# Research

- Agent-Based Models (Part 8)Azimuth
- That IACR preprintShtetl-Optimized
- Operator Variables in Logical Graphs • 8Inquiry Into Inquiry
- N=43, “a statistically significant 226% improvement,” . . . what could possibly go wrong??Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- More is lessJohn D. Cook
- Elon Musk got a call from his portfolio manager and the manager said "I have some good news and some bad news, which do you want first?"West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Enrico Giusti e la comunicazione della matematicaMaddmaths!
- Enrico Giusti, storico della matematicaMaddmaths!
- Try it and seeThe Universe of Discourse
- Super Rugby Predictions for Week 9Stats Chat
- NRL Predictions for Round 7Stats Chat
- AFL Predictions for Week 7Stats Chat
- stranger thingsXi'an's Og
- Linkage11011110
- Groupe de travail, dimension territoriale dans la mutualisation des risques climatiquesFreakonometrics
- Guggenheim 2024Gödel’s Lost Letter and P=NP
- Operator Variables in Logical Graphs • 7Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Origins of the astrolabeThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Publication dans le dernier numéro de RisquesFreakonometrics
- Avi Wigderson is a counterexample to TWO stupid thoughts of G.H. HardyComputational Complexity
- No, it’s not “statistically implausible” when results differ between studies, or between different groups within a study.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Ischia group theory conference 2024Peter Cameron's Blog
- Twelve years ago at the blog -- "Comics are weird" (with apologies to Bob Chipman)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Updates from CambridgeCombinatorics and more
- Semi-Simplicial Types, Part II: The Main ResultsThe n-Category Café
- How I didn’t become a philosopher (but wound up presenting a named philosophy lecture anyway)Quantum Frontiers
- warming stripes [but 1d]Xi'an's Og
- Stuff that is and isn't backwards in AustraliaThe Universe of Discourse
- Operator Variables in Logical Graphs • 6Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Simulation to understand two kinds of measurement error in regressionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- ProtoniumAzimuth
- Carnevale della Matematica #177: Matematica inesauribileMaddmaths!
- slow learning [xkcd]Xi'an's Og
- Great workshop in CorsicaFreakonometrics
- Intelligence is whatever machines cannot (yet) doStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- 3-coloring the vertices of an icosahedronThe Universe of Discourse
- Evidence, desire, supportStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Iterative algorithms – Convergence ratesBeni Bogoşel's blog
- Festa delle Donne Matematiche 2024 a Napoli l’8 maggio!Maddmaths!
- simulation as optimization [by kernel gradient descent]Xi'an's Og
- Operator Variables in Logical Graphs • 5Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Golden search algorithm – efficient 1D gradient free optimizationBeni Bogoşel's blog
- Mendocino, sakura, and my father11011110
- Viewing RecommendationWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Delayed retraction samplingStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Precise answers to useless questionsJohn D. Cook
- I don't want to extend the analogy to the outcome...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Ottimizzazione sostenibile per gli sprechi alimentariMaddmaths!
- “the most intense famine since WW II”Xi'an's Og
- Optimizing a 1D function – trisection algorithmBeni Bogoşel's blog
- Finding Duplicated Records in ROR in an OB World
- Avi wins the Turing, TCS for allWindows On Theory
- Operator Variables in Logical Graphs • 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
- How large is that treatment effect, really? (my talk at NYU economics department Thurs 18 Apr 2024, 12:30pm)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- When will atmospheric CO2 start to impair our mental functions?Against The Techno-Capitalist Machine
- Six years ago at the blog -- old tech April (stentor edition, 1907)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Even those who know history are doomed to repeat it!The Renaissance Mathematicus
- Angolo Kos ed expected goalsMaddmaths!
- Pairs in pokerJohn D. Cook
- MCMC without evaluating the target [aatB-mMC joint seminar, 24 April]Xi'an's Og
- Avi Wigderson wins Turing Award!Shtetl-Optimized
- 2023 Turing AwardGödel’s Lost Letter and P=NP
- Machine Learning Jobs for Category TheoristsThe n-Category Café
- Avi wins the Turing AwardComputational Complexity
- Operator Variables in Logical Graphs • 3Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Solar system meansJohn D. Cook
- Why grading with ChatGPT is immoralAgainst The Techno-Capitalist Machine
- “He had acquired his belief not by honestly earning it in patient investigation, but by stifling his doubts. And although in the end he may have felt so sure about it that he could not think otherwise, yet inasmuch as he had knowingly and willingly worked himself into that frame of mind, he must be held responsible for it.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Arizona -- this was not what I was planning on writing when I got up this morningWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- a journal of the conquest, war, famine, death[s], and chaos yearXi'an's Og
- Earth : Jupiter :: Jupiter : SunJohn D. Cook
- Operator Variables in Logical Graphs • Discussion 2Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Rance Cleaveland passed away on March 27, 2024. He will be missedComputational Complexity
- Arveson’s hyperrigidity conjecture refuted by Bilich and Dor-OnNoncommutative Analysis
- Here’s something you should do when beginning a project, and in the middle of a project, and in the end of the project: Clearly specify your goals, and also specify what’s not in your goal set.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Gravity on JupiterJohn D. Cook
- A few points and a lot of tweets about abortionWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Ecco i segreti per correre come campioniMaddmaths!
- Super Rugby Predictions for Week 8Stats Chat
- NRL Predictions for Round 6Stats Chat
- AFL Predictions for Week 6Stats Chat
- Warwickshire honey fungus [by Birmingham]Xi'an's Og
- Éclipse solaire…Freakonometrics
- Como tecnologia está revelando nossa filosofiaAgainst The Techno-Capitalist Machine
- File Access in RStudioOR in an OB World
- People have needed rituals to turn data into truth for many years. Why would we be surprised if many people now need procedural reforms to work?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Operator Variables in Logical Graphs • Discussion 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
- The Principle of Illusory ImprovementsAgainst The Techno-Capitalist Machine
- Hey, some good news for a change! (Child psychology and Bayes)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- If I had a slightly cynical attitude toward Elon Musk, I might be a bit suspicious of a couple of things hereWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Save the date: Cristiana De Filippis a Tor Vergata per il May 12thMaddmaths!
- Online activities 8 – 14 AprilEuropean Set Theory Society
- Claire Voisin interviewed in NatureXi'an's Og
- Jonathan Bennett (1930-2024), Michael Tanner (1934-2024)Logic Matters
- Operator Variables in Logical Graphs • 2Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Evilicious 3: Face the MusicStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Inaugurata a Guidonia la mostra CUB3SMaddmaths!
- Optimal Transport: Theory and Applications, in CorsicaFreakonometrics
- ubutabera ku bazize jenoside 1994Xi'an's Og
- The Coming Solar EclipseGödel’s Lost Letter and P=NP
- Operator Variables in Logical Graphs • 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
- What is the prevalence of bad social science?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- La Matematica è piena di Eulero!: le equazioni della fluidodinamicaMaddmaths!
- Congratulations to Dr. Tianyi Chen[UNTITLED BLOG]
- Are guidance documents laws?John D. Cook
- My 2019 friendly amendments to that “abandon significance” editorialError Statistics Philosophy
- “AI” as shorthand for turning off our brains. (This is not an anti-AI post; it’s a discussion of how we think about AI.)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Six years ago at the blog -- old tech April (before you get too judgemental remember Theranos edition)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Daniel Kahneman, 1934–2024Gödel’s Lost Letter and P=NP
- Marton’s conjecture in abelian groups with bounded torsionWhat's new
- Marton’s conjecture in abelian groups with bounded torsionWhat's new
- There is no golden path to discovery. One of my problems with all the focus on p-hacking, preregistration, harking, etc. is that I fear that it is giving the impression that all will be fine if researchers just avoid “questionable research practices.” And that ain’t the case.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Journée de la recherche en sciencesFreakonometrics
- It’s Ariely time! They had a preregistration but they didn’t follow it.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- A Few More Thoughts on FloridaWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- And yet quantum computing continues to progressShtetl-Optimized
- Supporting Bayesian modelling workflows with iterative filtering for multiverse analysisStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Answer to Question. MetaQuestion remains unsolvedComputational Complexity
- West Virginia UniversityPeter Cameron's Blog
- “Bayesian Workflow: Some Progress and Open Questions” and “Causal Inference as Generalization”: my two upcoming talks at CMUStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Ritualization in global capitalismAgainst The Techno-Capitalist Machine
- Six years ago at the blog -- old tech April (the one who wasn't Georges Méliès edition)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- AI Mathematical Olympiad – Progress Prize Competition now openWhat's new
- AI Mathematical Olympiad – Progress Prize Competition now openWhat's new
- Category Theory I — now in paperbackLogic Matters
- Bad parenting in the news, also, yeah, lots of kids don’t believe in Santa ClausStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Abortion and IVF -- more data pointsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Random Circuit Sampling: Fourier Expansion and StatisticsCombinatorics and more
- More Laguerre imagesJohn D. Cook
- United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 14Stats Chat
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 21Stats Chat
- Super Rugby Predictions for Week 7Stats Chat
- Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 15Stats Chat
- “A passionate group of scientists determined to revolutionize the traditional publishing model in academia”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Online activities 1 – 7 AprilEuropean Set Theory Society
- A Math Question and a Meta QuestionComputational Complexity
- Quantum UnprovingGödel’s Lost Letter and P=NP
- Paper cited by Stanford medical school professor retracted—but even without considering the reasons for retraction, this paper was so bad that it should never have been cited.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Six years ago at the blog -- old tech April (Muzak edition)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- ILNumerics: High Performance as DefaultThe ILNumerics Blog
- Unusual Tips for Parenting ToddlersMath ∩ Programming
- Stuff that is backwards in AustraliaThe Universe of Discourse
- “Randomization in such studies is arguably a negative, in practice, in that it gives apparently ironclad causal identification (not really, given the ultimate goal of generalization), which just gives researchers and outsiders a greater level of overconfidence in the claims.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Pre-April-fools linkage11011110
- An introduction to multivariate and dynamic risk measures (back in 2014)Freakonometrics
- Plans and Updates: Complementary PicturesCombinatorics and more
- “Andrew, you are skeptical of pretty much all causal claims. But wait, causality rules the world around us, right? Plenty have to be true.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Antisocial personality disorder applied to technologyAgainst The Techno-Capitalist Machine
- When Exactly Will the Eclipse Happen? A Multimillennium Tale of ComputationStephen Wolfram Writings
- Computing the Eclipse: Astronomy in the Wolfram LanguageStephen Wolfram Writings
- Three things to read …Logic Matters
- Markdown joyLogic Matters
- STOC 2024Gödel’s Lost Letter and P=NP
- Every time Tyler Cowen says, “Median voter theorem still underrated! Hail Anthony Downs!”, I’m gonna point him to this paper . . .Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Deferred Thursday Tweets -- Lava herders, Lawrence Welk, and why Sydney Sweeney should write for the UpshotWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- STOC/Theory fest 2024Windows On Theory
- Geospatial Disparities: A Case Study on Real Estate Prices in ParisFreakonometrics
- Why Mathematics is BoringThe n-Category Café
- Summer School on Economic Theory and Computer Science, Jerusalem 23/6/24-27/6/24Turing's Invisible Hand
- A Bayesian approach to proving you’re humanJohn D. Cook
- Banning the use of common sense in data analysis increases cases of research failure: evidence from SwedenStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Ten years ago at the blog -- reposted partially because the SAT is back in the news but mainly because this is one of my all time favorite titlesWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Three goals of technologyAgainst The Techno-Capitalist Machine
- One-face torus11011110
- T Corona BorealisAzimuth
- The feel-good open science story versus the preregistration (who do you think wins?)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Antenna length: Another rule of 72John D. Cook
- Bayesian inference with informative priors is not inherently “subjective”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Softening of Computing Jobs: Blip or Trend?Computational Complexity
- Sure Reuters, MSNBC, CNN, Stephen Colbert, and many others are beating the NYT to the biggest political payoff of the 21st century, but I'm sure the gray lady will convince people it broke the storyWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- AI and ‘fair’ decision-makingAlgorithmics, Social choice, Market Design, and Other Topics
- Victimless crimesWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Hallucinations of AI Science ModelsJohn D. Cook
- Philip K. Dick’s character namesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Insurance Data Science, IDSC’24 (in Stockholm)Freakonometrics
- Fundamental reason why Sora won’t improve filmmakingAgainst The Techno-Capitalist Machine
- Solving the “Lights Out” Puzzle via Linear AlgebraNathaniel Johnston
- Boarding for ISS: Imbalanced Self-Supervised Discovery of a Scaled Autoencoder for Mixed Tabular DatasetsFreakonometrics
- Équité en assurance, présentation à l’Autorité des Marchés FinanciersFreakonometrics
- IsarMathLib 1.29.0: Modules and vector spacesFormalized Mathematics
- Chapman & Hall/CRC Series in Actuarial ScienceFreakonometrics
- The contrapositive of “Politics and the English Language.” One reason writing is hard:Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- I know what A-B-C-D-F mean but what about V? X? HP?Computational Complexity
- Double super factorialJohn D. Cook
- Twelve years ago at the blog -- a rare double post day on the growth fetish.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Open Letter to Anti-Zionists on TwitterShtetl-Optimized
- My experimental adventures in quantum thermodynamicsQuantum Frontiers
- W. W. Tait, 1929–2024Richard Zach
- 20th Latin American Symposium on Mathematical Logic (SLALM), Uruguay July 1 to 5, 2024European Set Theory Society
- A new branch in my blog: MacronectesHydrobates
- Hey! Here’s a study where all the preregistered analyses yielded null results but it was presented in PNAS as being wholly positive.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Hey—let’s collect all the stupid things that researchers say in order to deflect legitimate criticismStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Counting Points on Elliptic Curves (Part 3)The n-Category Café
- 14th Penhellenic Logic Symposium – deadlines extendedEuropean Set Theory Society
- Laguerre’s root finding methodJohn D. Cook
- Jonathan Bailey vs. Stephen WolframStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Is it money that matters? -- More Data PointsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Online activities 25 – 31 MarchEuropean Set Theory Society
- Hiatus replay!The Renaissance Mathematicus
- Exposé sur l’IA, instrument de lutte contre le blanchimentFreakonometrics
- Why are all these school cheating scandals happening?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Breach Safe HarborJohn D. Cook
- Six(ish) years ago at the blog -- with Elon it's always déjà vu all over againWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Are any technologies good? A reply to a commentAgainst The Techno-Capitalist Machine
- MD5 hash collision exampleJohn D. Cook
- Noncommuting charges are much like BatmanQuantum Frontiers
- SCOR Project Newsletter #1Freakonometrics
- 5 years ago today, March 20, 2019: the Start of “Abandon Significance”Error Statistics Philosophy
- “Whistleblowers always get punished”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Can you feel the machine?Computational Complexity
- A few Wednesday morning data pointsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Updates and Plans IVCombinatorics and more
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – XVIIIThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- New paper: On decompositions for Fano schemes of intersections of two quadricsPieter Belmans
- Discussions autour du Manuel d’Assurance, partie 3Freakonometrics
- “I was left with an overwhelming feeling that the World Values Survey is simply a vehicle for telling stories about values . . .”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- A couple of more red flags for "the Tesla of education companies"West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- One-dimensional centre manifolds, part 2Hydrobates
- An inequality involving complex numbersBeni Bogoşel's blog
- One-dimensional centre manifoldsHydrobates
- Strong positive recurrence at WarwickJérôme Buzzi’s
- Lyapunov Exponents and Smooth Ergodic TheoryJérôme Buzzi’s
- Entropy and classifications in dynamical systemsJérôme Buzzi’s
- Inspiring story from a chemistry classroomStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- 17th Financial Risks International Forum “Big Data & Algorithmic Finance”Freakonometrics
- No, the AARO report shouldn't make you more of a believer in alien visitorsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- First true period 15 and 16 glider guns found in Conway’s Game of LifeNathaniel Johnston
- Talks at the JMMWhat's new
- Talks at the JMMWhat's new
- Leprechauns Sue Over AIGödel’s Lost Letter and P=NP
- Preregistration, promises and pitfalls, continued v2Error Statistics Philosophy
- The quantum gold rushQuantum Frontiers
- Preregistration is a floor, not a ceiling.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Grad Student Visit Day: That was then, this is now.Computational Complexity
- “On the uses and abuses of regression models: a call for reform of statistical practice and teaching”: We’d appreciate your comments . . .Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science