 2024Azimuth
- and it only gets better [?!]Xi'an's Og
- Oregon beersXi'an's Og
- Moshe Vardi: What is Theoretical Computer Science?Combinatorics and more
- What is the purpose of a methods section?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Helgö TreasureAzimuth
- Channel capacity of a telegraphJohn D. Cook
- IMS Program “Algorithmics of Fair Division and Social Choice”Turing's Invisible Hand
- Carroll/Langer: Credulous, scientist-as-hero reporting from a podcaster who should know betterStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The m=√p rule for random forestsFreakonometrics
- My podcast with Brian GreeneShtetl-Optimized
- Axiomatic Set Theory 5: RelationsThe n-Category Café
- “It’s a very short jump from believing kale smoothies are a cure for cancer to denying the Holocaust happened.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- RFK jr. went from one end of the political spectrum to the other. That was a bit of a family tradition.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Columbia Surgery Prof Fake Data Update . . . (yes, he’s still being promoted on the university webpage)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- CASdatasets 1.2.0Freakonometrics
- Splines for graph drawing theory11011110
- Squares, triangles, and octalJohn D. Cook
- Associahedra in Quantum Field TheoryThe n-Category Café
- Basic probability in MathlibLean community blog
- Different perspectives on the claims in the paper, The Colonial Origins of Comparative DevelopmentStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- New group Blog: randomstrasse101Relax and Conquer
- Does a mechanical Turk bartender count?West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Excursion 1 Tour I (3rd stop): The Current State of Play in Statistical Foundations: A View From a Hot-Air Balloon (1.3)Error Statistics Philosophy
- RNG, PRNG, CSPRNGJohn D. Cook
- Triangle circle maximization problemJohn D. Cook
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 5Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Computing and the NobelsComputational Complexity
- Here is the Data Sharing Statement, in its entirety, for Goodwin GM, Aaronson ST, Alvarez O, et al. Single-Dose Psilocybin for a Treatment-Resistant Episode of Major Depression. N Engl J Med. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2206443.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Here is the Data Sharing Statement, in its entirety, for van Dyck CH, Swanson CJ, Aisen P, et al. Trial of Lecanemab in Early Alzheimer’s Disease. N Engl J Med. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2212948.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Known for his improvisational departures, Donald Trump has long been the Keith Jarrett of American fascism.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Correction: Vienna Set Theory Seminar, tomorrow 11:30European Set Theory Society
- Leeds set theory seminar resumes todayEuropean Set Theory Society
- The first English CopernicanThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Relating six properties of a triangle in one equationJohn D. Cook
- LWE Attack Benchmarking ProjectMath ∩ Programming
- Linkage11011110
- Categorial progress …Logic Matters
- Preprocessing text to make it more compressibleJohn D. Cook
- “the Yang-Mills equations are nonlinear, therefore there is little hope of finding a closed-form…isomorphismes
- “Things are Getting So Politically Polarized We Can’t Measure How Politically Polarized Things are Getting”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Troll on Troll Violence -- the unprecedented political logic of 2024West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- My answer on Quora: Can I forget a topic in mathematics even after doing large amounts of practice?Mathematics under the Microscope
- United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 5Stats Chat
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 7Stats Chat
- Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 5Stats Chat
- “Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Protecting the narrative -- the NYT and AbortionWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A Trip Down Memory Lane: Desc comp, Constant Round Sorting, Division Breakthrough, Derandomization.Computational Complexity
- Determinateness of truth does not come for free from determinateness of objects, Singapore, November 2024Joel David Hamkins
- My Nutty, Extremist BeliefsShtetl-Optimized
- The covering reflection theorem, Madison Logic Seminar, October 2024Joel David Hamkins
- Online activities 14 – 20 OctoberEuropean Set Theory Society
- Why does FM sound better than AM?John D. Cook
- Shifted reciprocalJohn D. Cook
- Where have all the count words gone? In defense of “fewer” and “among”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 3Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Hadamard knew in 1898 knew that negative curvature and simply connectedness for surfaces embedded in…isomorphismes
- She wants to know what are best practices on flagging bad responses and cleaning survey data and detecting bad responses. Any suggestions from the tidyverse or crunch.io?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Excursion 1 Tour I (2nd Stop): Probabilism, Performance, and Probativeness (1.2)Error Statistics Philosophy
- The equational theories project: a brief tourWhat's new
- The equational theories project: a brief tourWhat's new
- 20-year anniversary of this blogStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 2Inquiry Into Inquiry
- How to Go Beyond the Coldness of Numbers and Take Action?Freakonometrics
- Comment dépasser la froideur des chiffres, et agir ?Freakonometrics
- Calculating an LOOCV MSE by handFreakonometrics
- The comments section: A request to non-commenters, occasional commenters, and frequent commentersStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Post-Calibration Techniques: Balancing Calibration and Score Distribution AlignmentFreakonometrics
- Triangles to TrianglesJohn D. Cook
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
- The interactions paradox in statisticsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Perspective causale sur les discriminations directes et indirectes liées aux caractéristiques sensibles dans les modèles prédictifs en assuranceFreakonometrics
- The best debate analysis I've seen so farWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Axiomatic Set Theory 4: SubsetsThe n-Category Café
- New paper: Central curves on noncommutative surfacesPieter Belmans
- Computational complexities of folding11011110
- Update on that politically-loaded paper published in Demography that I characterized as a “hack job”: Further post-publication reviewStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 6Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Sane-wash, Repeat, Repeat -- The Procrustean Era of the New York TimesWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Golden ellipseJohn D. Cook
- 2-Rigs and the Splitting PrincipleThe n-Category Café
- Two kings, a royal, a knight, and three princesses walk into a bar (Nobel prize edition)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Areal coordinates and ellipse areaJohn D. Cook
- Modern Methods in Moduli: a workshop in LuxembourgPieter Belmans
- Inaccuracy in New York magazine report on election forecastingStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- “Responsibility for Raw Data”: “Failure to retain data for some reasonable length of time following publication would produce notoriety equal to the notoriety attained by publishing inaccurate results. A possibly more effective means of controlling quality of publication would be to institute a system of quality control whereby random samples of raw data from submitted journal articles would be requested by editors and scrutinized for accuracy and the appropriateness of the analysis performed.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Average number of divisorsJohn D. Cook
- Fall Jobs Post 2024Computational Complexity
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 5Inquiry Into Inquiry
- If the really wanted to debunk Trump's lies about killing babies, they probably should have made a bigger deal of it when Carly Fiorina said themWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – XXXIThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- On the Nature of TimeStephen Wolfram Writings
- Defining statistical models in JAX?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- A quick simulation to demonstrate the wild variability of p-valuesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Honesty and transparency are not enough: politics editionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- KTI70: CONFERENCE TO CELEBRATE THE 70TH ANNIVERSARY OF THE INSTITUTE OF ECONOMICSAlgorithmics, Social choice, Market Design, and Other Topics
- Lucas numbers and Lucas pseudoprimesJohn D. Cook
- By the very definition of the word, disinformation is not something that just happens. Someone has to deliberately lie to create it.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
- “Tough choices in election forecasting: All the things that can go wrong” (my webinar this Friday 11am with the Washington Statistical Society)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- My October 7 postShtetl-Optimized
- Trip to the USHydrobates
- Some references and discussions on the foundations of probability—not the math so much as its connection to the real world, including the claim that “Pr(aliens exist on Neptune that can rap battle) = .137”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Keeping the pair or going for the inside straightWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Book note: Kunen, Foundations of MathematicsLogic Matters
- Emil Post Anticipated (more than anticipated) Godel and TuringComputational Complexity
- Dov Gabbay Prize 2024European Set Theory Society
- Online activities 7 – 13 OctoberEuropean Set Theory Society
- A half-flipped binary tiling11011110
- Salesses: “some writing exercises meant to help students with various elements of craft”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Quantum advantage for NP approximation? For REAL this time?Shtetl-Optimized
- Time for Peace (Song)Combinatorics and more
- eLife press release: Deterministic thinking led to a nonsensical statementStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- On de Swart’s Philosophical and Mathematical LogicLogic Matters
- Axiomatic Set Theory 3: The Axioms, Part TwoThe n-Category Café
- Basu’s Bears (Fat Bear Week and survey calibration)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- 22 Revision Prompts from Matthew SalessesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The New York Times' revealed preferenceWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Van Gogh: Poets & LoversLogic Matters
- The Lighthouse ProblemAsaf Karagila
- “Éloge du bug” de Marcello Vitalli-RosatiFreakonometrics
- Clybourne Park. And a Jamaican beef patty. (But no Gray Davis, no Grover Norquist, no rabbi.)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- What if the standard narrative on abortion isn't just wrong but directionally wrong?West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Luna mumbo jumboThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Revisiting Bell & MachoverLogic Matters
- Evidence-based Medicine Eats Itself, and How to do Better (my talk at USC this Friday)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Favorite Theorems: Gradient DescentComputational Complexity
- It took 3 days, lots of mockery, and being scooped by Colbert, but the New York Times finally got thereWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Celebrating Irrationality: Frank Calegari, Vesselin Dimitrov, and Yunqing Tang Proved the Irrationality of 1/1²-1/2²+1/4²-1/5²+1/7²-1/8²+ …Combinatorics and more
- Algorithmic fairness with optimal transport: quantifying counterfactual fairness and mitigating group fairnessFreakonometrics
- The Space of Physical Frameworks (Part 5)Azimuth
- Sad times for AI safetyShtetl-Optimized
- Wendy Brown: “Just as nothing is more corrosive to serious intellectual work than being governed by a political programme (whether that of states, corporations, or a revolutionary movement), nothing is more inapt to a political campaign than the unending reflexivity, critique and self-correction required of scholarly inquiry.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Debates that haven't happened yet aren't news (and vice-presidential debates are seldom news even after they happen)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Pete RoseStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The leisurely cruise begins: Excerpt from Excursion 1 Tour 1 of Statistical Inference as Severe Testing (SIST)Error Statistics Philosophy
- “A Hudson Valley Reckoning: Discovering the Forgotten History of Slaveholding in My Dutch American Family”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Linkage for the start of another academic year11011110
- Faculty positions at the University of Oregon’s new Data Science departmentStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Worrying newsPeter Cameron's Blog
- Two shorter book notesLogic Matters
- Golem VIMusings
- “Toward reproducible research: Some technical statistical challenges” and “The political content of unreplicable research” (my talks at Berkeley and Stanford this Wed and Thurs)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Identifying hash algorithmsJohn D. Cook
- The (Man who Would Be) King's Speech -- Sane Washing through SilenceWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- The Space of Physical Frameworks (Part 5)The n-Category Café
- Progress on R(5). Will there be more?Computational Complexity
- “Announcing the 2023 IPUMS Research Award Winners”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- “The best logic textbook ever”?Logic Matters
- CeresAzimuth
- Testing random number generatorsJohn D. Cook
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