- Prediction Markets ReduxComputational Complexity
- compact QEDnLab
- A great Charles Bronson story.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Naturally Occurring QuasicrystalsAzimuth
- Bayesian persuasive privacy at ICML²⁶Xi'an's Og
- No more NYT cooperation: my dog-rape red lineShtetl-Optimized
- Recent discoveries on the acquisition of the highest levels of statistical fallaciesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- A tale told in tweets (Make sure to use the Muppet announcer voice when you read the word "space")West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- the vexing Hausdorff measureXi'an's Og
- Survey Statistics: relevant alternatives ?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Application Matters: Medical Ethics and Counterfactual UtilitiesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Krein spaces – a quantum-theoretical monad methodOpen System – Ark's blog
- I’m on the EPA science advisory board.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Initialize and print 128-bit integers in CJohn D. Cook
- On the spectral radius of operator tuples (new paper)Noncommutative Analysis
- It's amazing the mileage I get out of some postsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Hacking the lehmer64 RNGJohn D. Cook
- Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 16Stats Chat
- United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 18Stats Chat
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 24Stats Chat
- Super Rugby Predictions for Week 14Stats Chat
- A new online seminar on ergodic theory starts today!Jérôme Buzzi’s
- NRL Predictions for Round 11Stats Chat
- AFL Predictions for Week 11Stats Chat
- How not to turn power on its headError Statistics Philosophy
- Euler functionJohn D. Cook
- computational methods for probability distributions on manifolds (11-13 May, IHP, Paris)Xi'an's Og
- Searches Are Weird! No they're not! Bad coding style?Computational Complexity
- Representability over infinite fieldsThe Matroid Union
- Inverse shiftJohn D. Cook
- Probability that a random binary matrix is invertibleJohn D. Cook
- It kinda makes sense that you can know roughly 700 people.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- We laughed at her at the time, but in the age of AI bubble circular financing, Peg Bundy feels like a true visionary.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- The Infinite Product That Knows Binary[UNTITLED BLOG]
- Semisimple.jl 1.0.0 is now available!Pieter Belmans
- [fa]rage against the mankindXi'an's Og
- The Trevisan Award and the Decimal Digits of Powers of 2Shtetl-Optimized
- The linear algebra of bit twiddlingJohn D. Cook
- Reverse engineering Mersenne Twister with Linear AlgebraJohn D. Cook
- Who wanted Trump to run in 2024?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- a journal of the Aregenua yearsXi'an's Og
- On the mathematical abilities of LLMsLogic Matters
- Krein spaces – first stepsOpen System – Ark's blog
- More thoughts regarding comfortable, powerful people who seem willing or even eager to blow up the system.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Hugo Awards finalists 2026Xi'an's Og
- “An Axiomatic Foundation for Decisions with Counterfactual Utility”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- A recent experience with ChatGPT 5.5 ProGowers's Weblog
- Calculating curvatureJohn D. Cook
- The Pick-the-Winner-Picker Heuristic: Preference for Categorically Correct ForecastsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Remembering the world before the hyperloop -- a continuing seriesWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Three easy proofs of Pythagoras’ TheoremPeter Cameron's Blog
- The AAAI 2026 AI review experimentThe Geomblog
- HomogeneousTools websitePieter Belmans
- Freiman’s ConstantAzimuth
- how to qualify a State where…Xi'an's Og
- David W. Hogg on why we do astrophysics (in the face of LLMs and the lack of clinical value)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Smoothed polygonsJohn D. Cook
- Overall, I remain a fan of Oliver Sacks.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Organization Mad -- Parody as historical snapshot.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Another categorical updateLogic Matters
- room with [what] a view [jatp]Xi'an's Og
- Introducing ILNumerics.ONAL – The Open Numerical Algorithm Language for .NETThe ILNumerics Blog
- Triangular analog of the squircleJohn D. Cook
- Unified config filesJohn D. Cook
- When do we know someone has diedComputational Complexity
- Handbook of Markov chain Monte Carlo, second editionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The mythology of category theoryJohn D. Cook
- Meta, Microsoft, and other tech giants are losing billions on AI. Can Apple catch up?West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Al-Khwarizmi didn’t in any way originate, invent or create the algorithmThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Risques climatiques : la donnée et l’intelligence artificielle ne remplaceront pas la solidaritéFreakonometrics
- Changing one character in a PDFJohn D. Cook
- a journal of the no-end-war yearXi'an's Og
- Survey Statistics: Blue Rose Research is (still) hiring !Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Identifying Extreme PointsOR in an OB World
- Is government policy actually “virtually unrelated to the desires of the low- and middle-income citizens”?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Sixteen years ago at the blog: I'm not wasting time reading old paperbacks; I'm conducting serious research into Cold War political attitudesWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Moving from Jekyll to HugoPieter Belmans
- Super Rugby Predictions for Week 13Stats Chat
- NRL Predictions for Round 10Stats Chat
- AFL Predictions for Week 10Stats Chat
- MaxEnt 2027 [20-24 Sept.]Xi'an's Og
- Expanding the Stan User’s GuideStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The publishing monster: it is usNoncommutative Analysis
- For once, some scientific fraudsters have to pay their money back to the government.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- What we're talking about when we talk about the AI bubbleWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Primitive sets and von Mangoldt chains: Erdős Problem #1196 and beyondWhat's new
- Primitive sets and von Mangoldt chains: Erdős Problem #1196 and beyondWhat's new
- A few notes on Michael RabinComputational Complexity
- The shape of a guitar pickJohn D. Cook
- Counting infinitiesOpen System – Ark's blog
- A QuestionGödel's Lost Letter and P=NP
- An economist writes: “the fulminations over the #1 pick seem overheated to me.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- EGU’26, When Climate Hazard Granularity Challenges Risk Pooling: A Spatial PerspectiveFreakonometrics
- As man’s ingratitudeStats Chat
- Categorical updateLogic Matters
- John Carlin says, “‘Identifying variables that independently predict…’ is not a well-defined research task”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Quantum Mechanics of the Inverse Cube Force LawAzimuth
- What advice do you have for this student who’s in his first year of college and interested in both statistics and political science?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Generational fairnessWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Joseph Moxon–a man of many talentsThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Approximating even functions by powers of cosineJohn D. Cook
- R Upgrade GlitchOR in an OB World
- Linkage11011110
- Three ways to differentiate ReLUJohn D. Cook
- A study is retracted after it turns out that its authors were misrepresented as “third-party experts” even though they were actually paid by the company?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- My closest encounter with a terrorist attackHydrobates
- I apologize for calling AI a bubble. It is actually a bouncy house, and right now everybody's listening to the blowers.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Quantum Mechanics of the Inverse Cube Force LawThe n-Category Café
- Show me scienceStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Because It Doesn't Have ToComputational Complexity
- Taking one more swing at the foolish nudgelords who associate the Soviet Union with environmental protectionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- CKKS — Polynomials, the Canonical Embedding, and EncodingMath ∩ Programming
- Anthropic's Mythos: One moderate step forward for white-hat hacking; one giant leap forward for journalists' credulityWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Will you heed my warnings NOW?Shtetl-Optimized
- Turning a trick into a techniqueJohn D. Cook
- Survey Statistics: exploded logit !Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Cubic salespeople revisited11011110
- Two Health Economists Walk into a Bar: What bothered me in that conversation of Jay Bhattacharya and Emily OsterStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Circular arc approximationJohn D. Cook
- More context from DevereauxWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- dual superconductor model -- referencesnLab
- Hey! Try out the RMET (“the Reading the Mind in the Eyes test”).Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Some type constructors are tensor productsA Neighborhood of Infinity
- Unimodular matrix representations for pseudo-orientable ribbon graphsThe Matroid Union
- Should French pollsters be using Mister P?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Not one of Boyle's funny ones, but we do get the unlikely pairing of Zippy Duvall and (not the) Pablo Escobar.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- LEAPing into the Future of CodingComputational Complexity
- Why isn’t it possible to play a fun and serious game of poker not for money?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- What are covering spaces in algebraic geometry? (Pt II: Finite etale covering spaces)Hard Arithmetic
- Insurance, Biases, Discrimination and FairnessFreakonometrics
- He’s a music educator evaluating K–12 music education systems, and he wants someone to look at his measurements and statistics.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Closed-form solution to the nonlinear pendulum equationJohn D. Cook
- Blogging and writing styleStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- nth derivative of a quotientJohn D. Cook
- Our Experience at the Mathlib Reviewer Bootcamp 2026Lean community blog
- A real-world problemPeter Cameron's Blog
- How nonlinearity affects a pendulumJohn D. Cook
- Update on that un-published CDC report on covid vaccinesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Three things I forgot to say today at the National Academy of Sciences Workshop on Enhancing Scientific IntegrityStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Trump 1 vs. Trump 2: The role of the two other branches of government (legislative and judicial)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Infinite geometryOpen System – Ark's blog
- I'm sure someone at the studio at some point described this project as Colossus meets Rosemary's BabyWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – LXIVThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Existence of P-points under CHDan Ma's Topology Blog
- Learning from Nature with System DynamicsAzimuth
- A potentialist perspective on ultrafinitism, Ohio UniversityJoel David Hamkins
- Approximation to solve an oblique triangleJohn D. Cook
- Probability theory corner: My favorite birthday-problem storyStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Simple approximation for solving a right triangleJohn D. Cook
- Ten years ago at the blog when we still considered Watergate the pinnacle of political corruptionWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Couvrir les risques de catastrophes naturelles au JaponFreakonometrics
- If that CDC report had just included some fake citations and some crazy dietary advice, the boss would surely have approved it for publication.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Fraud and the false optimism of AI for scienceStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Rabin has just passed awayGödel's Lost Letter and P=NP
- PodcastsHyndsight
- Postmodern anti-science attitudes?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Michael Rabin Passed Away on April 14, 2026, at the age of 94Computational Complexity
- More thoughts on predictive marketsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- An AI Odyssey, Part 4: Astounding Coding AgentsJohn D. Cook
- Survey Statistics: dCV for MRP ?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Reflection On Recursion • Discussion 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Did Taylor Swift kill a bunch of people?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Deep isoclinismPeter Cameron's Blog
- Patrick Boyle explains why it's illegal to bet on the price of onions but it's OK to bet on the Dodgers' double headerWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- IFoA AI Ethics Governance & Risk Management forumFreakonometrics
- May 26-29 at Columbia: Summer School on the Theory and Practice of Blockchain ConsensusTuring's Invisible Hand
- More on Newton’s diameter theoremJohn D. Cook
- “I have seen the future of science. It is ruled by bitter competition instead of collaboration, pageantry instead of exploration. Bright minds beginning careers in science will be taught to debase their training for drudgerous pursuit of meaningless metrics. Those willing to toil over genuine questions will necessarily lose out to those that can furnish cheap answers. . . .”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- We need to talk about this clip.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- The Parasitic Mind by Gad SaadHydrobates
- Eugene Wigner and the MooniesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Categorically divertedLogic Matters
- Three greats who we’ve lostShtetl-Optimized
- Will Technology Save Us?Freakonometrics
- La technologie nous sauvera-t-elle ?Freakonometrics
- What are covering spaces in algebraic geometry? (Pt I: topological theory and general principles)Hard Arithmetic
- The Stats with Kittens SongStats With Cats Blog
- Reflection On Recursion • 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Gaussian distributed weights for LLMsJohn D. Cook
- “Making Your Research Free May Cost You”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- 4-bit floating point FP4John D. Cook
- In ML, everyone’s Humpty DumptyStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Mini book review: Philosophy of Mathematics (Brown)Noncommutative Analysis
- Fascinating 1981 interview with Morris Kline, author of the classic book, Mathematics: The Loss of CertaintyStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- ET reads the NYTWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A computation a day: Picard groups of (some) singular curvesHard Arithmetic
- Exposé “Risque climatique, retrait des assureurs et granularité des tarifs” pour la Chaire PARIFreakonometrics
- The Bayesian Workflow book is coming!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Machine Learning and ComplexityComputational Complexity
- Newton diametersJohn D. Cook
- Still looks a little bubbly to me.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Linkage11011110
- Why traditional statistics still matters in the age of AIHyndsight
- Can you hit a home run off of Paul Skenes?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Sixteen years ago at the blog: That brief hopeful time when we thought we'd seen the last of the Star Wars and Indiana Jones sequelsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A cosmos hanging from the living room ceilingThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Survey Statistics: irrelevant alternatives ?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Guest Post from Peter Brass, Former NSF Theory Director, on the NSF budget.Computational Complexity
- Intersecting spheres and GPSJohn D. Cook
- Epistemic Virtues for Science in the Age of AutomationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- How to report a N=12 study?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Finding a parabola through two points with given slopesJohn D. Cook
- Smart people commenting on important thingsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Claude and IMathematics and Computation
- Reflection On Recursion • 3Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Two countably compact subspaces of beta omegaDan Ma's Topology Blog
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