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- From Premium to Contribution: Recovering SolidarityFreakonometrics
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- Welcome to the new members of the research groupPieter Belmans
- London Meeting on Computational Statistics 28-29 April 2026, plus a UCL lecture by Lester MackeyXi'an's Og
- John Haugeland on the failure of micro-worldsThe Universe of Discourse
- Fibonacci number certificatesJohn D. Cook
- Differential Logic • 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Trevisan Award for Expository WorkWindows On Theory
- Sunstein on Kissinger: No opinion on the whole war criminal thing, but the generosity that he showed when talking about Star Wars [the movie, not the weapons program] was “incomparable”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- When you're trying to weather a scandal, it helps to have the NYT on your side.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Γ(1/n)John D. Cook
- Softly, effectively, in the age of genAIStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Postdoc position in algebraic geometryPieter Belmans
- Paul Deheuvels (1948-2026)Xi'an's Og
- What Ultimately Is There? Metaphysics and the RuliadStephen Wolfram Writings
- Surreal arithmetic is bi-interpretable with set theory, CUNY Logic Workshop, March 2026Joel David Hamkins
- “Statistics is widely understood to provide a body of techniques for ‘modeling data.'”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- A quick midweek film review by Bob ChipmanWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Sampling the Oxford CS LibraryComputational Complexity
- Criminal Records, the Right to be Forgotten, and Inclusive InsuranceFreakonometrics
- Every toot I've ever written, in alphabetical orderCheck my working
- Correlation, Causation, Circumstance, ContextFreakonometrics
- Corrélation et causalité, circonstance et contexteFreakonometrics
- Doctors Without Borders (MSF) expelled from Gaza!Xi'an's Og
- Finding a Row that MovedOR in an OB World
- Survey Statistics: 5 flavors of calibrationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Updates and Plans V: From Boise to Tel Aviv, Ceasefire, My 70th Birthday, Nostalgia, Problems, Outrageous Conjectures, Quantum, and AICombinatorics and more
- Differential Logic • OverviewInquiry Into Inquiry
- “Parallelizing MCMC Across the Sequence Length”: This one is really cool.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The path to noncommutative function theory: a research storyNoncommutative Analysis
- Polish serenityJohn D. Cook
- "because a 'stock' no longer refers to a unit of ownership in a company so much as it is a chip at a casino where the house constantly changes the rules."West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Spooky action nearby: Entangling logical qubits without physical operationsQuantum Frontiers
- Slag Field EcologyAzimuth
- An assistant professorship at Utrecht UniversityPieter Belmans
- Fair Transit Stop Placement: A Clustering Perspective and BeyondAlgorithmics, Social choice, Market Design, and Other Topics
- persuasive (and Oceanic) privacyXi'an's Og
- United Rugby Championship Predictions for Delayed GamesStats Chat
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 17Stats Chat
- IPAM industrial short course in generative AI algorithms – deadline for applications closing soonWhat's new
- IPAM industrial short course in generative AI algorithms – deadline for applications closing soonWhat's new
- Postdoc in Milan on scalability for high-dimensional Bayesian learningStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Satellites have a lot of roomJohn D. Cook
- A counterintuitive example where a strong prior pulls an estimate in the wrong direction–and how to see the problemStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Elon doesn't think things throughWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Hans Berliner – a life built around chessYet Another Mathblog
- Insurance, biases, discrimination and fairnessFreakonometrics
- telling my European friends how I feel like a stranger at homeXi'an's Og
- The time I didn’t meet Jeffrey EpsteinShtetl-Optimized
- Before the ChatGPT-HW debate there were other ``If students use X to do their HW'' debatesComputational Complexity
- 3D-Printed Slices and Traces of Functions of Two VariablesDavid Richeson: Division by Zero
- For God’s sake, don’t donate to the “International Peace Institute”! (unless you want to pay for corrupt assholes to fly first class around the world to give speeches about how everyone needs to tighten their belts)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Balance and Calibration of Probabilistic Scores: From GLM to Machine LearningFreakonometrics
- From the Mixed-Up Files of Jeffrey E. EpsteinStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- and it is getting worse… [verbatim]Xi'an's Og
- Linkage with bulging mussels11011110
- Guest Post from an IranianShtetl-Optimized
- War of the Wheels – The Wheelie Bin vs. The WheelchairThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- The pantheon of celebrity billionairesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- happy Brussels sprouts day!Xi'an's Og
- AGI, ASI, A*I – Do we have all we need to get there?John D. Cook
- P vs. NP and the Difficulty of Computation: A Ruliological ApproachStephen Wolfram Writings
- UpdateStacks Project Blog
- Bridging secrets is hardJohn D. Cook
- A Stan transpiler in Julia!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Tesla to transition out of the making of real things in order to focus on vaporwareWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- We’re looking for nominations for the American Statistical Association’s Excellence in Statistical Reporting Award.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- to the topXi'an's Og
- Severe testing of deep learning models of cognition (ii)Error Statistics Philosophy
- Not quite adversarial collaborationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- As if Mike Johnson didn't have enough to worry about...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Quantum is my happy placeShtetl-Optimized
- NFL Predictions for the Super BowlStats Chat
- United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 11Stats Chat
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 16Stats Chat
- Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 11Stats Chat
- “The Debutante” by Leonora CarringtonXi'an's Og
- Crooked politicians love crab cakes!The Universe of Discourse
- Almost-trivial theoremsThe Universe of Discourse
- OK, I reread that classic paper by Paul Meehl, and . . .Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Musk Credibility MarketWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – LIXThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- The Fighting Temeraire (Re)visitedComputational Complexity
- Tiny Musical IntervalsAzimuth
- Postdoctoral position at the University of Pennsylvania on the study of political informationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Nature on mirror conferencesXi'an's Og
- Survey Statistics: Total Margin of Error IIStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Thoughts on Claude’s ConstitutionWindows On Theory
- How the new era of CEO supervillains are trapped in their own ideologyStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- How probability models protect privacyLaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
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- Modeling and Understanding Indirect Discrimination in Algorithmic FairnessFreakonometrics
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- nycOpenData: A unified R interface to NYC Open Data APIsStats and R
- Gödel, Lean, Fra Angelico, SchubertLogic Matters
- An anecdote about backward compatibilityThe Universe of Discourse
- Science vs. superstition and the pluralist’s dilemmaStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- "ICE > MN" -- even for this administration, you seldom encounter the quiet part this loudWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Jérôme Lang’s contributions at the interface of economic theory with artificial intelligenceAlgorithmics, Social choice, Market Design, and Other Topics
- Post-doc positions in FinlandStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Seven antidotes for AI confusionNoncommutative Analysis
- BrieflyStats Chat
- Talk at NTU (Nanyang) in SingaporeFreakonometrics
- It’s cold out thereStats Chat
- Nonflat deformation theoryStacks Project Blog
- Has quantum advantage been achieved? Part 2: Considering the evidenceQuantum Frontiers
- The myth of wage compensation for hazardous work rears its ugly head: This NYT article has been engineered to annoy economist Peter Dorman.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- On thugsShtetl-Optimized
- Buzy week in SingaporeFreakonometrics
- LightOnOCR: A 1B End-to-End Multilingual Vision-Language Model for State-of-the-Art OCRNuit Blanche
- Fortunes and Geometric MeansJohn D. Cook
- Proving you know a productJohn D. Cook
- “Harvard dean made $150,000 as witness in Tylenol suits”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Online Talks on Accessible Theorems!Computational Complexity
- Being unhappy with accessible SVGs: text elementsPeter Krautzberger
- How to prove you know a discrete logarithmJohn D. Cook
- What’s the gender gap? Concerns about analyses using the Cooperative Election StudyStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Where's your Ed at? Right here.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A birthday discoveryPeter Cameron's Blog
- A crowdsourced repository for optimization constants?What's new
- A crowdsourced repository for optimization constants?What's new
- Congratulations, Dr. Gangam!11011110
- A decision theorist walks into a seminarStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- This paper in Management Science has been cited more than 6,000 times. Wall Street executives, top government officials, and even a former U.S. Vice President have all referenced it. It’s fatally flawed, and the scholarly community refuses to do anything about it.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Early seventies socially relevant DC has, as a rule, not aged wellWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- CommunityComputational Complexity
- What, a coincidence? What a coincidence!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Mills ratio and tail thicknessJohn D. Cook
- 200,000 commentsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Sigmas and StudentJohn D. Cook
- Acknowledging what these people are while being realistic about what they can and can't doWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- The scientific instrument maker Ralph Greatorex and his connections in the mid 17th century English mathematical and scientific community.The Renaissance Mathematicus
- Survey Statistics: Total Margin of ErrorStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Once more about the z-curve methodStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- StylometryJohn D. Cook
- Two workflow challenges from 2012 that were solved as a byproduct of something elseStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- I didn't expect to be recommending a nearly hour long video essay on Hopalong Cassidy...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- NFL Predictions for the Conference FinalStats Chat
- What to do about students using ChatGPT to do their homework?Computational Complexity
- En faire des tonnes pour quelques grammesFreakonometrics
- TheoryFest 2026 Call for Workshops (guest post by Mary Wooters)Windows On Theory
- Queueing Cuts in XpressMPOR in an OB World
- Seeking feedback from clinicians on AI as diagnostic decision supportStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Live Action Problems as High-Quality AssessmentMegan Hayes-Golding
- Gödel’s Theorems (and logicisms) revisitedLogic Matters
- Two cheers for ugly codeJohn D. Cook
- Rogers’ theorem on sievingWhat's new
- Rogers’ theorem on sievingWhat's new
- Noem’s Razor: Never attribute to stupidity that which is adequately explained by malice.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Rolling scaled forecast accuracyHyndsight
- Have a safe and contemplative Martin Luther King Jr. DayWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Mathematical Advances on Emerging RisksFreakonometrics
- Prime gaps and GapcoinJohn D. Cook
- I Had A DreamShtetl-Optimized
- On my way to SingaporeFreakonometrics
- Prime clusters and RiecoinJohn D. Cook
- Exterior algebraOpen System – Ark's blog
- Retroactively Validated HypeStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- ICECA 2026 (August 17-19, 2026), an interview with Christian Krattenthaler, and Condorcet revisited.Combinatorics and more
- Scott A. on Scott A. on Scott A.Shtetl-Optimized
- Dante and the 3-SphereAzimuth
- Polymath16, eighteenth thread: Back with a new conjecture!Short, Fat Matrices
- Meta-Lindelof countably compact spacesDan Ma's Topology Blog
- “Coding for humans: Best practices for writing software people can read”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Science Discovery: The Advanced Matrix Factorization and Decomposition Jungle PageNuit Blanche
- Don’t get any on youStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- (JAN #2) Leisurely cruise January 2026: Excursion 4 Tour II: 4.4 “Do P-Values Exaggerate the Evidence?”Error Statistics Philosophy
- The Government Will Foot the Bill!Freakonometrics
- More concerns about the z-curve methodStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Efficiently testing multiple primes at onceJohn D. Cook
- Tighter bounds in the prime number theoremJohn D. Cook
- Some questions and ideas about initialization for ADVIStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- An AI conversation older than me (we just won't say by how much)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- The integrated explicit analytic number theory networkWhat's new
- The integrated explicit analytic number theory networkWhat's new
- C’est l’État qui paiera!Freakonometrics
- Events related to Markus Reineke as Springer ChairPieter Belmans
- Benders Decomposition in XpressMPOR in an OB World
- Linkage11011110
- FDA guidance on Bayesian clinical trialsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Sign Relations • Graphical RepresentationsInquiry Into Inquiry
- Horseshoe theory meets cost-benefit analysis. Horseshoe wins.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- I’m going to try to be a little nicer to David Roberts in the future…West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Dominik Hangleiter’s View Posts on: Has Quantum Advantage Been Achieved?Combinatorics and more
- Efficiently computing multiple modular inverses at onceJohn D. Cook
- 1 quick tip to improving student participation in your class (motivated by a principle in poker)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Marques du passé, marques du futurFreakonometrics
- Just one more, I promise.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Open access and trouble in IranPeter Cameron's Blog
- Rational Functions Solved!Computational Complexity
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – LVIIIThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Survey Statistics: Margin of ErrorStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- A better way to fill in those missing bubbles in the standardized testStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- 10 simple rules for a flourishing financial futureLaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
- ICT, the third editionLogic Matters
- Wow, that was even quicker than I expected.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Tradeoffs of defining types as subobjectsLean community blog
- A Ten-Year-Old Video about Larry Guth and Netz Katz.Combinatorics and more
- NFL Predictions for the Divisional FinalsStats Chat
- What Is Ruliology?Stephen Wolfram Writings
- What’s the essence of blogging?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The middle binomial coefficientJohn D. Cook
- A sane market would be going crazy right now.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Combining in-shuffles and out-shufflesJohn D. Cook
- I asked ChatGPT to look at a proof, here's what happened...Asaf Karagila
- Is `smells like' commutative?Computational Complexity
- FREEDOM (while hoping my friends stay safe)Shtetl-Optimized
- The Mets are hiringStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- “The Great Believers” by Rebecca MakkaiStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- forecast package v9Hyndsight
- Concerns about the z-curve methodStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Primecoin primality testJohn D. Cook
- My general advice if you’re stuck on a problem understanding a model you’ve fit to dataStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Bi-twin prime chainsJohn D. Cook
- Prime chainsJohn D. Cook
- Lectures, et écritureFreakonometrics
- Sylvester and Clifford on Curved SpaceAzimuth
- This one’s for the blimpStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- 8 arguments against polling (some are good arguments, some are bad)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Compressing a set of hash valuesJohn D. Cook
- Still not sure why editors in NYC were more traumatized by the LA fires than those of us in LA were...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Computational DepthComputational Complexity
- Kronecker generalized deltas and Levi-Civita epsilonsOpen System – Ark's blog
- Much Ado About NothingThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- (JAN #1) Leisurely Cruise January 2026: Excursion 4 Tour I: The Myth of “The Myth of Objectivity” (Mayo 2018, CUP)Error Statistics Philosophy
- In Elon's defense, maybe people who stayed on X are just disproportionately creepyWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- The Goodness ClusterShtetl-Optimized
- JLMS centenaryPeter Cameron's Blog
- Is Springer Nature sacrificing scientific truth to political ideology?Hydrobates
- Memorizing chemical element symbolsJohn D. Cook
- Real Estate Wealth and Climate DisastersFreakonometrics
- “In this vale / Of toil / and sin / Your head goes bald / But not your chin. ...Burma-Shave.”West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Patrimoine immobilier et catastrophes climatiquesFreakonometrics
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