• 19 Oct 2025Kazhdan Seminar fall 2025 – Starting Today Oct. 19, 2026.Combinatorics and more
• 19 Oct 2025Distribution of coordinates on a sphereJohn D. Cook
• 18 Oct 2025ODE to Fisher’s transformJohn D. Cook
• 18 Oct 2025and it got worse & worse & … [verbatim]Xi'an's Og
• 18 Oct 2025Quality metricsJohn D. Cook
• 18 Oct 2025The war on data, 2025 editionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 17 Oct 2025Thunderbird [support]Xi'an's Og
• 17 Oct 2025Separating the whack from the chaff in critiques of decision theoryStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 17 Oct 2025The importance of essentialism in children’s and adults’ conceptions of the worldStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 17 Oct 2025Un cadre de gouvernance à trois piliers pour une tarification équitable de l’assuranceFreakonometrics
• 17 Oct 2025Turning trig identities into Fibonacci identitiesJohn D. Cook
• 17 Oct 2025There's an ongoing war against the very concepts of public domain and fair use and it's something we should be talking about.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 17 Oct 2025L’algoritmo del Conclave: come la matematica della Bocconi ha previsto Papa PrevostMaddmaths!
• 16 Oct 2025Generalizing Treatment Effects from Trials to EHR Populations (Qixuan Chen’s talk this Tues morning)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 16 Oct 2025My talk at Columbia University: “Computational Complexity and Explanations in Physics”Shtetl-Optimized
• 16 Oct 2025OWABI Season VIIXi'an's Og
• 16 Oct 2025Experiences with GPT-5-CodexJohn D. Cook
• 16 Oct 2025“All Our Default Models Are Wrong: Causal inference for varying treatment effects”: my talk this Saturday morning in OttawaStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 16 Oct 2025Two Ph.D. studentshipsLogic Matters
• 16 Oct 2025And you thought consultants were overpaid before...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 16 Oct 2025“We can obtain less rigorous but more convincing results by other means” (new paper)Noncommutative Analysis
• 16 Oct 2025Diversità di opinioni per una società meno polarizzataMaddmaths!
• 16 Oct 2025La parité, comme condition d’équilibre stable non dégénéré (simulations)Freakonometrics
• 15 Oct 2025Nature tidbits [21 Aug 2025]Xi'an's Og
• 15 Oct 2025Linkage11011110
• 15 Oct 2025Questions about statistical claims in paper from recent Nobel prize winners; some general challenges in trying understand nonlinear patterns using quadratic regressionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 15 Oct 2025Fall Jobs Post 2025Computational Complexity
• 15 Oct 2025Fourteen years ago at the blog: the "a pervasive fetish" line actually holds up better today than it did thenWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 15 Oct 2025La parité, comme condition d’équilibre stable non dégénéréFreakonometrics
• 15 Oct 2025Perceived Fairness in NetworksFreakonometrics
• 14 Oct 2025bombing universitiesXi'an's Og
• 14 Oct 2025The Kepler Problem (Part 12)Azimuth
• 14 Oct 2025Survey Statistics: MRPWStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 14 Oct 2025What’s wrong with the academic publication system?Beni Bogoşel's blog
• 14 Oct 2025Stockholm SyndromeStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 14 Oct 2025Cactus Language • Semantics 5Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 14 Oct 2025Eleven years ago at the blog: This one had legsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 14 Oct 2025The mystery of thermodynamicsHydrobates
• 14 Oct 2025Online activities 13 – 19 OctoberArchive of the European Set Theory Society
• 13 Oct 2025United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 4Stats Chat
• 13 Oct 2025Top 14 Predictions for Round 7Stats Chat
• 13 Oct 2025Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 4Stats Chat
• 13 Oct 2025Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Semi-FinalsStats Chat
• 13 Oct 2025Storie che contano: 9) Rudi Mathematici, “Una passione analitica”Maddmaths!
• 13 Oct 2025Fondation Sciences Mathématiques de Paris fundingsXi'an's Og
• 13 Oct 2025Marx, Wilde ou l’art de se méfier du consensusFreakonometrics
• 13 Oct 2025StanCon 2026 in Uppsala, SwedenStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 13 Oct 2025“The Impossible Man”: Patchen Barss’s biography of Roger PenroseStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 13 Oct 2025Ethereum’s consensus layer elliptic curveJohn D. Cook
• 13 Oct 2025NYT on the SAT -- then and nowWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 13 Oct 2025The Most Common Name in the World is Not Charles Lin. But It Seems That Way To Me.Computational Complexity
• 12 Oct 2025International Day for Women in Statistics and Data Science 2025Xi'an's Og
• 12 Oct 2025Cactus Language • Semantics 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 12 Oct 2025Inverting matrices and bilinear functionsJohn D. Cook
• 12 Oct 2025This is what a degree in cannabis studies will get yaStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 12 Oct 2025Recommended reading: History of Large Language ModelsNoncommutative Analysis
• 11 Oct 2025the peace of graves, the silence of ruinsXi'an's Og
• 11 Oct 2025Generate random points inside a sphereJohn D. Cook
• 11 Oct 20257 reasons to use Bayesian inference!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 11 Oct 2025Random samples from a tetrahedronJohn D. Cook
• 11 Oct 2025Crown EthersAzimuth
• 10 Oct 2025Deleting one point from a function spaceDan Ma's Topology Blog
• 10 Oct 2025it was just an accident […unlike the Trump administration returning Iranian refugees to Iran]Xi'an's Og
• 10 Oct 2025Excursion 1 Tour I (2nd Stop): Probabilism, Performance, and Probativeness (1.2)Error Statistics Philosophy
• 10 Oct 2025Cactus Language • Semantics 3Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 10 Oct 2025GPT-5 for AI-assisted discoveryJohn D. Cook
• 10 Oct 2025Columbia fake U.S. News statistics update: They paid $9 million and are still, bizarrely, refusing to admit misreporting of data, even though everybody knows they misreported data.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 10 Oct 2025"If there's fear in the market, it's wearing noise canceling headphones."West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 10 Oct 2025Explicit Lossless Vertex Expanders!Combinatorics and more
• 09 Oct 2025Entre ici, Robert BadinterXi'an's Og
• 09 Oct 2025Linear Risk Sharing on NetworksFreakonometrics
• 09 Oct 2025Culture eats AI strategy for breakfast: why professors should focus on culture instead of consequences when confronting generative AI in the classroomLaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
• 09 Oct 2025More on CarmichaelJohn D. Cook
• 09 Oct 2025The worst research papers I’ve ever publishedStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 09 Oct 2025It’s like a buy-one-get-one-free deal, except with billions of dollars’ worth of chips and 10% of AMD.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 09 Oct 2025The Unknotting Number is Not AdditiveDavid Richeson: Division by Zero
• 09 Oct 2025Differential equation on a doughnutJohn D. Cook
• 08 Oct 2025Post-doc positions in Sao PauloJérôme Buzzi’s
• 08 Oct 2025Prior distributions for regression coefficientsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 08 Oct 2025Big Bots Don't CryComputational Complexity
• 08 Oct 2025Zcash price doubledJohn D. Cook
• 08 Oct 2025Cactus Language • Semantics 2Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 08 Oct 2025Selection bias in junk science: Which junk science gets a hearing?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 08 Oct 2025The Libertarian Movement and Women -- It's not just a Robin Hanson thingWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 08 Oct 2025Aki looking for a doctoral student to develop Bayesian workflowStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 08 Oct 2025I Problemi di LeScienze – Settembre 2025 – Uno, nessuno, cento (alberi)Maddmaths!
• 07 Oct 2025Survey Statistics: struggles with equivalent weightsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 07 Oct 2025Sad and happy dayShtetl-Optimized
• 07 Oct 2025Lattice path matroidsThe Matroid Union
• 07 Oct 2025Deleting one point from the product of a compact space and a countable spaceDan Ma's Topology Blog
• 07 Oct 2025RSA with multiple primesJohn D. Cook
• 07 Oct 2025Historical American Political Finance Data at the National ArchivesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 07 Oct 2025In the works: a book “Exploring Graphs via Harmonic Morphisms”Yet Another Mathblog
• 07 Oct 2025When "create more wealth before the bubble bursts" is the bull caseWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 07 Oct 2025Call for nominations for the Hausdorff Medal 2026Archive of the European Set Theory Society
• 07 Oct 2025Online activities 6 – 12 OctoberArchive of the European Set Theory Society
• 07 Oct 2025United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 3Stats Chat
• 07 Oct 2025Top 14 Predictions for Round 6Stats Chat
• 07 Oct 2025Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 3Stats Chat
• 07 Oct 2025Bunnings NPC Predictions for the Quarter-FinalsStats Chat
• 06 Oct 2025“300 Paintings”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 06 Oct 2025A very short, very blunt, book noteLogic Matters
• 06 Oct 2025A Complex Qutrit Inside an Octonionic OneThe n-Category Café
• 06 Oct 2025True growth rate accounting for inflationJohn D. Cook
• 06 Oct 2025Cactus Language • Semantics 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 06 Oct 2025A quiet change to RSAJohn D. Cook
• 06 Oct 2025When rich people believe, or pretend to believe, stupid things (tennis edition)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 06 Oct 2025Guess what I got in the mail this weekend?West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 06 Oct 2025Certitudes collectives et incertitudes individuelles, les données massives changent-elles la donne ?Freakonometrics
• 06 Oct 2025Come spiegare le dimostrazioni alle AI?Maddmaths!
• 06 Oct 2025Deux tiers d’une indemnité : une histoire de discriminations en assurance vie aux États UnisFreakonometrics
• 05 Oct 2025Fermat primes and tangent numbersJohn D. Cook
• 05 Oct 2025Memorizing a list of seed wordsJohn D. Cook
• 05 Oct 2025Uncanny academic valley: Brian Wansink as proto-chatbotStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 05 Oct 2025If you use AI in your work do you brag about it or hide it?Computational Complexity
• 05 Oct 2025Paysage mathématique / Mathematical landscapeFreakonometrics
• 05 Oct 2025Dal feed al bidet: quando il cellulare diventa un problemaMaddmaths!
• 05 Oct 2025Negative Mass (Part 2)Azimuth
• 05 Oct 2025RM321, Ottobre 2025, è in lineaMaddmaths!
• 04 Oct 2025Cactus Language • Mechanics 5Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 04 Oct 2025Footnotes to a fortnight: Category mistakes, Dutch courtyards, MartinůLogic Matters
• 04 Oct 2025Unusual consulting requestStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 04 Oct 2025Student projects in complex analysis: The Prime Number TheoremNoncommutative Analysis
• 04 Oct 2025Archimede 3/2025: l’errore in matematicaMaddmaths!
• 03 Oct 2025It’s a JAX, JAX, JAX, JAX WorldStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 03 Oct 2025Adding noise to the data to reduce overfitting . . . How does that work?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 03 Oct 202510x vs 10%John D. Cook
• 03 Oct 2025Prussian BlueAzimuth
• 03 Oct 2025To address the oversupply of soybeans, RFK Jr. announced that the Health Department has developed new crackers combining the legume with lentils for a tasty and nutritious snack.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 03 Oct 2025La stangata matematica: chi “gonfia” le proprie citazioni?Maddmaths!
• 03 Oct 2025The Analyst’s Gambit: A Second Course in Functional AnalysisNoncommutative Analysis
• 02 Oct 2025Group Theory Day in BudapestPeter Cameron's Blog
• 02 Oct 2025“It’s horrible that they’re sucking young researchers into this vortex. It’s Gigo and Gresham all the way down.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 02 Oct 2025West Coast Stat Views Correction: it turns out August wasn't the worst possible time to start playing Kriegspiel with the US economyWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 02 Oct 2025Procrastinare: l’arte di “lo faccio domani”Maddmaths!
• 02 Oct 20252025(1)The leisurely cruise begins: Excerpt from Excursion 1 Tour 1 of Statistical Inference as Severe Testing (SIST)Error Statistics Philosophy
• 02 Oct 2025Probably don't put equation layout in linksPeter Krautzberger
• 01 Oct 2025The Stat / Econ / Computer Science Interface: AI for the Coming DecadesNo Hesitations
• 01 Oct 2025More on RIP ARCUS (Arctic Research Consortium of the United States)No Hesitations
• 01 Oct 2025Computers Don't WantComputational Complexity
• 01 Oct 2025Yes, your single vote really can make a difference! (in Canada)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 01 Oct 2025Making sense of the senselessWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 01 Oct 2025From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – LIIIThe Renaissance Mathematicus
• 30 Sep 2025Survey Statistics: beyond balancingStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 30 Sep 2025Linkage with feijoas11011110
• 30 Sep 2025Time needed to factor large integersJohn D. Cook
• 30 Sep 2025“Dangerous Fictions” and the norm of entertainmentStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 30 Sep 2025Neutrinos and GoldAzimuth
• 30 Sep 2025The Iger Sanction*West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 30 Sep 2025United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 2Stats Chat
• 30 Sep 2025Top 14 Predictions for Round 5Stats Chat
• 30 Sep 2025log log xJohn D. Cook
• 29 Sep 2025Behind-the-Scenes Seminar on social science this Fri 3 OctStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 29 Sep 2025Fitting a double exponential function to three pointsJohn D. Cook
• 29 Sep 2025Game theory corner: did Eric Adams play his hand well? (It’s a little like Murder on the Orient Express, it’s a little like The Sting.)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 29 Sep 2025That was quickWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 29 Sep 2025Online activities 29 September – 5 OctoberArchive of the European Set Theory Society
• 29 Sep 2025Équité : traiter différemment ou ne pas traiter différemment ?Freakonometrics
• 28 Sep 2025Clyde Kruskal talks about his Father Martin on Martin's 100th birthdayComputational Complexity
• 28 Sep 2025Extrapolating quantum factoringJohn D. Cook
• 28 Sep 2025Negative Mass (Part 1)Azimuth
• 28 Sep 2025de Rham cohomology of an Artinian ringStacks Project Blog
• 28 Sep 2025“Veridical (truthful) Data Science”: Another way of looking at statistical workflowStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 27 Sep 2025The QMA SingularityShtetl-Optimized
• 27 Sep 2025A Paradigm Shift: Reasoning at Enteprise ScaleNuit Blanche
• 27 Sep 2025Cactus Language • Mechanics 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 27 Sep 2025In music, literature, and technical writing, the relation of large-scale structure to the local actionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 27 Sep 2025Norrköpingsfallen11011110
• 26 Sep 2025Post-quantum RSA with gargantuan keysJohn D. Cook
• 26 Sep 20252025 Leisurely cruise through Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: First AnnouncementError Statistics Philosophy
• 26 Sep 2025A Selective History of Political Polling and Election ForecastingStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 26 Sep 2025Weekend Videos -- Would-Be Tyrants and Real-Life GiantsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 26 Sep 2025HSBC unleashes yet another “qombie”: a zombie claim of quantum advantage that isn’tShtetl-Optimized
• 26 Sep 2025Conway’s pinwheel tilingJohn D. Cook
• 25 Sep 2025An application of a theorem of KatetovDan Ma's Topology Blog
• 25 Sep 2025Surjective map from affine spaceStacks Project Blog
• 25 Sep 2025The Dodgers are hiringStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 25 Sep 2025Silent PaymentsJohn D. Cook
• 25 Sep 2025Dror Bar-Natan and Roland Van der Veen – A Fast, Strong, and Fun knot invariant!Combinatorics and more
• 25 Sep 2025“On the poor statistical properties of the P-curve meta-analytic procedure”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 25 Sep 2025Self-Driving CarsComputational Complexity
• 25 Sep 2025Cactus Language • Mechanics 3Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 25 Sep 2025Back on the cautionary beatWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 25 Sep 2025What is a Good Quantum Encoding? Part 1Math3ma
• 25 Sep 2025Good Reads: The Princeton Companion to MathematicsMath3ma
• 24 Sep 2025An inverse problem for the quadratic equationJohn D. Cook
• 24 Sep 2025More on the decline and fall of Steven LevittStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 24 Sep 2025Kimmel part 2 -- the businessWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 24 Sep 2025Charles Whitwell – A credit to his masterThe Renaissance Mathematicus
• 23 Sep 2025Survey Statistics: Fat Bear WeekStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 23 Sep 2025Bridging prediction and intervention in social systemsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 23 Sep 2025Projet SCOR, Infolettre #4Freakonometrics
• 23 Sep 2025SCOR Project Newsletter #4Freakonometrics
• 23 Sep 2025World’s greatest 404 pageStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 23 Sep 2025Kimmel Part 1 -- the politicsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 22 Sep 2025Creating a database of motivated proofsGowers's Weblog
• 22 Sep 2025Protecting data from the public and ourselvesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 22 Sep 2025Cactus Language • Mechanics 2Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 22 Sep 2025It’s JAMA time, baby! Junk science presented as public health researchStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 22 Sep 2025Darkness over AmericaShtetl-Optimized
• 22 Sep 2025I was going to start a two-part post on the Kimmel suspension, but given the news, I though I'd hold offWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 22 Sep 2025Online activities 22 – 28 SeptemberArchive of the European Set Theory Society
• 22 Sep 2025We can find more papers on the web than we used to. Are we reading them?Computational Complexity
• 22 Sep 2025Entre statistiques et destin, deux visions de la justiceFreakonometrics
• 21 Sep 2025Blending science with fiction in BaltimoreQuantum Frontiers
• 21 Sep 2025Inverting series that are flat at zeroJohn D. Cook
• 21 Sep 2025My new git utility `what-changed-twice` needs a new nameThe Universe of Discourse
• 21 Sep 2025Who gets listed first on a collaborative article or book?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 21 Sep 2025Mollweide map projection and Newton’s methodJohn D. Cook
• 21 Sep 2025EucarpiaPeter Cameron's Blog
• 20 Sep 2025Du déni des risques climatiques, du déni des responsabilitésFreakonometrics
• 20 Sep 2025Cactus Language • Discussion 3Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 20 Sep 2025Songs of passion.Logic Matters
• 20 Sep 2025Monty Hall and generative modeling: Drawing the tree is the most important stepStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 19 Sep 2025When thinking about causal inference, mechanistic or process models are important. I think that the association of “causal” with black-box models leads to lots of problems.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 19 Sep 2025The Malgrange preparation theoremHydrobates
• 19 Sep 2025Fill in the _____West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 19 Sep 2025Who (or what) could have written a better book?Noncommutative Analysis
• 19 Sep 20251420 MHzJohn D. Cook
• 18 Sep 2025Condition numbers for HMC and the funnelStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 18 Sep 2025More Howl, after Allen Ginsberg for the AI-headed hipstersStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 18 Sep 2025John Preskill receives 2025 Quantum Leadership AwardQuantum Frontiers
• 18 Sep 2025Special Climate issue of The Econometrics JournalNo Hesitations
• 18 Sep 2025“Why probability probably doesn’t exist (but it is useful to act like it does)”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 18 Sep 2025Bluesky, Dark CloudsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 18 Sep 2025Ronald Jensen (Apr 01, 1936 – Sept 16, 2025)Archive of the European Set Theory Society

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