- Anthropic: Stay strong!Shtetl-Optimized
- Differential Logic • 13Inquiry Into Inquiry
- SLMath Deputy Director SearchWhat's new
- SLMath Deputy Director SearchWhat's new
- The very fact that this article calls to mind a Roald Dahl short story is probably a red flagWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Hey! What the Froot was up with this Harvard website?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- on(-line) integral priors for model selectionXi'an's Og
- Differential Logic • 12Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Journalists and the people they interview: The individual contract and the social contractStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Good analogy, though under the circumstances, I'm a bit surprised he didn't go with Zelig.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Hyperbolic versions of latest postsJohn D. Cook
- Skew-symmetric approximations of posteriorXi'an's Og
- Waiting for the detailsStats Chat
- Cosmin Pohoata: The Cayley-Bacharach theorem and its applicationsCombinatorics and more
- Axel F meets Samuel Beckett in The Lifestyles of the Rich and TenuredStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- More takes on Citrini (I'm not the only one using scare quotes around "report")West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- An encounter with Streptococcus agalactiaeHydrobates
- Trig of inverse trigJohn D. Cook
- A Probability ChallengeComputational Complexity
- England’s first printed-globe makerThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Mesurer l’équité “globale” quand les données sont disperséesFreakonometrics
- A curious trig identityJohn D. Cook
- OWABI⁷, 26 February 2026: Prequential posteriors (11am UK time)Xi'an's Og
- Survey Statistics: sampling to assess data qualityStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Edward Tufte on graphs as comparisonsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Traders who have ignored threats to Fed independence, erratic trade policy, and the deportation of much of the American labor force just panicked over a citation-free piece of fan fiction.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 12Stats Chat
- NRL Predictions for Round 1Stats Chat
- Super Rugby Predictions for Week 3Stats Chat
- Equal Temperament (Part 3)Azimuth
- Copy and paste lawJohn D. Cook
- BrieflyStats Chat
- Gwerz Kyiv [pevar bloaz emsav]Xi'an's Og
- Living the metascience dream (or nightmare) with AI for scienceStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Making Wolfram Tech Available as a Foundation Tool for LLM SystemsStephen Wolfram Writings
- Differential Logic • 11Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Giant StepsJohn D. Cook
- Hey, self-publishers! It seems that you are getting scammed.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Tritone substitutionJohn D. Cook
- A Tale of Two Logics (This is what you get when an old math and English teacher weighs in)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- πάντες γὰρ οἱ λαβόντες μάχαιραν ἐν μαχαίρᾳ ἀπολοῦνται [verbatim]Xi'an's Og
- ChatGPT gets an easy math problem wrong (I got it right). How is that possible?Computational Complexity
- Bitcoin mining difficultyJohn D. Cook
- Exahash, Zettahash, YottahashJohn D. Cook
- Parenting RecommendationsXOR’s Hammer
- “Giving less power to statistical power”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Differential Logic • 10Inquiry Into Inquiry
- 10,000,000th Fibonacci numberJohn D. Cook
- Shiny: Highlighting DT RowsOR in an OB World
- The Marketplace of Expertise and Authority: Notes from the Noise EcosystemFreakonometrics
- lost scienceXi'an's Og
- Identity Theft as Systemic RiskFreakonometrics
- Computing pi by flipping a coinStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Computing big, certified Fibonacci numbersJohn D. Cook
- Hey! I almost got scammed by Google.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- L’usurpation d’identité comme risque systémiqueFreakonometrics
- Jules Verne’s broken predictionXi'an's Og
- Beyond Procedure: Substantive Fairness in Conformal PredictionFreakonometrics
- From junk science (largely non-political) to junk medical treatments (mostly associated with the far-right): A financial connectionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- What Jamie Dimon meant when he talked about "the next DOJ"West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Au-delà de la procédure, quand “bien calibrer” ne suffit pas à être justeFreakonometrics
- Updatez!Shtetl-Optimized
- three golds for French biathlon!Xi'an's Og
- Out of warranty?Stats Chat
- What do Socrates, Herb Simon, and Andrew Gelman have in common? A love of the oral traditionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Differential Logic • 9Inquiry Into Inquiry
- The 80% power lieStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Aerodromes and LLMsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- You can do more for neural networks in R with {kindling}Stats and R
- a journal of the disruption yearXi'an's Og
- A Wittgenstein problem …Logic Matters
- Fitting a model to estimate the seats-votes curve, back in the bad old days before we had StanStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Joe Halpern (1953-2026)Computational Complexity
- Time for a short breakFreakonometrics
- Imagine telling people twenty years ago that two of the most important stories in political media would revolve around late night network talk shows.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- L’écosystème du bruit et la fabrique de l’autoritéFreakonometrics
- European Meeting of Statisticians, Lugano, 24-28 Aug 2026Xi'an's Og
- Survey Statistics: Gallup’s Presidential Approval RatingsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Atlantic Monthly, March, 1947Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- We haven't complained about television for a whileWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Jouer collectif au XXIème siècle?Freakonometrics
- Super Rugby Predictions for Week 2Stats Chat
- Paper: 'Effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines against invasive pneumococcal disease in Vietnamese children prior to national introduction: A matched case-control study'Stats and R
- My online talk Tues 24 Feb, 9am NY time at the Behind-the-Scenes seminar series: Russian Roulette and stochastic potential outcomesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Visualizing orbital velocityJohn D. Cook
- Six Math EssentialsWhat's new
- Six Math EssentialsWhat's new
- Hanging out: An observational studyStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Differential Logic • 8Inquiry Into Inquiry
- The harder-problem fallacy (which is about to become relevant again)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – LXThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Al-Ghazali did not put a stop to Islamic scienceThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Assigning Open Problems in ClassComputational Complexity
- Race between primes of the forms 4k + 1 and 4k + 3John D. Cook
- On reducing the cost of breaking RSA-2048 to 100,000 physical qubitsShtetl-Optimized
- Differential Logic • 7Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Funniest predatory-journal pitch everStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Linkage11011110
- Wagon’s algorithm in PythonJohn D. Cook
- Finding a square root of -1 mod pJohn D. Cook
- Finding a non-square mod pJohn D. Cook
- The stupidity, the criminal vandalism, the wanton destruction of information involved in dichotomisationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- What to do in 2026: Your statistics diaryStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Cancer hates mornings too?Stats Chat
- Olympics condomsStats Chat
- Our sanctimonious Epstein-associated overlords (Kenneth Starr edition)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- If you want to get a feel for the post–Musk Silicon Valley, you really should watch these videos.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Discovered or invented?Peter Cameron's Blog
- Expressing a prime as the sum of two squaresJohn D. Cook
- Leisurely Cruise February 2026: power, shpower, positive predictive valueError Statistics Philosophy
- What a multiverse good for anyway?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- “My Optimistic Vision for 2050”Shtetl-Optimized
- Differential Logic • 6Inquiry Into Inquiry
- The New York Young Republican Club, but this time with no butt plugs or dildosStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Pleasantly surprised to see the NYT actually connect the dots hereWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- The Future of Mathematics and MathematiciansComputational Complexity
- Natural disasters, avoidable or unpredictable?Freakonometrics
- Stela CAzimuth
- Truth and paradox in the theory of finite and infinite games, Owens Memorial Lecture, Wayne State University, April 2026Joel David Hamkins
- Quantum cartographyQuantum Frontiers
- Smart Lotteries in School Choice Ex-ante Pareto-Improvement with Ex-post StabilityAlgorithmics, Social choice, Market Design, and Other Topics
- The fifth annual Cherry Blossom Prediction Competition is open!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- BrieflyStats Chat
- Mathematicians do not agree on the essential structure of the complex numbers, ASL/APA Central Division Meeting, Chicago, February 2016Joel David Hamkins
- Sethi on “Betting on Geopolitical Violence”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Aligning one matrix with anotherJohn D. Cook
- The Voss ChroniclesWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Catastrophes naturelles, catastrophes évitables ou imprévisibles ?Freakonometrics
- Survey Statistics: more on recalled voteStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Some Open Problems in Probability that are Relevant to Applied Statistics (my talk this Wed noon at the Columbia statistics department student seminar)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Announcing Two New AI Short CoursesLaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
- The AI and the Super Bowl Commercial Bubble CurseWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Correctly orientatedThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Nate Soares visiting UT Austin tomorrow!Shtetl-Optimized
- Differential Logic • 5Inquiry Into Inquiry
- A consensus–but it’s a consensus of uncertainty.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Unreasonable Flakiness of Assessment in the Mathematical SciencesNoncommutative Analysis
- When threads collide: Epstein, Musk, and the New York Times.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- I used to think historians in the future will have too much to work with. I could be wrongComputational Complexity
- Everything I ever needed to know in life I learned from the men in the Epstein filesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Review of string theory book from 2004 brings up interesting questions regarding age-period-cohort effects in the sociology of scienceStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Computing large Fibonacci numbersJohn D. Cook
- Fibonacci numbers and time-space tradeoffsJohn D. Cook
- Differential Logic • 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Trevisan Award for Expository WorkTheory Matters
- Hey, here’s $100,000 down the drain!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Minimum of cosine sumJohn D. Cook
- Luca Trevisan Award for Expository WorkShtetl-Optimized
- Eigenvalue homework problems are backwardJohn D. Cook
- The anti-Bayesian is standing at the back window with a shotgun, scanning for priors coming over the hill, while a million assumptions just walk right into his house through the front door. (also, an interesting point by Yann LeCun in 2012 about human language)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- In the war on data, even the CIA isn't safeWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- European Actuarial Journal Conference, this Fall, in IstanbulFreakonometrics
- From Premium to Contribution: Recovering SolidarityFreakonometrics
- De la prime à la cotisation: retrouver la solidaritéFreakonometrics
- Welcome to the new members of the research groupPieter Belmans
- Fibonacci number certificatesJohn D. Cook
- Trevisan Award for Expository WorkWindows On Theory
- Sunstein on Kissinger: No opinion on the whole war criminal thing, but the generosity that he showed when talking about Star Wars [the movie, not the weapons program] was “incomparable”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- When you're trying to weather a scandal, it helps to have the NYT on your side.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Γ(1/n)John D. Cook
- Softly, effectively, in the age of genAIStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Postdoc position in algebraic geometryPieter Belmans
- What Ultimately Is There? Metaphysics and the RuliadStephen Wolfram Writings
- Surreal arithmetic is bi-interpretable with set theory, CUNY Logic Workshop, March 2026Joel David Hamkins
- “Statistics is widely understood to provide a body of techniques for ‘modeling data.'”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- A quick midweek film review by Bob ChipmanWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Sampling the Oxford CS LibraryComputational Complexity
- Criminal Records, the Right to be Forgotten, and Inclusive InsuranceFreakonometrics
- Every toot I've ever written, in alphabetical orderCheck my working
- Correlation, Causation, Circumstance, ContextFreakonometrics
- Corrélation et causalité, circonstance et contexteFreakonometrics
- Finding a Row that MovedOR in an OB World
- Survey Statistics: 5 flavors of calibrationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Updates and Plans V: From Boise to Tel Aviv, Ceasefire, My 70th Birthday, Nostalgia, Problems, Outrageous Conjectures, Quantum, and AICombinatorics and more
- “Parallelizing MCMC Across the Sequence Length”: This one is really cool.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The path to noncommutative function theory: a research storyNoncommutative Analysis
- Polish serenityJohn D. Cook
- "because a 'stock' no longer refers to a unit of ownership in a company so much as it is a chip at a casino where the house constantly changes the rules."West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Spooky action nearby: Entangling logical qubits without physical operationsQuantum Frontiers
- Slag Field EcologyAzimuth
- An assistant professorship at Utrecht UniversityPieter Belmans
- Fair Transit Stop Placement: A Clustering Perspective and BeyondAlgorithmics, Social choice, Market Design, and Other Topics
- IPAM industrial short course in generative AI algorithms – deadline for applications closing soonWhat's new
- IPAM industrial short course in generative AI algorithms – deadline for applications closing soonWhat's new
- Postdoc in Milan on scalability for high-dimensional Bayesian learningStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Satellites have a lot of roomJohn D. Cook
- A counterintuitive example where a strong prior pulls an estimate in the wrong direction–and how to see the problemStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Elon doesn't think things throughWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Hans Berliner – a life built around chessYet Another Mathblog
- Insurance, biases, discrimination and fairnessFreakonometrics
- The time I didn’t meet Jeffrey EpsteinShtetl-Optimized
- Before the ChatGPT-HW debate there were other ``If students use X to do their HW'' debatesComputational Complexity
- 3D-Printed Slices and Traces of Functions of Two VariablesDavid Richeson: Division by Zero
- For God’s sake, don’t donate to the “International Peace Institute”! (unless you want to pay for corrupt assholes to fly first class around the world to give speeches about how everyone needs to tighten their belts)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Balance and Calibration of Probabilistic Scores: From GLM to Machine LearningFreakonometrics
- From the Mixed-Up Files of Jeffrey E. EpsteinStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Linkage with bulging mussels11011110
- Guest Post from an IranianShtetl-Optimized
- War of the Wheels – The Wheelie Bin vs. The WheelchairThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- The pantheon of celebrity billionairesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- AGI, ASI, A*I – Do we have all we need to get there?John D. Cook
- P vs. NP and the Difficulty of Computation: A Ruliological ApproachStephen Wolfram Writings
- UpdateStacks Project Blog
- Bridging secrets is hardJohn D. Cook
- A Stan transpiler in Julia!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Tesla to transition out of the making of real things in order to focus on vaporwareWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- We’re looking for nominations for the American Statistical Association’s Excellence in Statistical Reporting Award.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Severe testing of deep learning models of cognition (ii)Error Statistics Philosophy
- Not quite adversarial collaborationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- As if Mike Johnson didn't have enough to worry about...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Quantum is my happy placeShtetl-Optimized
- OK, I reread that classic paper by Paul Meehl, and . . .Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Musk Credibility MarketWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – LIXThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- The Fighting Temeraire (Re)visitedComputational Complexity
- Tiny Musical IntervalsAzimuth
- Postdoctoral position at the University of Pennsylvania on the study of political informationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Survey Statistics: Total Margin of Error IIStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Thoughts on Claude’s ConstitutionWindows On Theory
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