- Bourse de Commerce [jatp]Xi'an's Og
- Survey Statistics: more on SynthMargins and Bayes-RakingStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Bayesian Workflow free pdf!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Saying something nice about ClaudeWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- NRL Predictions for Round 26Stats Chat
- Bunnings NPC Predictions for Week 5Stats Chat
- Currie Cup Predictions for Round 7Stats Chat
- AFL Predictions for Finals Week 1Stats Chat
- Numerical (in)stability of recurrence relationsJohn D. Cook
- buenos aerodinámicXi'an's Og
- Math after AIWindows On Theory
- Three-term recurrencesJohn D. Cook
- The von Mises-Fisher distributionJohn D. Cook
- Evaluating time series foundation model claimsHyndsight
- What contributions can academic statisticians make to sports analytics? (a discussion related to the launch of the new open-access Journal of Statistics and Data Science in Sports)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- October 28, 2016, was arguably the pivotal moment in the career of Elon MuskWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Mathematical Discourse: A new peer-reviewed journal for math talksMatt Baker's Math Blog
- off to Lugano [EMS 2026]Xi'an's Og
- Head to head on 125 St: The Jamaican beef patty battle!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- To the three different people who sent me chatbot emails todayStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- What exactly is modified about a modified Bessel function?John D. Cook
- Why special function terminology is arcaneJohn D. Cook
- Failing upward, Norwegian styleStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Suicidal Empathy by Gad SaadHydrobates
- How to Win Tenure and Influence Letter Writers: One professor’s unsolicited advice on how to survive and thrive on the tenure track (and get adequate sleep)Laura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
- The difference orbit inclination makesJohn D. Cook
- refuge de la Dent Parrachée [souvenir]Xi'an's Og
- The MantleAzimuth
- Anthropic’s LLM watermarkingShtetl-Optimized
- Coming soonJohn D. Cook
- Mathematical DiscourseWhat's new
- Mathematical DiscourseWhat's new
- This is one of the worst scientific papers I’ve ever seen.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The road to epsilon-zero: Shortlex order also orders sequences of numbersThe Universe of Discourse
- one positive news item from the Middle EastXi'an's Og
- What’s not newNoncommutative Analysis
- Here are the talks from StanCon 2026!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- How would you know whether an ancient culture had zero?John D. Cook
- Friday video/podcast recommendations -- Carl Brown editionWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Quantitative bounds for sets lacking polynomial progressions with shifted prime differenceWhat's new
- Quantitative bounds for sets lacking polynomial progressions with shifted prime differenceWhat's new
- My answer is No.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Contingent HOD Dichotomy, CUNY Logic Workshop, October 2026Joel David Hamkins
- watching the eclipseXi'an's Og
- reCognize+ Issue 2Mathematics Rising
- 流氷ドラフト[Abashiri Okhotsk Blue Ryuhyo Draft]Xi'an's Og
- Better than goldShtetl-Optimized
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 7Inquiry Into Inquiry
- AI-generated ASCII diagramsJohn D. Cook
- One night in Uzbekistan: Why was this one data point so influential, and what should these researchers had done ahead of time to see this?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- It is a sign of the times that Amazon gets to call this fair use while huge corporations try to sue the Internet Archive out of business.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Take it to the limit one more time – a history of calculus IIIThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Why I am so against volunteering in academia (ecology-edition)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- New lectures, podcasts, summer school videosTuring's Invisible Hand
- Relire Marc Bloch avant la rentréeFreakonometrics
- Centaur MathComputational Complexity
- What does it mean when different articles published by different people on the same topic have nearly identical titles? (“A novel nutritional supplement reduces postprandial glucose response in healthy individuals in a randomised, placebo-controlled, crossover clinical study”)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- "I want to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody." --- James Carville (with the mandatory AI angle, of course)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Palomar – a registry of Lean verified mathematicsWhat's new
- Palomar – a registry of Lean verified mathematicsWhat's new
- Update on a regression discontinuity dispute: some asynchronous collaborationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Big little hexagonJohn D. Cook
- McNemar's test in RStats and R
- and it is getting worse… [verbatim]Xi'an's Og
- Survey Statistics: Modeling Complex Contingency TablesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Michael Rabin Memorial ConferenceWindows On Theory
- The imbalance theoremJohn D. Cook
- NRL Predictions for Round 25Stats Chat
- Bunnings NPC Predictions for Week 4Stats Chat
- Currie Cup Predictions for Round 6Stats Chat
- AFL Predictions for Week 25Stats Chat
- Mean distance to the sunJohn D. Cook
- The improvement in political analysis in the past 25 years, as demonstrated by excellent demonstrations of statistical workflow from Elliott Morris, Nate Silver, and Eli Mckown-DawsonStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Cory Doctorow on why centaurs like AIWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Jamaican me crazy yet againStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- a journal of the Hugo year (post ultimum, flight mode)Xi'an's Og
- Fractional rings of tangent spheres11011110
- Three Generations in E7The n-Category Café
- Frequentism for Bayesians: He wants to teach frequentist methods to engineering students with a strong Bayesian backgroundStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Commemorating thirteen years since Elon Musk revolutionized transportation with the hyperloop.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A quick start guide for a new academic semester: 7 tips from an engineering professorLaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
- Proportion of 1s in a Hadamard matrixJohn D. Cook
- Магучіх синій та золотий [B’ham European Athletics 2026]Xi'an's Og
- When a topological property is inversely preserved by perfect mapsDan Ma's Topology Blog
- Michael Rabin memorial conferenceShtetl-Optimized
- IIT is the canary in the coalmine (Do our younger readers know what that means? Do we have younger readers?)Computational Complexity
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 6Inquiry Into Inquiry
- “How Can America Be So Miserable When It’s So Rich?”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Test Your Intuition 59 : The Conclave ProcessCombinatorics and more
- Probability of correcting errorsJohn D. Cook
- Compressing a Hadamard matrixJohn D. Cook
- Inbox zero. Bloglag 365.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Linkage11011110
- “Q collar” promoters have no shame, advertising their discredited research on social media using lying, cheating chatbotsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Sure it's a rerun, but it's got a Frazetta cover.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Hadamard Codes and Sphere PackingJohn D. Cook
- How NASA’s Mariner 9 probe encoded imagesJohn D. Cook
- The road to epsilon-zero: Productive programs and well-founded ordersThe Universe of Discourse
- Answering some questions about statistics from a high school studentStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- 7 1/2 Schools—mistakes were madeStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Constructing Hadamard matricesJohn D. Cook
- Lots of detail on the continuing “Q collar” scandal and why we should probably be doing more coverage of that sort of science-adjacent medical scams and less on repulsively self-promoting but ultimately less harmful academic grifters.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- LLMs are not nothing.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Oughtred vs. Delamain – a dispute over teaching methods and who invented the circular slide rule.The Renaissance Mathematicus
- Preregistration has a socio-epistemological and a logical rationaleError Statistics Philosophy
- A digestion of the proof of Sendov’s conjectureWhat's new
- A digestion of the proof of Sendov’s conjectureWhat's new
- Bayesian computation meeting in France in May, 2027Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Three Generations in E7Azimuth
- Unexpected UnemploymentComputational Complexity
- Cryptic but consistentJohn D. Cook
- Who were “The Makers of Public Policy” in 1965?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Great video but keep your finger over the mute button. Aschenbrenner's laugh will haunt your dreams.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- What sort of maths are LLMs good at?Gowers's Weblog
- There are two kinds of theoremsThe Universe of Discourse
- Survey Statistics: wanting workflowStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Beyond Zipf’s Law: Equifinality and Mechanistic Inference from Scaling LawsFreakonometrics
- Dogs and fat tailsJohn D. Cook
- Computer scientists today are in the position of economists in the early 2000s and Freudian psychiatrists in the 1950sStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- From Rating Factors to Crash Mechanisms: A Multiscale Causal DAG Framework Linking Motor Insurance and Road SafetyFreakonometrics
- Manually unbreakable cryptographyJohn D. Cook
- Not another Cushing post, but Cushing-relevantWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A recap of IFORS 2026 in ViennaLaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
- Prévoir sans précédentFreakonometrics
- New paper: The hyperkähler period-index conjecture is falsePieter Belmans
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 5Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Learning from historical mistakesJohn D. Cook
- Inverse differential equationsJohn D. Cook
- I recommend this book on Applied Regression and Causal InferenceStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Hartman’s theorem on conjugacy of saddles in two dimensionsHydrobates
- The Ides (ish) of March -- checking in on the Ellison Media EmpireWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- NRL Predictions for Round 24Stats Chat
- Bunnings NPC Predictions for Week 3Stats Chat
- Interacting collaborators reveal noninteracting fermionsQuantum Frontiers
- People keep sending me AI slop that they want me to post on the blog.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Math Concepts With Funny NamesComputational Complexity
- DNA and Bessel functionsJohn D. Cook
- A simple range reduction methodJohn D. Cook
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
- “Sane-washing”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Alternative Fields Medal, awarded August 2026Joel David Hamkins
- “Denial, when you are not part of it, is actually a terrifying thing. One watches one’s fellow humans doing things that will damage themselves, while being wholly unable to help.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 3Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Corrupted apostrophesJohn D. Cook
- Enough with all the world-historic milestonesShtetl-Optimized
- Me, My Math Proofs and AI – Part IIMy Brain is Open
- When urban flood models disagree: hydrological equifinality as actuarial model riskFreakonometrics
- How not to calculate cosineJohn D. Cook
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 2Inquiry Into Inquiry
- How to avoid the “clean data, clean model” trap when teaching statistics and data scienceStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- cos(200!)John D. Cook
- Not Enron, but not good either.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A partial digestion of the HRT counterexampleWhat's new
- A partial digestion of the HRT counterexampleWhat's new
- Snapshots from ICM2026Combinatorics and more
- The blessing of dimensionalityStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Calculating log(1000!)John D. Cook
- Conjugacy of one-dimensional vector fields near a zeroHydrobates
- Is it a bad sign when people start making Enron comparisons? It seems like a bad sign.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Filming Day in Quebec CityFreakonometrics
- 2026 David Cox Foundations of Statistics Award: Peter McCullaghError Statistics Philosophy
- The road to epsilon-zero: Coin-moving games with no coinsThe Universe of Discourse
- The code that didn’t breakJohn D. Cook
- Arnold on mathematicsPeter Cameron's Blog
- Manned Mars Mission MiscellaneaStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Why would some of the most profitable companies in the world feel the need to load up on debt? Why would some of the most creditworthy companies in the world borrow money at a higher interest rate?West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- No Ethan, Kepler did not change his mind!The Renaissance Mathematicus
- Survey Statistics: structured MRP to smooth survey weightsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Walnutpie version 0.0.1 ReleasedStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Open Review: La Société au prix du risqueFreakonometrics
- Open Review: Risk Priced SocietyFreakonometrics
- “In that era, undergrad males at Madison and elsewhere, had to take ROTC classes, and he kept intentionally failing them because he was very leftwing politically.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Stand-up comedy—like teaching, and book writing—requires “a collaboration with the audience.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- “Today is August 4, 2026”West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Engineering for human flourishing: evaluating industrial engineering’s legacyLaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
- “Placebo tests deserve a model, not just a glance.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- La technologie nous sauvera-t-elle ?Freakonometrics
- Direct sum of q-matroidsThe Matroid Union
- One of the great things about living in the 2020s is all of the fascinating ethical problems to discussWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Seven books I keep close because I love themThe Universe of Discourse
- A problematic category on Jeopardy Raises a Good QuestionComputational Complexity
- Non-coplanar unit distances11011110
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Comment 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Researcher portalsHyndsight
- What gets you is not what you don’t know but what you don’t know you don’t know.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- ICM 2026: A Magical Saturday Afternoon with Park, Braden and Proudfoot, and MekaCombinatorics and more
- Why quantitative understanding of effect sizes matters, even if all you care about is the presence of the effectStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Time for a (short) breakFreakonometrics
- Fundamental Symmetries in Krein SpacesOpen System – Ark's blog
- Linkage11011110
- What do we learn from bestseller regressions?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Carl Brown explains why being an AI developer is the best job in the whole wide world.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Can You Make Me More Capable? Of Art, Astrophysics and AIError Statistics Philosophy
- Posterior predictive checking is for non-Bayesians too!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Take it to the limit one more time – a history of calculus IIThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- OpenAI, SoftBank, and NvidiaWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Stages à Montréal pour le printemps et l’été 2027 (Mitacs Globalink)Freakonometrics
- “Over-coverage caught by pre-registration: 47 of 56 inside a stated 50% interval”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 6Inquiry Into Inquiry
- What can the harvest hope forSince it is not …
- Session Talk at ICM 2026Jérôme Buzzi’s
- Financement ANR NERDY (2027-2031)Jérôme Buzzi’s
- The road to epsilon-zero: Infinite Nim as a coin-moving gameThe Universe of Discourse
- Mathematical genealogyHyndsight
- Eleven Kinds of Loneliness: Richard Yates and the tragedy of agencyStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- An experiment with AI-assisted writingSecret Blogging Seminar
- Yesterday's Alarmism is Tomorrow's ConsensusWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 5Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Survey Statistics: equivalent models, equivalent weights (locally)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Selection effects can go both ways (for taxi drivers as well as the rest of us)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- As always, the important thing is we won't have to cancel HBO Max for at least another month.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Definitions and politicsHydrobates
- Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
- “Steph Curry: fluke or breakthrough” ten years laterThe Universe of Discourse
- Monthly, quarterly and annual growth ratesHyndsight
- He fit the same statistical models with three different software and got much different estimates. It’s another dimension of the multiverse.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- It's not a fear of “AI communism”; it's a fear of competitive market capitalism.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Wise guyQuantum Frontiers
- Would Erdos have been happy with the resolution of the Erdos Unit Distance Problem? How to find out?Computational Complexity
- Thoughts about the Leiden DeclarationGowers's Weblog
- People sometimes talk about “the Jewish vote,” but what’s relevant is not really the Jewish vote or Jewish public opinion; it’s really about campaign contributions and the news media. Also similar with Mormons.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Aspect ratio in BeamerSymOmega
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