• 30 Apr 2026R Upgrade GlitchOR in an OB World
• 30 Apr 2026Three ways to differentiate ReLUJohn D. Cook
• 30 Apr 2026A study is retracted after it turns out that its authors were misrepresented as “third-party experts” even though they were actually paid by the company?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 30 Apr 2026Y. M. ChonLab
• 30 Apr 2026My closest encounter with a terrorist attackHydrobates
• 30 Apr 2026I apologize for calling AI a bubble. It is actually a bouncy house, and right now everybody's listening to the blowers.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 29 Apr 2026The Quantum Mechanics of the Inverse Cube LawThe n-Category Café
• 29 Apr 2026multimodal challengesXi'an's Og
• 29 Apr 2026Show me scienceStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 29 Apr 2026Because It Doesn't Have ToComputational Complexity
• 29 Apr 2026Taking one more swing at the foolish nudgelords who associate the Soviet Union with environmental protectionStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 29 Apr 2026CKKS — Polynomials, the Canonical Embedding, and EncodingMath ∩ Programming
• 29 Apr 2026Anthropic's Mythos: One moderate step forward for white-hat hacking; one giant leap forward for journalists' credulityWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 29 Apr 2026Will you heed my warnings NOW?Shtetl-Optimized
• 28 Apr 2026Cristina Toninelli, CEREMADE CNRS silver medallist [congrats!]Xi'an's Og
• 28 Apr 2026Turning a trick into a techniqueJohn D. Cook
• 28 Apr 2026Survey Statistics: exploded logit !Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 28 Apr 2026Cubic salespeople revisited11011110
• 28 Apr 2026Two Health Economists Walk into a Bar: What bothered me in that conversation of Jay Bhattacharya and Emily OsterStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 28 Apr 2026Circular arc approximationJohn D. Cook
• 28 Apr 2026More context from DevereauxWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 28 Apr 2026dual superconductor model -- referencesnLab
• 28 Apr 2026dual superconductor model of color confinementnLab
• 28 Apr 2026AFL Predictions for Week 9Stats Chat
• 28 Apr 2026Rugby Premiership Predictions for Round 15Stats Chat
• 28 Apr 2026Top 14 Predictions for Round 23Stats Chat
• 27 Apr 2026NRL Predictions for Round 9Stats Chat
• 27 Apr 2026United Rugby Championship Predictions for Week 17Stats Chat
• 27 Apr 2026Super Rugby Predictions for Week 12Stats Chat
• 27 Apr 2026Hey! Try out the RMET (“the Reading the Mind in the Eyes test”).Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 27 Apr 2026un.be.lie.va.ble! [thrice]Xi'an's Og
• 27 Apr 2026Some type constructors are tensor productsA Neighborhood of Infinity
• 27 Apr 2026Unimodular matrix representations for pseudo-orientable ribbon graphsThe Matroid Union
• 27 Apr 2026Should French pollsters be using Mister P?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 27 Apr 2026Not one of Boyle's funny ones, but we do get the unlikely pairing of Zippy Duvall and (not the) Pablo Escobar.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 26 Apr 2026Straßburger AbenrotXi'an's Og
• 26 Apr 2026LEAPing into the Future of CodingComputational Complexity
• 26 Apr 2026Why isn’t it possible to play a fun and serious game of poker not for money?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 26 Apr 2026What are covering spaces in algebraic geometry? (Pt II: Finite etale covering spaces)Hard Arithmetic
• 25 Apr 2026International Chernobyl Disaster Remembrance DayXi'an's Og
• 25 Apr 2026Insurance, Biases, Discrimination and FairnessFreakonometrics
• 25 Apr 2026He’s a music educator evaluating K–12 music education systems, and he wants someone to look at his measurements and statistics.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 25 Apr 2026Closed-form solution to the nonlinear pendulum equationJohn D. Cook
• 25 Apr 2026Blogging and writing styleStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 25 Apr 2026nth derivative of a quotientJohn D. Cook
• 25 Apr 2026Our Experience at the Mathlib Reviewer Bootcamp 2026Lean community blog
• 25 Apr 2026A real-world problemPeter Cameron's Blog
• 24 Apr 2026How nonlinearity affects a pendulumJohn D. Cook
• 24 Apr 2026Bayesian Workflow [cover]Xi'an's Og
• 24 Apr 2026Update on that un-published CDC report on covid vaccinesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 24 Apr 2026Three things I forgot to say today at the National Academy of Sciences Workshop on Enhancing Scientific IntegrityStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 24 Apr 2026Trump 1 vs. Trump 2: The role of the two other branches of government (legislative and judicial)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 24 Apr 2026Infinite geometryOpen System – Ark's blog
• 24 Apr 2026I'm sure someone at the studio at some point described this project as Colossus meets Rosemary's BabyWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 24 Apr 2026From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – LXIVThe Renaissance Mathematicus
• 24 Apr 2026Existence of P-points under CHDan Ma's Topology Blog
• 24 Apr 2026Learning from Nature with System DynamicsAzimuth
• 23 Apr 2026“Approximating evidence via bounded harmonic means” is out! [in Statistics and Computing]Xi'an's Og
• 23 Apr 2026A potentialist perspective on ultrafinitism, Ohio UniversityJoel David Hamkins
• 23 Apr 2026Approximation to solve an oblique triangleJohn D. Cook
• 23 Apr 2026Probability theory corner: My favorite birthday-problem storyStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 23 Apr 2026Simple approximation for solving a right triangleJohn D. Cook
• 23 Apr 2026Ten years ago at the blog when we still considered Watergate the pinnacle of political corruptionWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 23 Apr 2026Couvrir les risques de catastrophes naturelles au JaponFreakonometrics
• 22 Apr 2026If that CDC report had just included some fake citations and some crazy dietary advice, the boss would surely have approved it for publication.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 22 Apr 2026Locus Awards²⁶ finalistsXi'an's Og
• 22 Apr 2026Fraud and the false optimism of AI for scienceStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 22 Apr 2026Rabin has just passed awayGödel's Lost Letter and P=NP
• 22 Apr 2026Postmodern anti-science attitudes?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 22 Apr 2026Michael Rabin Passed Away on April 14, 2026, at the age of 94Computational Complexity
• 22 Apr 2026More thoughts on predictive marketsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 21 Apr 2026interpretable Bayesian learning for physical and engineering sciences [06-10 July 2026]Xi'an's Og
• 21 Apr 2026An AI Odyssey, Part 4: Astounding Coding AgentsJohn D. Cook
• 21 Apr 2026Survey Statistics: dCV for MRP ?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 21 Apr 2026Reflection On Recursion • Discussion 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 21 Apr 2026Did Taylor Swift kill a bunch of people?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 21 Apr 2026Deep isoclinismPeter Cameron's Blog
• 21 Apr 2026Patrick Boyle explains why it's illegal to bet on the price of onions but it's OK to bet on the Dodgers' double headerWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 21 Apr 2026IFoA AI Ethics Governance & Risk Management forumFreakonometrics
• 21 Apr 2026Green and full of terrorsStats Chat
• 20 Apr 2026AFL Predictions for Week 8Stats Chat
• 20 Apr 2026NRL Predictions for Round 8Stats Chat
• 20 Apr 2026Super Rugby Predictions for Week 11Stats Chat
• 20 Apr 2026settimana scorsa a VeneziaXi'an's Og
• 20 Apr 2026May 26-29 at Columbia: Summer School on the Theory and Practice of Blockchain ConsensusTuring's Invisible Hand
• 20 Apr 2026More on Newton’s diameter theoremJohn D. Cook
• 20 Apr 2026“I have seen the future of science. It is ruled by bitter competition instead of collaboration, pageantry instead of exploration. Bright minds beginning careers in science will be taught to debase their training for drudgerous pursuit of meaningless metrics. Those willing to toil over genuine questions will necessarily lose out to those that can furnish cheap answers. . . .”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 20 Apr 2026We need to talk about this clip.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 20 Apr 2026The Parasitic Mind by Gad SaadHydrobates
• 19 Apr 2026Eugene Wigner and the MooniesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 19 Apr 2026Categorically divertedLogic Matters
• 19 Apr 2026Three greats who we’ve lostShtetl-Optimized
• 19 Apr 2026Will Technology Save Us?Freakonometrics
• 19 Apr 2026La technologie nous sauvera-t-elle ?Freakonometrics
• 18 Apr 2026What are covering spaces in algebraic geometry? (Pt I: topological theory and general principles)Hard Arithmetic
• 18 Apr 2026The Stats with Kittens SongStats With Cats Blog
• 18 Apr 2026Reflection On Recursion • 4Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 18 Apr 2026Gaussian distributed weights for LLMsJohn D. Cook
• 18 Apr 2026“Making Your Research Free May Cost You”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 18 Apr 20264-bit floating point FP4John D. Cook
• 17 Apr 2026In ML, everyone’s Humpty DumptyStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 17 Apr 2026Mini book review: Philosophy of Mathematics (Brown)Noncommutative Analysis
• 17 Apr 2026Fascinating 1981 interview with Morris Kline, author of the classic book, Mathematics: The Loss of CertaintyStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 17 Apr 2026ET reads the NYTWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 17 Apr 2026A computation a day: Picard groups of (some) singular curvesHard Arithmetic
• 17 Apr 2026Exposé “Risque climatique, retrait des assureurs et granularité des tarifs” pour la Chaire PARIFreakonometrics
• 16 Apr 2026The Bayesian Workflow book is coming!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 16 Apr 2026Machine Learning and ComplexityComputational Complexity
• 16 Apr 2026Newton diametersJohn D. Cook
• 16 Apr 2026Still looks a little bubbly to me.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 15 Apr 2026Linkage11011110
• 15 Apr 2026PodcastsHyndsight
• 15 Apr 2026Why traditional statistics still matters in the age of AIHyndsight
• 15 Apr 2026Can you hit a home run off of Paul Skenes?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 15 Apr 2026Sixteen years ago at the blog: That brief hopeful time when we thought we'd seen the last of the Star Wars and Indiana Jones sequelsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 15 Apr 2026A cosmos hanging from the living room ceilingThe Renaissance Mathematicus
• 14 Apr 2026Survey Statistics: irrelevant alternatives ?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 14 Apr 2026Guest Post from Peter Brass, Former NSF Theory Director, on the NSF budget.Computational Complexity
• 14 Apr 2026Intersecting spheres and GPSJohn D. Cook
• 14 Apr 2026Epistemic Virtues for Science in the Age of AutomationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 14 Apr 2026How to report a N=12 study?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 14 Apr 2026Finding a parabola through two points with given slopesJohn D. Cook
• 14 Apr 2026Smart people commenting on important thingsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 13 Apr 2026Claude and IMathematics and Computation
• 13 Apr 2026Reflection On Recursion • 3Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 13 Apr 2026Two countably compact subspaces of beta omegaDan Ma's Topology Blog
• 13 Apr 2026Mathematical minimalismJohn D. Cook
• 13 Apr 2026Unusual uses of OEIS sequences on GitHubMath ∩ Programming
• 13 Apr 2026Which beliefs are considered acceptable and which are not?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 13 Apr 2026We can all agree: spaceflight is cool.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 13 Apr 2026Canus AcademicusThe Renaissance Mathematicus
• 13 Apr 2026How I learned to stop worrying and…no, I’ve always adored entropyQuantum Frontiers
• 12 Apr 2026Lunar period approximationsJohn D. Cook
• 12 Apr 2026A Simple Switch Makes Code DifferentiableA Neighborhood of Infinity
• 12 Apr 2026Sprouts 2026 AfterthoughtsCombinatorial Game Theory
• 12 Apr 2026Sprouts 2026 SummariesCombinatorial Game Theory
• 12 Apr 2026All graphs are comparisons, and the relevance of this principle to practical advice for producing better graphsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 12 Apr 2026The gap between Eastern and Western EasterJohn D. Cook
• 11 Apr 2026Fantastic week in Beijing and Hong KongFreakonometrics
• 11 Apr 2026“The FTC does not have our backs, that much is clear”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 11 Apr 2026FeldsparsAzimuth
• 11 Apr 2026Here’s a story from Australia: There were so many problems with the survey that the government didn’t release the data.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 11 Apr 2026No point-countable pi-bases in Stone-Cech remainder of the integersDan Ma's Topology Blog
• 10 Apr 2026Three books, no toastLogic Matters
• 10 Apr 2026Distribution of digits in fractionsJohn D. Cook
• 10 Apr 2026The internet of poopStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 10 Apr 2026You thought I was joking about the Iran War going so badly that Trump would start bringing up Epstein as a distraction.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 10 Apr 2026Unleashing the Advantage of Quantum AIQuantum Frontiers
• 10 Apr 2026Afterthoughs on Banach Tarski and the Miracle of loaves and FishesComputational Complexity
• 09 Apr 2026The Great Pyramid of Giza and the Speed of LightJohn D. Cook
• 09 Apr 2026Random hexagon fractalJohn D. Cook
• 09 Apr 2026Reflection On Recursion • 2Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 09 Apr 2026Faut-il socialiser les risques ou responsabiliser les territoires ?Freakonometrics
• 09 Apr 2026The OEIS meta sequence and subway stationsMath ∩ Programming
• 09 Apr 2026An application for training deep learning models in your browserStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 09 Apr 2026If podcasts are your thing and you have any interest in the business of AI...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 09 Apr 2026Root prime gapJohn D. Cook
• 08 Apr 2026A Three- and a Four- Body ProblemJohn D. Cook
• 08 Apr 2026On my way to the University of Hong Kong (HKU , 香港大學)Freakonometrics
• 08 Apr 2026Updike in TehranStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 08 Apr 2026Futurism should be careful. Gawker also criticized the NYT and learned that the gray lady doesn't take kindly to that sort of thing.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 08 Apr 2026From τὰ φυσικά (ta physika) to physics – LXIIIThe Renaissance Mathematicus
• 07 Apr 2026Survey Statistics: improving with structureStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 07 Apr 2026My talk at Stanford later this month: “What to do when your estimate is 1 standard error away from 0?”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 07 Apr 2026Deterministic Primality Testing for Limited Bit WidthMath ∩ Programming
• 07 Apr 2026Whatever they paid Goldsmith, it wasn't enough; whatever they paid Bricusse, it was too muchWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 07 Apr 2026Before we start on quantumShtetl-Optimized
• 07 Apr 2026Toffoli gates are all you needJohn D. Cook
• 07 Apr 2026Packing versus covering binary matroid minorsThe Matroid Union
• 07 Apr 2026EM-DAT, the world's disaster memory, is at riskStats and R
• 06 Apr 2026Partial functions and Church’s ThesisLogic Matters
• 06 Apr 2026G-delta sets in Stone-Cech remainder of the integersDan Ma's Topology Blog
• 06 Apr 2026Reflection On Recursion • 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 06 Apr 2026My (uninformed and completely speculative) theory about Jeff Bezos and the Washington PostStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 06 Apr 2026Never a good sign for journalistic objectivity when the reporter says "Wow"West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 06 Apr 2026The Latin squarePeter Cameron's Blog
• 06 Apr 2026Thoughts on Marcel ProustHydrobates
• 05 Apr 2026HIPAA compliant AIJohn D. Cook
• 05 Apr 2026Fun Little SolutionsComputational Complexity
• 05 Apr 2026How do political organizations and politically-minded rich people translate money into media influence? Differently than they used to.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 05 Apr 2026On my way to Tsinghua (清华大学), BeijingFreakonometrics
• 04 Apr 2026The spectrum of consistency strengths for membership in a computably enumerable set, Notre Dame Logic Seminar, April 2026Joel David Hamkins
• 04 Apr 2026A dice game of the Arapaho Indians as a coin-tossing gameYet Another Mathblog
• 04 Apr 2026Kalman and Bayes average gradesJohn D. Cook
• 04 Apr 2026Campus newspapers and what remains of journalismStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 03 Apr 2026Roman moon, Greek moonJohn D. Cook
• 03 Apr 2026I love the library–you never know what you’re gonna find there.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 03 Apr 2026Probably even worse than you realizedWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 03 Apr 2026Polymath News and AIThe polymath blog
• 03 Apr 2026Polymath Plus AICombinatorics and more
• 03 Apr 2026Hyperbolic version of Napier’s mnemonicJohn D. Cook
• 02 Apr 2026Artemis II, Apollo 8, and Apollo 13John D. Cook
• 02 Apr 2026Great expectationsLogic Matters
• 02 Apr 2026The Double Taco -- updatedWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 02 Apr 2026The Prince and his mathematical practitionersThe Renaissance Mathematicus
• 02 Apr 2026Is your model converging?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 01 Apr 2026This eight-year-old is charismatic. He’s gregarious. He’s somewhat peculiar, yeah. But all interesting people are.Geometry Bulletin Board
• 01 Apr 2026Quantum computing bombshells that are not April FoolsShtetl-Optimized
• 01 Apr 2026H-trees are not trees11011110
• 01 Apr 2026Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge cover: 30 years agoError Statistics Philosophy
• 01 Apr 2026Shameless plug alert: Win prizes by forecasting real healthcare data to help UK’s health service save livesStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 01 Apr 2026beta omega as a space of ultrafiltersDan Ma's Topology Blog
• 01 Apr 2026Pentagonal numbers are truncated triangular numbersJohn D. Cook
• 01 Apr 2026Hey! Here’s a great money making opportunity using the lottery. And it’s endorsed by Google, Apple, Yahoo, Morningstar, and Microsoft!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 01 Apr 2026I helped the Pope's with his latest Encyclical (His Math Background Helped)Computational Complexity
• 01 Apr 2026I know I said this before, but this is the last one, I promise.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 01 Apr 2026ICM in PhiladelphiaPeter Cameron's Blog
• 01 Apr 2026The Irrational Decision—A Book ReviewMath ∩ Programming
• 31 Mar 2026Survey Statistics: design-based cross validation (dCV)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 31 Mar 2026Black and white, gray and in between: What color is the media?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 31 Mar 2026Linkage11011110
• 31 Mar 2026Products of consecutive integers with unusual anatomyWhat's new
• 31 Mar 2026Products of consecutive integers with unusual anatomyWhat's new
• 31 Mar 2026The point of yesterday’s post on the three ways of attacking a statistical problemStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 31 Mar 2026"Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in!"West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 31 Mar 2026Looking for a postdoc to teach and develop Bayesian methodsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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