# Research

- waste tideXi'an's Og
- vine disasterXi'an's Og
- Relatives Of Second Intention • Comment 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Does chaos imply period 3?John D. Cook
- What’s the biggest mistake revealed by this table? A puzzle:Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Sarkovsky’s theoremJohn D. Cook
- Period three implies chaosJohn D. Cook
- a journal of the [second] plague yearXi'an's Og
- Just some prizesShtetl-Optimized
- Why did it take so many decades for the behavioral sciences to develop a sense of crisis around methodology and replication?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The sad part is this makes me ever-so-slightly homesickWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- baby please don’t cryXi'an's Og
- The Expansion of the UniverseAzimuth
- Relatives Of Second Intention • Comment 3Inquiry Into Inquiry
- A Nice Definition of “Field Theory”XOR’s Hammer
- But Why Is Proof by Contradiction Non-Constructive?XOR’s Hammer
- A GA Model for a Joint Clustering ProblemOR in an OB World
- On academic burnout and time management during a pandemicPunk Rock Operations Research
- State-level predictors in MRP and Bayesian priorStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Relatives Of Second Intention • Comment 2Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Ideals in the body politicMathematics Rising
- Some issues when using MRP to model attitudes on a gun control attitude question on a 1–4 scaleStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Better approximation for ln, still doable by handJohn D. Cook
- This has to be peak somethingWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Quantum StoriesComputational Complexity
- Big data, the tech giants, and insuranceFreakonometrics
- What is a Diagonally Dominant Matrix?Nick Higham
- Relatives Of Second Intention • Comment 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
- ABC in… everywhere [programme]Xi'an's Og
- Online Activities 5-11 AprilEuropean Set Theory Society
- Paradisaical Logic and the After Math • Comment 2Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Alain Turing cash!Xi'an's Og
- Great Economic Forecasting Mini-CourseNo Hesitations
- Reconstruction of a Real Dataset, Part 1: IntroductionTomRoelandts.com
- Animated Logical Graphs • 70Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Understanding the value of bloc voting, using the Congressional Progressive Caucus as an example:Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Vaccine passportsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Beta distribution with given mean and varianceJohn D. Cook
- Renaissance Science – VIIThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Adjusting for differences between treatment and control groups: “statistical significance” and “multiple testing” have nothing to do with itStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- "Consider now a system of n units ι₁,ι₂,…,ιₙ such that the multiplication of any two of them..."isomorphismes
- training energy based modelsXi'an's Og
- Gradient algorithm with optimal step: Quadratic Case: theoryBeni Bogoşel's blog
- TCS summer school – call for TAsWindows On Theory
- IsarMathLib 1.19.0: LoopsFormalized Mathematics
- The $1,000 GPT-3Nuit Blanche
- Close but no cigarJohn D. Cook
- This one’s for all the Veronica Geng fans out there . . .Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Three SilliesWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Relaxing the PrimesGödel's Lost Letter and P=NP
- ABC & the eighth plague of Egypt [locusts in forests]Xi'an's Og
- Dynamic Programming in Distributional Reinforcement LearningFreakonometrics
- Super Rugby Predictions for Week 8Stats Chat
- NRL Predictions for Round 5Stats Chat
- StanConnect 2021: Call for Session ProposalsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Discuss our new R-hat paper for the journal Bayesian Analysis!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Arithmetic-geometric meanJohn D. Cook
- The 2019 project: How false beliefs in statistical differences still live in social science and journalism todayStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Local Projections vs. VARsNo Hesitations
- At least it's less than the NetherlandsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A spiked pedrail would be really coolWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- One Thousand and One Blog PostsThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Do any NP-reductions use deep mathematics? Non-rheticallyComputational Complexity
- Two ParcelsDataGenetics
- “America Has a Ruling Class”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- le manifeste des 343 [50 years ago]Xi'an's Og
- The Computational Expressiveness of a Model Train Set: A PaperletShtetl-Optimized
- Paradisaical Logic and the After Math • Comment 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
- HCQ: “The clinical trials they summarized were predominantly in young healthy people so even the best drug in the world wouldn’t look good under their framework.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Koide FormulaAzimuth
- Fortnightly links (126)Pieter Belmans
- Fisher, Bayes, and predictive Bayesian inference [seminar]Xi'an's Og
- closed subgroupnLab
- Natural Language Processing (guest lecture by Sasha Rush)Windows On Theory
- More background on our research on constructing an informative prior from a corpus of comparable studiesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Higher roots and r-meansJohn D. Cook
- Calculating square rootsJohn D. Cook
- Vincenzo GalileiAzimuth
- Pedagogy of the oppressors[UNTITLED BLOG]
- Islands11011110
- Inference and statistical physicsWindows On Theory
- Bocconi Hired Poorly Qualified Computer Scientistin theory
- Call for a moratorium on the use of the term “prisoner’s dilemma”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- "Hydrodynamics is what a five-year old would do, if a five-year old had a PhD."West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Robustness in train and test timeWindows On Theory
- The both both of science reformStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Efficiently solving Kepler’s equationJohn D. Cook
- ASA to Release the Recommendations of its Task Force on Statistical Significance and ReplicationError Statistics Philosophy
- Unusually round exponential sumJohn D. Cook
- The almost perfect 2021 business story: funded by the likes of Andreessen Horowitz, feted by goop, it was a massive fraud built around a literal shit companyWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Want to Buy a Theorem?Computational Complexity
- Hypotenuse approximationJohn D. Cook
- I have these great April Fools ideas but there’s no space for them in the margin of this blogStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Computer Science Gets NotedGödel's Lost Letter and P=NP
- BrieflyStats Chat
- Can We Understand the Standard Model Using Octonions?The n-Category Café
- Gradient algorithm: Quadratic Case: theoryBeni Bogoşel's blog
- This weary three-year-old has seen it all. (Go Bruins!)Geometry Bulletin Board
- Can We Understand the Standard Model Using Octonions?Azimuth
- Linkage11011110
- Coulomb’s constantJohn D. Cook
- How the CDC study handled biases in observational dataBig Data, Plainly Spoken (aka Numbers Rule Your World)
- Many years ago, when he was a baby economist . . .Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- "Every fool aspired to be a knave"West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Tracking the alchemical gospel through Medieval and Early Modern EnglandThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Flow and the Partition Principle II (1 updates)Asaf Karagila
- Ten SwitchesDataGenetics
- The Stat Wars and Intellectual conflicts of interest: Journal EditorsError Statistics Philosophy
- Vladimir Igorevich Arnol’d on wave fronts, tennis balls, and...isomorphismes
- Animated Logical Graphs • 69Inquiry Into Inquiry
- What the Danish study tells us about the CDC study on real-world effectivenessBig Data, Plainly Spoken (aka Numbers Rule Your World)
- Monotonicity of (1+1/x)^(x+α)Ngô Quốc Anh
- All The News That Fits We PrintGödel's Lost Letter and P=NP
- EDIPeter Cameron's Blog
- A tale of two epidemiologists: It was the worst of times.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Even if scoundrels and fools get huge returns, that doesn't mean the reasons for avoiding scoundrels and fools no longer applyWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Within one percentJohn D. Cook
- Bounds for the Norm of the Inverse of a Triangular MatrixNick Higham
- Offshore Wind Power in the USAzimuth
- Recursive grepJohn D. Cook
- Animated Logical Graphs • 68Inquiry Into Inquiry
- NRL Predictions for Round 4Stats Chat
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 21Stats Chat
- Super Rugby Predictions for Week 7Stats Chat
- Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 16Stats Chat
- A Little Closer to Finding What Became of Moses Schönfinkel, Inventor of CombinatorsStephen Wolfram Blog
- Calculating dogleg severityJohn D. Cook
- Since 1960, the intensity of electricity use in the United States—electricity used per dollar of...isomorphismes
- Freebits – A decentralized public squareMy Brain is Open
- Online Activities 29 March-4 AprilEuropean Set Theory Society
- Vitamin DWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Regression and Linear CombinationsMath ∩ Programming
- Skin worms?The Universe of Discourse
- New summer school in TCSWindows On Theory
- Estimating the college wealth premium: Not so easyStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Slicing the HypercubeComputational Complexity
- Native Type Theory (Part 3)The n-Category Café
- Solving for Möbius transformation coefficientsJohn D. Cook
- What is mathematics (or at least, how it feels)Combinatorics and more
- “Like a harbor clotted with sunken vessels”: updateStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- COVID Modeling Update: Bayesian AnalysisNo Hesitations
- A mathematical card trickYet Another Mathblog
- Is he … you know…?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Animated Logical Graphs • 67Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Smallest denominator for given accuracyJohn D. Cook
- Substack.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Arbeitsgemeinschaft has returned!Persiflage
- Simple approximation for Gamma functionJohn D. Cook
- Slow progress …Logic Matters
- Graphs on groups, 5Peter Cameron's Blog
- Mentally computing e^xJohn D. Cook
- Congrats Avi and Laci on the Abel PrizeGödel's Lost Letter and P=NP
- Something I didn't know and I bet you didn't eitherThe Universe of Discourse
- AstraZeneca dust-upWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Question on multilevel modeling reminds me that we need a good modeling workflow (building up your model by including varying intercepts, slopes, etc.) and a good computing workflowStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Assurances et véhicules autonomesFreakonometrics
- Alef’s CornerCombinatorics and more
- The key to my Taylor series problem: Buddy can you spare a penny, nickel, dime, or quarterComputational Complexity
- How deep is the well?DataGenetics
- The Meaning of Travel (again)Logic Matters
- The Folk Theorem, revisitedStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Repost: I wonder where Republicans got the idea that they could get away with using false claims about election fraud to justify voter suppressionWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- “Death and Lockdowns”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Note on a Simpson's paradox in real-world vaccine effectiveness studiesBig Data, Plainly Spoken (aka Numbers Rule Your World)
- The Joy of Condensed MatterAzimuth
- What makes the log10 trick work?John D. Cook
- In 1917 Pfund provided the first quantitative explanation for the beautiful iridescence exhibited by...isomorphismes
- Computing with Light: How LightOn intends to unlock Transformative AINuit Blanche
- IsarMathLib 1.18.0: QuasigroupsFormalized Mathematics
- “The 100 Worst Ed-Tech Debacles of the Decade”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- He came to extend the light of consciousness to the stars and we accused him of having a messiah complexWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Simple approximation for surface area of an ellipsoidJohn D. Cook
- Simple approximation for perimeter of an ellipseJohn D. Cook
- Renaissance Science – VIThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Reminder: March 25 “How Should Applied Science Journal Editors Deal With Statistical Controversies?” (Mark Burgman)Error Statistics Philosophy
- Rational approximations of logs of small primesGod plays dice
- Language Complexity (Part 7)Azimuth
- Books and revealed preferencesJohn D. Cook
- Dempster’s analysis and donkeysStatisfaction
- Hoffman, Lovász and HaemersPeter Cameron's Blog
- Moby Dick Meet TheoryGödel's Lost Letter and P=NP
- Chernobyl disaster and Matthew Walker’s “Why We Sleep”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Mentally calculating 10^xJohn D. Cook
- There's also a Laffer connection if you follow the linksWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- What Is a Companion Matrix?Nick Higham
- To cheer you up in difficult times 22: some mathematical news! (Part 1)Combinatorics and more
- Super Rugby Predictions for Week 6Stats Chat
- Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 15Stats Chat
- Pro14 Predictions for the Final and Postponed MatchesStats Chat
- Fortnightly links (125)Pieter Belmans
- Work on Stan as part of Google’s Summer of Code!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Insung Han, “Dried Flowers (Thermo Fisher Helios 650 Nanolab...isomorphismes
- A Taylor Series ProblemComputational Complexity
- What Is Consciousness? Some New Perspectives from Our Physics ProjectStephen Wolfram Blog
- Slides from a talk on Half Integral Weight Dirichlet Seriesmixedmath
- Mentally calculating logarithmsJohn D. Cook
- Richard Hamming’s “The Art of Doing Science and Engineering”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- E.W. Niedermeyer points out an important paradox with autonomous systems -- if Tesla's FSD didn't suck so much, it would be dangerousWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Probabilities of Covid-19Big Data, Plainly Spoken (aka Numbers Rule Your World)
- Life among the experimentalistsQuantum Frontiers
- Strictly increasing numbersDataGenetics
- Online Activities 22-28 MarchEuropean Set Theory Society
- Simple trig function approximationsJohn D. Cook
- "It is often said that Descartes reduced geometry to algebra. I would more willingly say that by the..."isomorphismes
- Two sentences that made me stop to thinkThe Universe of Discourse
- Whassup with the haphazard coronavirus statistics?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Latest in Probability Forecast EvaluationNo Hesitations
- Cosmic Strings in the Standard ModelMusings
- Native Type Theory (Part 2)The n-Category Café
- QC ethics and hype: the call is coming from inside the houseShtetl-Optimized
- Seshadri's desingularisation in the Hodge diamond cutter, and a bold proposalPieter Belmans
- Computing Fourier series coefficients with the FFTJohn D. Cook
- Priors for counts in binomial and multinomial modelsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Ten tips for studying mathAleph Zero Categorical
- Closing an Erdős ProblemGödel's Lost Letter and P=NP
- Putnam 2020 – Problem A3Beni Bogoşel's blog
- When we said drones will revolutionize the industry, we should have been more specificWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- How to figure out what went wrong with this model?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Putnam 2020 problems – Day 1Beni Bogoşel's blog
- Strongly continuous semigroupsHydrobates
- Louis Bachelier FellowshipFreakonometrics
- A Group Theory ProblemThe n-Category Café
- Machine Learning Panel DataNo Hesitations
- Huge partisan differences in who wants to get vaccinatedStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Finally, a joyin theory
- The story is "Tesla has one message for customers and investors, and another one for legal authorities." The meta-story is that the bastion of conventional wisdom is telling this story.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Support of a signal and its FFTJohn D. Cook
- Language Complexity (Part 6)Azimuth
- Abel to winShtetl-Optimized
- Ian and DogDataGenetics
- Pandemic Nostalgia: The Corona Princess: Learning from a petri dish cruise (reblog 1yr)Error Statistics Philosophy
- I read the news today oh boyComputational Complexity
- Lászlo Lovász y Avi Widgerson, Premio Abel 2021Gaussianos
- Answers to your questions about polling and elections.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Fourier uncertainty principleJohn D. Cook
- I love LA... Penultimate SnowWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- SoFiE Machine Learning in Finance Recording now AvailableNo Hesitations
- Cheerful News in Difficult Times: The Abel Prize is Awarded to László Lovász and Avi WigdersonCombinatorics and more
- Transformation GroupsnLab
- Alphabet of the starsThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Happy St. Patrick’s Day 2021Gödel's Lost Letter and P=NP
- Can We Understand The Standard Model?The n-Category Café
- Mathematics in the 21st CenturyThe n-Category Café
- Can We Understand the Standard Model?Azimuth
- Mathematics in the 21st CenturyAzimuth
- Postdoctoral opportunity with Sarah Cowan and Jennifer Hill: causal inference for Universal Basic Income (UBI)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The garden of forking paths: Why multiple comparisons can be a problem, even when there is no “fishing expedition” or “p-hacking” and the research hypothesis was posited ahead of timeStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- How much granularity do you need in your Mister P?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Vaccine nuanceWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- On Covid data, part nNew APPS: Art, Politics, Philosophy, Science
- What Is an M-Matrix?Nick Higham
- PhD student and postdoc positions in Norway for doing Bayesian causal inference using Stan!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Jessica`s Secret BraceletsDataGenetics
- Webinar: On Bayesian workflowStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Linkage for the Ides of March11011110
- If David Wallace-Wells was all that concerned about vaccine hesitancy, maybe he shouldn't have promoted the myth of a West Hollywood autism epidemicWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A Bayesian state-space model for the German federal election 2021 with StanStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Online Activities 15-21 MarchEuropean Set Theory Society
- I didn't understand The Art Market before the NFT sale, and I understand it less nowComputational Complexity
- The Value of PiGödel's Lost Letter and P=NP
- March 25 “How Should Applied Science Journal Editors Deal With Statistical Controversies?” (Mark Burgman)Error Statistics Philosophy
- Running pace calculator in R ShinyStats and R
- Yair Minsky, introduction to the mapping class groupSome surfaces of finite type.isomorphismes
- Emerging Researchers in Category TheoryThe n-Category Café
- From multinomial regression to binary classification on some Siamese dataFreakonometrics
- The Finance Crowd Analysis ProjectNo Hesitations
- Synthesizer bandsThe Universe of Discourse
- US Daylight Saving Time Date Calculation in ExcelMath Encounters Blog
- The 5-sigma rule in physicsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Construyendo Pi con regla y compás de forma exacta (bueno, casi…)Gaussianos
- March Updateabag's thoughts
- No, I don’t like talk of false positive false negative etc but it can still be useful to warn people about systematic biases in meta-analysisStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Hilbert’s Tenth AgainGödel's Lost Letter and P=NP
- Spring, Brokenemergent math
- Marx explains how AI systems exploit workers (Part 1)New APPS: Art, Politics, Philosophy, Science
- This is getting dumbWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Cake Cutting in OvertimeComputational Complexity
- Trans-Siberian RailwayThe Universe of Discourse
- The social sciences are useless. So why do we study them? Here’s a good reason:Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Defunding the policeWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- David Makinson: A historical question about mathematicians and logicLogic Matters
- Circles in a square – Part 2 – upgradeBeni Bogoşel's blog
- Circles in a squareBeni Bogoşel's blog
- The next steps in classroom conversation orchestrationemergent math
- Long-delayed UT Austin Quantum Complexity Theory Student Project Showcase!Shtetl-Optimized
- El teorema de VivianiGaussianos
- The sad part is this actually makes the first one look rational...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Regression discontinuity analysis is often a disaster. So what should you do instead? Here’s my recommendation:Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Debate between Bird and FishThe Universe of Discourse