• 21 Dec 2024There is a season, turn, turn, turn…The Renaissance Mathematicus
• 20 Dec 2024a journal of the collapse, conquest, [1904] war, famine, and death [end of the] yearXi'an's Og
• 20 Dec 2024Putting a face on a faceless accountJohn D. Cook
• 20 Dec 2024Saint-JosephXi'an's Og
• 20 Dec 2024[3] December Leisurely Tour Meeting 3: SIST Excursion 3 Tour IIIError Statistics Philosophy
• 20 Dec 2024Delicate language for talking about statistical guaranteesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 20 Dec 2024strongly predicative dependent type theorynLab
• 20 Dec 2024Geoff’s Doctoral Adventures Part 2: The right program at the right time at the right cost (if there is one)emergent math
• 20 Dec 2024“Accounting for Nonresponse in Election Polls: Total Margin of Error”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 20 Dec 2024Qingyang Guan, Joseph Lehec and Bo’az Klartag Solved The Slice Conjecture!Combinatorics and more
• 20 Dec 2024Differential Propositional Calculus • 23Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 20 Dec 2024As we've said before, if you've gone through the holidays without hearing "Sugar Rum Cherry"...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 19 Dec 2024Can AI models reason: Just a stochastic parrot?John D. Cook
• 19 Dec 2024Geoff’s Doctoral Adventures Part 1: Why (not) to get your PhD in Mathematics Educationemergent math
• 19 Dec 2024Quaternions and spherical trigonometryWhat's new
• 19 Dec 2024Quaternions and spherical trigonometryWhat's new
• 19 Dec 2024Pseudonymity in academic publishing11011110
• 19 Dec 2024How did the press do on that “black spatula” story? Not so great.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 19 Dec 2024Interval arithmetic and fixed pointsJohn D. Cook
• 19 Dec 2024Differential Propositional Calculus • 22Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 19 Dec 2024Sixties television was filled with heart-warming Christmas episodes often featuring orphansWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 19 Dec 2024Normal probability approximationJohn D. Cook
• 19 Dec 2024Optimal vaccination policy to prevent endemicity: a stochastic modelFreakonometrics
• 18 Dec 2024Mayotte crushed…Xi'an's Og
• 18 Dec 2024Emergent Math Winter Mini-Series: How (not) to get your PhDemergent math
• 18 Dec 2024Simple error function approximationJohn D. Cook
• 18 Dec 2024Information is Physical?Computational Complexity
• 18 Dec 2024Differential Propositional Calculus • 21Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 18 Dec 2024He took public funds and falsified his data. Are they gonna make him pay back the $19 million?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 18 Dec 2024Eight years ago at the blog -- Evangelicals have always been passionate about the war on Christmas. They just used to be on the other side.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 18 Dec 2024Differential Propositional Calculus • 20Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 18 Dec 2024Christmas is coming and with it comes the Renaissance Mathematicus Christmas Trilogy 2024The Renaissance Mathematicus
• 18 Dec 2024Ricordo di Adam AtkinsonMaddmaths!
• 17 Dec 2024Nice meeting!Xi'an's Og
• 17 Dec 2024Applications of (Bayesian) variational inference?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 17 Dec 2024Pressing the cosine key over and overJohn D. Cook
• 17 Dec 2024On the distribution of eigenvalues of GUE and its minors at fixed indexWhat's new
• 17 Dec 2024On the distribution of eigenvalues of GUE and its minors at fixed indexWhat's new
• 17 Dec 2024Differential Propositional Calculus • 19Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 17 Dec 2024Iterative imputation and incoherent Gibbs samplingStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 17 Dec 2024Lord Peter Wimsey on the enshittification* of Tonka trucks -- a Toys for Tots follow-upWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 17 Dec 2024Problem solvingPeter Cameron's Blog
• 16 Dec 2024positive response to negative mixturesXi'an's Og
• 16 Dec 2024Perpetual CalendarsJohn D. Cook
• 16 Dec 2024“The Exceptions: Nancy Hopkins, MIT, and the Fight for Women in Science”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 16 Dec 2024Gregorian Calendar and Number TheoryJohn D. Cook
• 16 Dec 2024Differential Propositional Calculus • 18Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 16 Dec 2024Golden hospital gownsJohn D. Cook
• 16 Dec 2024Twelve years ago -- serious news outlets were still taking seriously a plan to colonize Mars with a reality show...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 16 Dec 2024New tool: twisted Hodge diamonds for Hilbert schemes of pointsPieter Belmans
• 15 Dec 2024off to NiceXi'an's Og
• 15 Dec 2024Online activities 16 – 22 DecemberEuropean Set Theory Society
• 15 Dec 2024LLMs and regular expressionsJohn D. Cook
• 15 Dec 2024Peter Sarnak is Coming to Town – Let’s Celebrate it with a Post on Möbius Randomness, Computational Complexity, and AICombinatorics and more
• 15 Dec 2024Linkage11011110
• 15 Dec 2024The Theory and Practice of Oligarchical CollectivismStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 15 Dec 2024Differential Propositional Calculus • 17Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 15 Dec 2024Random Thoughts on AI (Human Generated)Computational Complexity
• 15 Dec 2024Random Permutations (Part 14)The n-Category Café
• 15 Dec 2024Revue d’Economie PolitiqueFreakonometrics
• 14 Dec 2024early peer reviewXi'an's Og
• 14 Dec 2024It’s not a Lemma, it’s a Proposition!Persiflage
• 14 Dec 2024Matched asymptotic expansions, part 3Hydrobates
• 14 Dec 2024Beyond NISQ: The Megaquop MachineQuantum Frontiers
• 14 Dec 2024Differential Propositional Calculus • 16Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 14 Dec 2024The most interesting part of the story is that the publisher went through all these steps of reviewing and revising. If they just want to make money by publishing crap, why bother engaging outside reviewers at all?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 14 Dec 2024La storia di un divano (e ora sappiamo che forma ha)Maddmaths!
• 13 Dec 2024La línea de la vida [book review]Xi'an's Og
• 13 Dec 2024Every worldly cardinal admits a Gödel-Bernays structureJoel David Hamkins
• 13 Dec 2024“How a simple math error sparked a panic about black plastic kitchen utensils”: Does it matter when an estimate is off by a factor of 10?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 13 Dec 2024Differential Propositional Calculus • 15Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 13 Dec 2024And you thought the space hotel was embarrassing*West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 13 Dec 2024Matched asymptotic expansions, part 2Hydrobates
• 13 Dec 2024Graphical evidence for the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecturePieter Belmans
• 12 Dec 2024xkcd’atoricsXi'an's Og
• 12 Dec 2024It’s Harvard time, baby: “Kerfuffle” is what you call it when you completely botched your data but you don’t want to change your conclusions.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 12 Dec 2024Differential Propositional Calculus • 14Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 12 Dec 2024Either a 2% or a 75% chance of rainWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 12 Dec 2024Il modello di Holling per la predazioneMaddmaths!
• 12 Dec 2024Data Augmentation with Variational Autoencoder for Imbalanced DatasetFreakonometrics
• 11 Dec 2024importance sampling and independent Metropolis–Hastings with unbounded weightsXi'an's Og
• 11 Dec 2024It's Time to Stop Using GradesComputational Complexity
• 11 Dec 2024Answering two questions, one about Bayesian post-selection inference and one about prior and posterior predictive checksStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 11 Dec 2024Another indication that the original Drake Equation was worthlessWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 11 Dec 2024A ENGLISH MAN BORN IN Y NORTHThe Renaissance Mathematicus
• 10 Dec 2024Why am I willing to bet you $100-1000 there will be a Nobel Prize for Adaptive Experimentation in the next 40 years?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 10 Dec 2024Postdoc position at Northwestern on evaluating AI/ML decision supportStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 10 Dec 2024The Google Willow thingShtetl-Optimized
• 10 Dec 2024Bias remaining after adjusting for pre-treatment variables. Also the challenges of learning through experimentation.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 10 Dec 2024Medicine must be defendedHydrobates
• 10 Dec 2024"The city would naturally form a line as it tried to get away from itself."West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 10 Dec 2024Insurance analytics: prediction, explainability and fairnessFreakonometrics
• 10 Dec 2024Come visualizzare la moltiplicazione dei numeri naturali? Costruiamo un grafo!Maddmaths!
• 10 Dec 2024Il concetto di numero è elaborato in aree cerebrali molto anticheMaddmaths!
• 10 Dec 2024Martianus CapellaThe n-Category Café
• 10 Dec 2024Arriving in Vancouver, and some news from AAAI’25Freakonometrics
• 09 Dec 2024Useful to the Point of Being Revolutionary: Introducing Wolfram Notebook AssistantStephen Wolfram Writings
• 09 Dec 2024Coiled logarithmic graphJohn D. Cook
• 09 Dec 2024Close Reading ArchiveStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 09 Dec 2024Solution to a problem of ErdősJohn D. Cook
• 09 Dec 2024Our annual Toys-for-Tots postWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 09 Dec 2024The Case Against Google’s Claims of “Quantum Supremacy”: A Very Short Introduction.Combinatorics and more
• 08 Dec 2024My comments on Lance's Favorite TheoremsComputational Complexity
• 08 Dec 2024Online activities 9 – 15 DecemberEuropean Set Theory Society
• 08 Dec 2024“I work in a biology lab . . . My PI proposed a statistical test that I think is nonsense. . .”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 08 Dec 2024Finite groups and discrete mathematicsPeter Cameron's Blog
• 08 Dec 2024A dream problemPeter Cameron's Blog
• 08 Dec 2024RM311, Dicembre 2024, è in lineaMaddmaths!
• 08 Dec 2024December leisurely cruise “It’s the Methods, Stupid!” Excursion 3 Tour II (3.4-3.6)Error Statistics Philosophy
• 08 Dec 2024Multiple angles and Osborn’s ruleJohn D. Cook
• 07 Dec 2024MATE MisadventureOR in an OB World
• 07 Dec 2024Post-Calibration Techniques: Balancing Calibration and Score Distribution Alignment (NeurIPS’24)Freakonometrics
• 07 Dec 2024“Of course, this could conceivably be a case of near unbelievable luck: A flawed analysis based on wrong assumptions gave an unusually large causal effect estimate – but the misguided result just happened to be correct. We can imagine how the research team huddled nervously around the computer terminal biting their nails and silently praying as they executed their updated Stata code, only to erupt in joy and celebration as the results appeared on screen and revealed they were right all along. . . .”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 07 Dec 2024“Fields of definition”Persiflage
• 07 Dec 2024Martianus CapellaAzimuth
• 06 Dec 2024New Course: Prediction for (Individualized) Decision-makingStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 06 Dec 2024Gayface Data Replicability ProblemsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 06 Dec 2024Cross-Alps logic seminar (online) today at 16:00European Set Theory Society
• 06 Dec 2024Double-talk from the other sideWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 06 Dec 2024Problemi Classici – Semplificazioni molto sempliciMaddmaths!
• 05 Dec 2024Foundations of Biological Evolution: More Results & More SurprisesStephen Wolfram Writings
• 05 Dec 2024The vis-viva equationJohn D. Cook
• 05 Dec 2024AI for Math fundWhat's new
• 05 Dec 2024AI for Math fundWhat's new
• 05 Dec 2024Michael Clayton in NYCStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 05 Dec 2024Five years ago at the blog we were talking about an aborted twenty year old project that keeps getting more relevantWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 05 Dec 2024From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – XXXVThe Renaissance Mathematicus
• 05 Dec 2024Discounting the Future?Freakonometrics
• 04 Dec 2024Hey, journalist readers! Does anyone have a contact at NPR?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 04 Dec 2024Podcasts!Shtetl-Optimized
• 04 Dec 2024Credit where due to NPR regarding science data fraud, and here’s how they can do even betterStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 04 Dec 2024Favorite Theorems: The Complete ListComputational Complexity
• 04 Dec 2024What did John von Neumann mean by the "singularity"? -- a lemma postWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 04 Dec 2024ACT 2025The n-Category Café
• 04 Dec 2024ACT 2025Azimuth
• 04 Dec 20244 different meanings of p-value (and how my thinking has changed)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 03 Dec 2024Distortion in Social Choice @ FOCS 2024Algorithmics, Social choice, Market Design, and Other Topics
• 03 Dec 2024Online activities 2 – 8 DecemberEuropean Set Theory Society
• 03 Dec 2024Article in LMS NewsletterPeter Cameron's Blog
• 03 Dec 2024IEEE Jack S. Kilby Medal[UNTITLED BLOG]
• 03 Dec 2024Efficiently transferring to a much higher orbitJohn D. Cook
• 03 Dec 2024Toward a unified theory of bad science and bad scholarshipStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 03 Dec 2024Having a Galactic ChristmasWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 03 Dec 2024I Problemi di LeScienze – Novembre 2024 – Un campionato lungo un giornoMaddmaths!
• 02 Dec 2024United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 8Stats Chat
• 02 Dec 2024Top 14 Predictions for Round 12Stats Chat
• 02 Dec 2024Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 8Stats Chat
• 02 Dec 2024Rotating MacBook keysJohn D. Cook
• 02 Dec 2024Understanding p-values: Different interpretations can be thought of not as different “philosophies” but as different forms of averaging.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 02 Dec 2024Trump did better with women against Harris than he did against Biden -- you'd think that would be the ledeWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 02 Dec 2024Convocazione della seconda assemblea dell’Associazione MaddMaths! ETSMaddmaths!
• 01 Dec 2024Fast Schulze voting using quickselect11011110
• 01 Dec 2024Conway's Trick for Divisibility. Asking its complexity is an odd question.Computational Complexity
• 01 Dec 2024The computable surreal numbers, Notre Dame Logic Seminar, December 2024Joel David Hamkins
• 01 Dec 2024Presidential campaign effects are small.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 01 Dec 2024Actuarial ethics and the future of the profession, in the European ActuaryFreakonometrics
• 01 Dec 2024The odd non-spamness of some spam commentsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 01 Dec 2024Rivoluzioni Matematiche: il teorema di Weierstrass di Francisco FacchineiMaddmaths!
• 01 Dec 2024Make a “Magic Eye” image using ExcelDavid Richeson: Division by Zero
• 30 Nov 2024Black Hole PuzzleAzimuth
• 30 Nov 2024Linkage11011110
• 30 Nov 2024Asymmetric generation / verification costsJohn D. Cook
• 30 Nov 2024Here’s my excuse for using obsolete, sub-optimal, or inadequate statistical methods or using a method irresponsibly.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 30 Nov 202466 Years of Cox’s (1958) Chestnut: Excerpt from Excursion 3 Tour IIError Statistics Philosophy
• 29 Nov 2024Dogecoin anthemJohn D. Cook
• 29 Nov 2024A complex bug with a ⸢simple⸣ fixThe Universe of Discourse
• 29 Nov 2024That’s what happens when you try to run the world while excluding 99.8% of the populationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 29 Nov 2024Some mathematical newsCombinatorics and more
• 29 Nov 2024For the math nerds in the audience (or, in our case, the audience)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 29 Nov 2024Compact Multi-Planet SystemsAzimuth
• 28 Nov 2024ThanksgivingShtetl-Optimized
• 28 Nov 2024Happy 200th birthday, Carnot’s theorem!Quantum Frontiers
• 28 Nov 2024Blogging paceJohn D. Cook
• 28 Nov 2024Why does this guy have 2 gmail accounts?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 28 Nov 2024"As God as my witness..." is my second favorite Thanksgiving episode line [Repost]West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 28 Nov 2024Spaces of knowledge production in London Town in the 17th and 18th centuries.The Renaissance Mathematicus
• 28 Nov 2024On several irrationality problems for Ahmes seriesWhat's new
• 28 Nov 2024On several irrationality problems for Ahmes seriesWhat's new
• 28 Nov 2024Threats to Climate-Related US AgenciesAzimuth
• 27 Nov 2024Physics is like Brazil, Statistics is like ChileStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 27 Nov 2024"The trouble with revolutions is that they get in the hands of the wrong people."West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 26 Nov 2024Practical issues with calibration for every group and every decision problemStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 26 Nov 2024“I wonder just what it takes to get people to conclude that a research seam has been mined to the point of exhaustion.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 26 Nov 2024I would have expected it to be higher.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 26 Nov 2024Julien Trufin, on “Predictive Modeling and Balance Property through Autocalibration”Freakonometrics
• 25 Nov 2024Durham Computational Algebraic Geometry WorkshopLean community blog
• 25 Nov 2024Keith O’Rourke’s final published paper: “Statistics as a social activity: Attitudes toward amalgamating evidence”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 25 Nov 2024We Will All Write Like AIComputational Complexity
• 25 Nov 2024Google and the Case of the Missing Search TermWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 25 Nov 20242-year research assistant position (renewable up to 5 years) in logic, Bologna – deadline 30 November!European Set Theory Society
• 25 Nov 2024Dov Gabbay Prize Ceremony Nov 28, 17:00European Set Theory Society
• 25 Nov 2024Online activities 25 November – 1 DecemberEuropean Set Theory Society
• 25 Nov 2024Call for reader replacements! First Look at N-P Methods as Severe Tests: Water plant accident [Exhibit (i) from Excursion 3]Error Statistics Philosophy
• 25 Nov 2024Top 14 Predictions for Round 11Stats Chat
• 25 Nov 2024New paper: The Albanese morphism for hyperelliptic varietiesPieter Belmans
• 24 Nov 2024St Bernard on collaborationPeter Cameron's Blog
• 24 Nov 2024Bessel functionsHydrobates
• 24 Nov 2024Those correction notices, in full. (Yes, it’s possible to directly admit and learn from error.)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 23 Nov 2024“Why do medical tests always have error rates?”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 22 Nov 2024"You're right. We need to strengthen the dose... One part in ten million." -- Mitchell and Webb on Health CareWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 22 Nov 2024What genre of writing is AI-generated poetry?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 22 Nov 2024Axiomatic Set Theory 10: Cardinal ArithmeticThe n-Category Café
• 22 Nov 2024Now blogging on BlueskyNathaniel Johnston
• 22 Nov 2024Plagiarism searches and post-publication reviewStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 22 Nov 2024Location parameters and twin verticesPeter Cameron's Blog
• 21 Nov 2024The truth between Scylla and CharybdisHydrobates
• 21 Nov 2024Andrew Gelman is not the science police because there is no such thing as the science policeStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 21 Nov 2024Nine years ago at the blog -- reposting this partially because RadioLab hasn't gotten any better but mainly because I really like the title.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 21 Nov 2024The Great ConjunctionAzimuth
• 21 Nov 2024Baltic set theory seminar (hybrid) – every Thursday at 16:30European Set Theory Society
• 21 Nov 2024Gdansk logic colloquium (Wednesdays)European Set Theory Society
• 20 Nov 2024Confidential OCRJohn D. Cook
• 20 Nov 2024For what d is the following true: For all 2-colorings of \(R^d\) has a mono unit square (Answering(?) the Question)Computational Complexity
• 20 Nov 2024The Village Voice in the 1960s/70s and blogging in the early 2000sStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 20 Nov 2024Perfect numbersJohn D. Cook
• 20 Nov 2024Last things first – – a few thoughts on the Mars conversation and on 21st century futurism in general.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 20 Nov 2024From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – XXXIVThe Renaissance Mathematicus

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