# Research

- [Undefined]Error Statistics Philosophy
- The equational theories project: a brief tourWhat's new
- The equational theories project: a brief tourWhat's new
- this must stop now [Doctors Without Borders]Xi'an's Og
- 20-year anniversary of this blogStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 2Inquiry Into Inquiry
- I Rudi Mathematici – Ma chi sono? E che ci fanno su Maddmaths!?Maddmaths!
- How to Go Beyond the Coldness of Numbers and Take Action?Freakonometrics
- Comment dépasser la froideur des chiffres, et agir ?Freakonometrics
- Calculating an LOOCV MSE by handFreakonometrics
- francescoverdose [update]Xi'an's Og
- The comments section: A request to non-commenters, occasional commenters, and frequent commentersStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Post-Calibration Techniques: Balancing Calibration and Score Distribution AlignmentFreakonometrics
- Joseph DoninnLab
- Tr(ϕ³)nLab
- Triangles to TrianglesJohn D. Cook
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
- The interactions paradox in statisticsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Perspective causale sur les discriminations directes et indirectes liées aux caractéristiques sensibles dans les modèles prédictifs en assuranceFreakonometrics
- The best debate analysis I've seen so farWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Axiomatic Set Theory 4: SubsetsThe n-Category Café
- Una chiacchierata sulla topologia: 5 – L’identikit degli spazi: le proprietà topologicheMaddmaths!
- New paper: Central curves on noncommutative surfacesPieter Belmans
- Computational complexities of folding11011110
- NobAIl prAIzesXi'an's Og
- Update on that politically-loaded paper published in Demography that I characterized as a “hack job”: Further post-publication reviewStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 6Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Sane-wash, Repeat, Repeat -- The Procrustean Era of the New York TimesWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Golden ellipseJohn D. Cook
- 2-Rigs and the Splitting PrincipleThe n-Category Café
- Letture matematiche: Gioca con i numeri e le formeMaddmaths!
- Two kings, a royal, a knight, and three princesses walk into a bar (Nobel prize edition)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Areal coordinates and ellipse areaJohn D. Cook
- Modern Methods in Moduli: a workshop in LuxembourgPieter Belmans
- abolitionXi'an's Og
- surfaceologynLab
- Inaccuracy in New York magazine report on election forecastingStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- “Responsibility for Raw Data”: “Failure to retain data for some reasonable length of time following publication would produce notoriety equal to the notoriety attained by publishing inaccurate results. A possibly more effective means of controlling quality of publication would be to institute a system of quality control whereby random samples of raw data from submitted journal articles would be requested by editors and scrutinized for accuracy and the appropriateness of the analysis performed.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Average number of divisorsJohn D. Cook
- Fall Jobs Post 2024Computational Complexity
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 5Inquiry Into Inquiry
- If the really wanted to debunk Trump's lies about killing babies, they probably should have made a bigger deal of it when Carly Fiorina said themWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – XXXIThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- mostly MCMC’toberXi'an's Og
- On the Nature of TimeStephen Wolfram Writings
- Defining statistical models in JAX?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- A quick simulation to demonstrate the wild variability of p-valuesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Honesty and transparency are not enough: politics editionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- KTI70: CONFERENCE TO CELEBRATE THE 70TH ANNIVERSARY OF THE INSTITUTE OF ECONOMICSAlgorithmics, Social choice, Market Design, and Other Topics
- Lucas numbers and Lucas pseudoprimesJohn D. Cook
- By the very definition of the word, disinformation is not something that just happens. Someone has to deliberately lie to create it.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Musica razionale – il teaser del nuovo podcastMaddmaths!
- “Tough choices in election forecasting: All the things that can go wrong” (my webinar this Friday 11am with the Washington Statistical Society)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Ada Lovelace DayXi'an's Og
- United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 4Stats Chat
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 6Stats Chat
- Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 4Stats Chat
- Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Quarter-FinalsStats Chat
- My October 7 postShtetl-Optimized
- Trip to the USHydrobates
- Some references and discussions on the foundations of probability—not the math so much as its connection to the real world, including the claim that “Pr(aliens exist on Neptune that can rap battle) = .137”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 3Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Keeping the pair or going for the inside straightWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Book note: Kunen, Foundations of MathematicsLogic Matters
- Ecco come l’IA farà creare musica a chiunqueMaddmaths!
- webinar on Monte Carlo MethodsXi'an's Og
- Emil Post Anticipated (more than anticipated) Godel and TuringComputational Complexity
- Dov Gabbay Prize 2024European Set Theory Society
- Online activities 7 – 13 OctoberEuropean Set Theory Society
- A half-flipped binary tiling11011110
- Salesses: “some writing exercises meant to help students with various elements of craft”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 2Inquiry Into Inquiry
- protect civilians, respect life [ICRC call]Xi'an's Og
- Le Monde [festival]Xi'an's Og
- Quantum advantage for NP approximation? For REAL this time?Shtetl-Optimized
- Time for Peace (Song)Combinatorics and more
- eLife press release: Deterministic thinking led to a nonsensical statementStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Convocazione della prima assemblea dell’Associazione MaddMaths! ETSMaddmaths!
- On de Swart’s Philosophical and Mathematical LogicLogic Matters
- Rivoluzioni matematiche: il teorema di Cantor di Giuseppe RosoliniMaddmaths!
- 38ième semi-marathon d’ArgentanXi'an's Og
- Axiomatic Set Theory 3: The Axioms, Part TwoThe n-Category Café
- Basu’s Bears (Fat Bear Week and survey calibration)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • PreambleInquiry Into Inquiry
- 22 Revision Prompts from Matthew SalessesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The New York Times' revealed preferenceWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Van Gogh: Poets & LoversLogic Matters
- Una chiacchierata sulla topologia: 4 – Tutto il mondo è topologico!Maddmaths!
- The Lighthouse ProblemAsaf Karagila
- “Éloge du bug” de Marcello Vitalli-RosatiFreakonometrics
- Clybourne Park. And a Jamaican beef patty. (But no Gray Davis, no Grover Norquist, no rabbi.)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- What if the standard narrative on abortion isn't just wrong but directionally wrong?West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Quanti goal in una partita? Risponde PoissonMaddmaths!
- Luna mumbo jumboThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Revisiting Bell & MachoverLogic Matters
- Evidence-based Medicine Eats Itself, and How to do Better (my talk at USC this Friday)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Favorite Theorems: Gradient DescentComputational Complexity
- It took 3 days, lots of mockery, and being scooped by Colbert, but the New York Times finally got thereWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Celebrating Irrationality: Frank Calegari, Vesselin Dimitrov, and Yunqing Tang Proved the Irrationality of 1/1²-1/2²+1/4²-1/5²+1/7²-1/8²+ …Combinatorics and more
- Bunnings NPC Predictions for Week 9Stats Chat
- Algorithmic fairness with optimal transport: quantifying counterfactual fairness and mitigating group fairnessFreakonometrics
- The Space of Physical Frameworks (Part 5)Azimuth
- Sad times for AI safetyShtetl-Optimized
- Wendy Brown: “Just as nothing is more corrosive to serious intellectual work than being governed by a political programme (whether that of states, corporations, or a revolutionary movement), nothing is more inapt to a political campaign than the unending reflexivity, critique and self-correction required of scholarly inquiry.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Debates that haven't happened yet aren't news (and vice-presidential debates are seldom news even after they happen)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Pete RoseStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The leisurely cruise begins: Excerpt from Excursion 1 Tour 1 of Statistical Inference as Severe Testing (SIST)Error Statistics Philosophy
- United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 3Stats Chat
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 5Stats Chat
- Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 3Stats Chat
- NRL Predictions for the Grand FinalStats Chat
- “A Hudson Valley Reckoning: Discovering the Forgotten History of Slaveholding in My Dutch American Family”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Linkage for the start of another academic year11011110
- Faculty positions at the University of Oregon’s new Data Science departmentStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Worrying newsPeter Cameron's Blog
- Two shorter book notesLogic Matters
- Golem VIMusings
- “Toward reproducible research: Some technical statistical challenges” and “The political content of unreplicable research” (my talks at Berkeley and Stanford this Wed and Thurs)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Identifying hash algorithmsJohn D. Cook
- The (Man who Would Be) King's Speech -- Sane Washing through SilenceWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A Catania una tavola rotonda sulle questioni di genere in educazione matematicaMaddmaths!
- Walter NeumannPersiflage
- The Space of Physical Frameworks (Part 5)The n-Category Café
- Progress on R(5). Will there be more?Computational Complexity
- “Announcing the 2023 IPUMS Research Award Winners”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- “The best logic textbook ever”?Logic Matters
- CeresAzimuth
- Testing random number generatorsJohn D. Cook
- Now published: Building Quantum ComputersQuantum Frontiers
- Limitations on Venn diagramsJohn D. Cook
- Fake stories in purported nonfictionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Swiss winter school on Theoretical CSWindows On Theory
- Descriptive statistics by handStats and R
- Revisiting Cori & LascarLogic Matters
- Online seminar for Monte Carlo Methods++Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Am I taking students?Persiflage
- Nestedly Recursive FunctionsStephen Wolfram Writings
- Edit distanceJohn D. Cook
- 3 levels of fraud: One-time, Linear, and ExponentialStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Axiomatic Set Theory 2: The Axioms, Part OneThe n-Category Café
- Rice ECE Department Climbs 12 Spots to #16 in US News Rankings[UNTITLED BLOG]
- Three Papers at EMNLP 2024[UNTITLED BLOG]
- Birthday problem approximationJohn D. Cook
- Abortion in 2024 doesn't mean what it did in 2021West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- What’s the story behind that paper by the Center for Open Science team that just got retracted?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- (1 − z) / (1 + z)John D. Cook
- LeetCode and AIComputational Complexity
- Mark Twain on chatbotsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- SCOR Project Newsletter #2Freakonometrics
- Like we've been saying, he's not the same TrumpWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Galileo Galilei vs The Holy Roman Catholic Church – Round: 5555555555…………The Renaissance Mathematicus
- C’est la rentrée… des chaires parisiennesFreakonometrics
- The International Olympiad in InjusticeShtetl-Optimized
- A pilot project in universal algebra to explore new ways to collaborate and use machine assistance?What's new
- A pilot project in universal algebra to explore new ways to collaborate and use machine assistance?What's new
- ACT 2025 and the Adjoint SchoolThe n-Category Café
- Long but non-crossing paths and cycles11011110
- ACT 2025 and the Adjoint SchoolAzimuth
- Stan’s autodiff is 4x faster than JAX on CPU but 5x slower on GPU (in one eval)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Leonardo's gearsDoc Madhattan
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 4Stats Chat
- Ten years ago at the blog -- "One thing that sets a serious newspaper apart from most other institutions in our society is that we own up to our mistakes with corrections, editor's notes and other accountability devices, including the public editor's column."West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – XXXThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Oh no Stanford no no no not again please make it stopStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Well, today we find our heroes flying along smoothly…Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- It’s martingale time, baby! How to evaluate probabilistic forecasts before the event happens? Rajiv Sethi has an idea. (Hint: it involves time series.)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Maggie Haberman thinks we're out to get her.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Boris Giltburg, Beethoven sonatas ILogic Matters
- Viterbo’s conjecture was refuted by Pazit Haim-Kislev and Yaron OstroverCombinatorics and more
- Congratulations, Dr. Lunel!11011110
- Nonsampling error and the anthropic principle in statisticsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- I thought I knew what pizza was...Computational Complexity
- Bill JacksonPeter Cameron's Blog
- Present Each Other’s Posters: An update after 15 yearsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Online activities 22 – 28 SeptemberEuropean Set Theory Society
- All of the good titles I can think of for this post are too tasteless for this blogWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- StanCon 2024… is a wrap!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Quantum Computing: Between Hope and HypeShtetl-Optimized
- Error in Ramanujan’s approximation for ellipse perimeterJohn D. Cook
- AI transcript of my AI podcastShtetl-Optimized
- Arguing about bitcoinStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Axiomatic Set Theory 1: IntroductionThe n-Category Café
- Skipping past five books …Logic Matters
- Cluster detection and error correctionPeter Cameron's Blog
- Risques, big data, réputation… au château de Cerisy, l’assurance face aux défis de son époqueFreakonometrics
- Why art is more forgiving than game designStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Pragmatic Cosmos • 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Leisurely cruise through Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: First AnnouncementError Statistics Philosophy
- Women In TheoryGödel’s Lost Letter and P=NP
- The Gravo-Thermal CatastropheAzimuth
- Pete Rose and gambling addiction: An insight and a questionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- "If Democrats were serious about diversity and inclusion, they would want there to be more Black Nazis" UPDATEDWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Hausdorff Medal 2024European Set Theory Society
- Timothy Chow’s Amazing Fifteen Boxes Puzzle (TYI 56)Combinatorics and more
- Topological Group Reflections: turning a group with topology into a topological group, Part IWild Topology
- Instability of win probability in election forecasts (with a little bit of R)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Book note: Smullyan’s GuideLogic Matters
- Getting a pass on evaluating ways to improve scienceStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- “Take a pass”: New contronym just dropped.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Cauchy distribution’s counter-intuitive behaviorJohn D. Cook
- Two Trumps -- a side by side comparisonWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Paul Halmos and Tom BlythPeter Cameron's Blog
- Announcing the quantum-steampunk creative-writing course!Quantum Frontiers
- Embracing the Future of ManufacturingComputational Complexity
- This week in tech messiah newsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A gentleman of KentThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Between transitive and primitive, 2: resultsPeter Cameron's Blog
- Election prediction markets: What happens next?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Announcing the ∞-Cosmos ProjectLean community blog
- SCOR-UQAM Annual ReportFreakonometrics
- Pointwise convergence of bilinear polynomial averages over the primesWhat's new
- Pointwise convergence of bilinear polynomial averages over the primesWhat's new
- 20 years of blogging . . . What have been your favorite posts?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Arithmetic, Geometry, Harmony, and GoldJohn D. Cook
- Ten years ago at the blog -- level 5 autonomy had been just around the corner for about three yearsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Between transitive and primitive, I: historyPeter Cameron's Blog
- The Mets are looking to hire a data scientistStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Bounds and Reduced CostsOR in an OB World
- The RiderStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Loom(er)ing crisisWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- The Space of Physical Frameworks (Part 4)Azimuth
- How will chatGPT affect Homework?Computational Complexity
- The Space of Physical Frameworks (Part 4)The n-Category Café
- Summer School in WarszawaFreakonometrics
- My podcast with Dan FaggellaShtetl-Optimized
- Linkage11011110
- Shreddergate! A fascinating investigation into possible dishonesty in a psychology experimentStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Pictures from Our 2024 Annual Meeting of the Israel Mathematical Union and Student DayCombinatorics and more
- Ceva, cevians, and Routh’s theoremJohn D. Cook
- Moments of inertia mnemonicJohn D. Cook
- Freakonomics asks, “Why is there so much fraud in academia,” but without addressing one big incentive for fraud, which is that, if you make grabby enough claims, you can get featured in . . . Freakonomics!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Supercentenarian superfraud updateStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Binomial boundJohn D. Cook
- Movements in the prediction markets, and going beyond a black-box view of markets and prediction modelsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Extraordinary Republican Delusions and the Madness of MAGA (We need to talk about the pet-eating thing)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Dynamic Programming FailMath ∩ Programming
- Reactions from the Day after -- UPDATEDWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Wiser than the Wisest or the Stupidity of Herds?[UNTITLED BLOG]