- There is a season, turn, turn, turn…The Renaissance Mathematicus
- a journal of the collapse, conquest, [1904] war, famine, and death [end of the] yearXi'an's Og
- Putting a face on a faceless accountJohn D. Cook
- Saint-JosephXi'an's Og
- [3] December Leisurely Tour Meeting 3: SIST Excursion 3 Tour IIIError Statistics Philosophy
- Delicate language for talking about statistical guaranteesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- strongly predicative dependent type theorynLab
- Geoff’s Doctoral Adventures Part 2: The right program at the right time at the right cost (if there is one)emergent math
- “Accounting for Nonresponse in Election Polls: Total Margin of Error”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Qingyang Guan, Joseph Lehec and Bo’az Klartag Solved The Slice Conjecture!Combinatorics and more
- Differential Propositional Calculus • 23Inquiry Into Inquiry
- As we've said before, if you've gone through the holidays without hearing "Sugar Rum Cherry"...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Can AI models reason: Just a stochastic parrot?John D. Cook
- Geoff’s Doctoral Adventures Part 1: Why (not) to get your PhD in Mathematics Educationemergent math
- Quaternions and spherical trigonometryWhat's new
- Quaternions and spherical trigonometryWhat's new
- Pseudonymity in academic publishing11011110
- How did the press do on that “black spatula” story? Not so great.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Interval arithmetic and fixed pointsJohn D. Cook
- Differential Propositional Calculus • 22Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Sixties television was filled with heart-warming Christmas episodes often featuring orphansWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Normal probability approximationJohn D. Cook
- Optimal vaccination policy to prevent endemicity: a stochastic modelFreakonometrics
- Mayotte crushed…Xi'an's Og
- Emergent Math Winter Mini-Series: How (not) to get your PhDemergent math
- Simple error function approximationJohn D. Cook
- Information is Physical?Computational Complexity
- Differential Propositional Calculus • 21Inquiry Into Inquiry
- He took public funds and falsified his data. Are they gonna make him pay back the $19 million?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Eight years ago at the blog -- Evangelicals have always been passionate about the war on Christmas. They just used to be on the other side.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Differential Propositional Calculus • 20Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Christmas is coming and with it comes the Renaissance Mathematicus Christmas Trilogy 2024The Renaissance Mathematicus
- Ricordo di Adam AtkinsonMaddmaths!
- Nice meeting!Xi'an's Og
- Applications of (Bayesian) variational inference?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Pressing the cosine key over and overJohn D. Cook
- On the distribution of eigenvalues of GUE and its minors at fixed indexWhat's new
- On the distribution of eigenvalues of GUE and its minors at fixed indexWhat's new
- Differential Propositional Calculus • 19Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Iterative imputation and incoherent Gibbs samplingStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Lord Peter Wimsey on the enshittification* of Tonka trucks -- a Toys for Tots follow-upWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Problem solvingPeter Cameron's Blog
- positive response to negative mixturesXi'an's Og
- Perpetual CalendarsJohn D. Cook
- “The Exceptions: Nancy Hopkins, MIT, and the Fight for Women in Science”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Gregorian Calendar and Number TheoryJohn D. Cook
- Differential Propositional Calculus • 18Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Golden hospital gownsJohn D. Cook
- Twelve years ago -- serious news outlets were still taking seriously a plan to colonize Mars with a reality show...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- New tool: twisted Hodge diamonds for Hilbert schemes of pointsPieter Belmans
- off to NiceXi'an's Og
- Online activities 16 – 22 DecemberEuropean Set Theory Society
- LLMs and regular expressionsJohn D. Cook
- Peter Sarnak is Coming to Town – Let’s Celebrate it with a Post on Möbius Randomness, Computational Complexity, and AICombinatorics and more
- Linkage11011110
- The Theory and Practice of Oligarchical CollectivismStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Differential Propositional Calculus • 17Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Random Thoughts on AI (Human Generated)Computational Complexity
- Random Permutations (Part 14)The n-Category Café
- Revue d’Economie PolitiqueFreakonometrics
- early peer reviewXi'an's Og
- It’s not a Lemma, it’s a Proposition!Persiflage
- Matched asymptotic expansions, part 3Hydrobates
- Beyond NISQ: The Megaquop MachineQuantum Frontiers
- Differential Propositional Calculus • 16Inquiry Into Inquiry
- The most interesting part of the story is that the publisher went through all these steps of reviewing and revising. If they just want to make money by publishing crap, why bother engaging outside reviewers at all?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- La storia di un divano (e ora sappiamo che forma ha)Maddmaths!
- La línea de la vida [book review]Xi'an's Og
- Every worldly cardinal admits a Gödel-Bernays structureJoel David Hamkins
- “How a simple math error sparked a panic about black plastic kitchen utensils”: Does it matter when an estimate is off by a factor of 10?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Differential Propositional Calculus • 15Inquiry Into Inquiry
- And you thought the space hotel was embarrassing*West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Matched asymptotic expansions, part 2Hydrobates
- Graphical evidence for the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecturePieter Belmans
- xkcd’atoricsXi'an's Og
- It’s Harvard time, baby: “Kerfuffle” is what you call it when you completely botched your data but you don’t want to change your conclusions.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Differential Propositional Calculus • 14Inquiry Into Inquiry
- Either a 2% or a 75% chance of rainWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Il modello di Holling per la predazioneMaddmaths!
- Data Augmentation with Variational Autoencoder for Imbalanced DatasetFreakonometrics
- importance sampling and independent Metropolis–Hastings with unbounded weightsXi'an's Og
- It's Time to Stop Using GradesComputational Complexity
- Answering two questions, one about Bayesian post-selection inference and one about prior and posterior predictive checksStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Another indication that the original Drake Equation was worthlessWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- A ENGLISH MAN BORN IN Y NORTHThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Why am I willing to bet you $100-1000 there will be a Nobel Prize for Adaptive Experimentation in the next 40 years?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Postdoc position at Northwestern on evaluating AI/ML decision supportStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- The Google Willow thingShtetl-Optimized
- Bias remaining after adjusting for pre-treatment variables. Also the challenges of learning through experimentation.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Medicine must be defendedHydrobates
- "The city would naturally form a line as it tried to get away from itself."West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Insurance analytics: prediction, explainability and fairnessFreakonometrics
- Come visualizzare la moltiplicazione dei numeri naturali? Costruiamo un grafo!Maddmaths!
- Il concetto di numero è elaborato in aree cerebrali molto anticheMaddmaths!
- Martianus CapellaThe n-Category Café
- Arriving in Vancouver, and some news from AAAI’25Freakonometrics
- Useful to the Point of Being Revolutionary: Introducing Wolfram Notebook AssistantStephen Wolfram Writings
- Coiled logarithmic graphJohn D. Cook
- Close Reading ArchiveStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Solution to a problem of ErdősJohn D. Cook
- Our annual Toys-for-Tots postWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- The Case Against Google’s Claims of “Quantum Supremacy”: A Very Short Introduction.Combinatorics and more
- My comments on Lance's Favorite TheoremsComputational Complexity
- Online activities 9 – 15 DecemberEuropean Set Theory Society
- “I work in a biology lab . . . My PI proposed a statistical test that I think is nonsense. . .”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Finite groups and discrete mathematicsPeter Cameron's Blog
- A dream problemPeter Cameron's Blog
- RM311, Dicembre 2024, è in lineaMaddmaths!
- December leisurely cruise “It’s the Methods, Stupid!” Excursion 3 Tour II (3.4-3.6)Error Statistics Philosophy
- Multiple angles and Osborn’s ruleJohn D. Cook
- MATE MisadventureOR in an OB World
- Post-Calibration Techniques: Balancing Calibration and Score Distribution Alignment (NeurIPS’24)Freakonometrics
- “Of course, this could conceivably be a case of near unbelievable luck: A flawed analysis based on wrong assumptions gave an unusually large causal effect estimate – but the misguided result just happened to be correct. We can imagine how the research team huddled nervously around the computer terminal biting their nails and silently praying as they executed their updated Stata code, only to erupt in joy and celebration as the results appeared on screen and revealed they were right all along. . . .”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- “Fields of definition”Persiflage
- Martianus CapellaAzimuth
- New Course: Prediction for (Individualized) Decision-makingStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Gayface Data Replicability ProblemsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Cross-Alps logic seminar (online) today at 16:00European Set Theory Society
- Double-talk from the other sideWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Problemi Classici – Semplificazioni molto sempliciMaddmaths!
- Foundations of Biological Evolution: More Results & More SurprisesStephen Wolfram Writings
- The vis-viva equationJohn D. Cook
- AI for Math fundWhat's new
- AI for Math fundWhat's new
- Michael Clayton in NYCStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Five years ago at the blog we were talking about an aborted twenty year old project that keeps getting more relevantWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – XXXVThe Renaissance Mathematicus
- Discounting the Future?Freakonometrics
- Hey, journalist readers! Does anyone have a contact at NPR?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Podcasts!Shtetl-Optimized
- Credit where due to NPR regarding science data fraud, and here’s how they can do even betterStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Favorite Theorems: The Complete ListComputational Complexity
- What did John von Neumann mean by the "singularity"? -- a lemma postWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- ACT 2025The n-Category Café
- ACT 2025Azimuth
- 4 different meanings of p-value (and how my thinking has changed)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Distortion in Social Choice @ FOCS 2024Algorithmics, Social choice, Market Design, and Other Topics
- Online activities 2 – 8 DecemberEuropean Set Theory Society
- Article in LMS NewsletterPeter Cameron's Blog
- IEEE Jack S. Kilby Medal[UNTITLED BLOG]
- Efficiently transferring to a much higher orbitJohn D. Cook
- Toward a unified theory of bad science and bad scholarshipStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Having a Galactic ChristmasWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- I Problemi di LeScienze – Novembre 2024 – Un campionato lungo un giornoMaddmaths!
- United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 8Stats Chat
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 12Stats Chat
- Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 8Stats Chat
- Rotating MacBook keysJohn D. Cook
- Understanding p-values: Different interpretations can be thought of not as different “philosophies” but as different forms of averaging.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Trump did better with women against Harris than he did against Biden -- you'd think that would be the ledeWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Convocazione della seconda assemblea dell’Associazione MaddMaths! ETSMaddmaths!
- Fast Schulze voting using quickselect11011110
- Conway's Trick for Divisibility. Asking its complexity is an odd question.Computational Complexity
- The computable surreal numbers, Notre Dame Logic Seminar, December 2024Joel David Hamkins
- Presidential campaign effects are small.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Actuarial ethics and the future of the profession, in the European ActuaryFreakonometrics
- The odd non-spamness of some spam commentsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Rivoluzioni Matematiche: il teorema di Weierstrass di Francisco FacchineiMaddmaths!
- Make a “Magic Eye” image using ExcelDavid Richeson: Division by Zero
- Black Hole PuzzleAzimuth
- Linkage11011110
- Asymmetric generation / verification costsJohn D. Cook
- Here’s my excuse for using obsolete, sub-optimal, or inadequate statistical methods or using a method irresponsibly.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- 66 Years of Cox’s (1958) Chestnut: Excerpt from Excursion 3 Tour IIError Statistics Philosophy
- Dogecoin anthemJohn D. Cook
- A complex bug with a ⸢simple⸣ fixThe Universe of Discourse
- That’s what happens when you try to run the world while excluding 99.8% of the populationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Some mathematical newsCombinatorics and more
- For the math nerds in the audience (or, in our case, the audience)West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Compact Multi-Planet SystemsAzimuth
- ThanksgivingShtetl-Optimized
- Happy 200th birthday, Carnot’s theorem!Quantum Frontiers
- Blogging paceJohn D. Cook
- Why does this guy have 2 gmail accounts?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- "As God as my witness..." is my second favorite Thanksgiving episode line [Repost]West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Spaces of knowledge production in London Town in the 17th and 18th centuries.The Renaissance Mathematicus
- On several irrationality problems for Ahmes seriesWhat's new
- On several irrationality problems for Ahmes seriesWhat's new
- Threats to Climate-Related US AgenciesAzimuth
- Physics is like Brazil, Statistics is like ChileStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- "The trouble with revolutions is that they get in the hands of the wrong people."West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Practical issues with calibration for every group and every decision problemStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- “I wonder just what it takes to get people to conclude that a research seam has been mined to the point of exhaustion.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- I would have expected it to be higher.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- Julien Trufin, on “Predictive Modeling and Balance Property through Autocalibration”Freakonometrics
- Durham Computational Algebraic Geometry WorkshopLean community blog
- Keith O’Rourke’s final published paper: “Statistics as a social activity: Attitudes toward amalgamating evidence”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- We Will All Write Like AIComputational Complexity
- Google and the Case of the Missing Search TermWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- 2-year research assistant position (renewable up to 5 years) in logic, Bologna – deadline 30 November!European Set Theory Society
- Dov Gabbay Prize Ceremony Nov 28, 17:00European Set Theory Society
- Online activities 25 November – 1 DecemberEuropean Set Theory Society
- Call for reader replacements! First Look at N-P Methods as Severe Tests: Water plant accident [Exhibit (i) from Excursion 3]Error Statistics Philosophy
- Top 14 Predictions for Round 11Stats Chat
- New paper: The Albanese morphism for hyperelliptic varietiesPieter Belmans
- St Bernard on collaborationPeter Cameron's Blog
- Bessel functionsHydrobates
- Those correction notices, in full. (Yes, it’s possible to directly admit and learn from error.)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- “Why do medical tests always have error rates?”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- "You're right. We need to strengthen the dose... One part in ten million." -- Mitchell and Webb on Health CareWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- What genre of writing is AI-generated poetry?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Axiomatic Set Theory 10: Cardinal ArithmeticThe n-Category Café
- Now blogging on BlueskyNathaniel Johnston
- Plagiarism searches and post-publication reviewStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Location parameters and twin verticesPeter Cameron's Blog
- The truth between Scylla and CharybdisHydrobates
- Andrew Gelman is not the science police because there is no such thing as the science policeStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Nine years ago at the blog -- reposting this partially because RadioLab hasn't gotten any better but mainly because I really like the title.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- The Great ConjunctionAzimuth
- Baltic set theory seminar (hybrid) – every Thursday at 16:30European Set Theory Society
- Gdansk logic colloquium (Wednesdays)European Set Theory Society
- Confidential OCRJohn D. Cook
- For what d is the following true: For all 2-colorings of \(R^d\) has a mono unit square (Answering(?) the Question)Computational Complexity
- The Village Voice in the 1960s/70s and blogging in the early 2000sStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
- Perfect numbersJohn D. Cook
- Last things first – – a few thoughts on the Mars conversation and on 21st century futurism in general.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
- From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – XXXIVThe Renaissance Mathematicus
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