• 14 Jul 2026Currie Cup Predictions for Round 1Stats Chat
• 14 Jul 2026A paper diagram visualizerWhat's new
• 14 Jul 2026A paper diagram visualizerWhat's new
• 14 Jul 2026NRL Predictions for Round 20Stats Chat
• 14 Jul 2026AFL Predictions for Week 20Stats Chat
• 13 Jul 2026Nature’s beach booksXi'an's Og
• 13 Jul 2026It’s all about the nonlinearity: An interesting statistical example of flaws in a voter impact indexStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 13 Jul 2026It’s 2030 and we fucked up. How did it happen?Windows On Theory
• 13 Jul 2026A not-so-done dealWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 13 Jul 2026A random variable visualizerWhat's new
• 13 Jul 2026A random variable visualizerWhat's new
• 13 Jul 2026Cubic 4-folds: special cubic fourfolds and their K3 surfacesPieter Belmans
• 12 Jul 20262... 1/2 THEN 3... 1/6 THEN 5 ....1/15 and so on. And So On?Computational Complexity
• 12 Jul 2026Nature tidbits [18 June]Xi'an's Og
• 12 Jul 2026Posterior varianceJohn D. Cook
• 12 Jul 2026Posterior meanJohn D. Cook
• 12 Jul 2026“Archaeology can’t give social scientists population or GDP, but here are some things we can measure that might be useful for social science.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 12 Jul 2026le superficie algebriche: a table and more surfacesPieter Belmans
• 11 Jul 2026Old and new apps, via modern coding agentsWhat's new
• 11 Jul 2026Old and new apps, via modern coding agentsWhat's new
• 11 Jul 2026a journal of the Hugo year (bis)Xi'an's Og
• 11 Jul 2026Progress on Gilbreath’s conjectureJohn D. Cook
• 11 Jul 2026Held Prize call for nominations (+ call for postdocs)Shtetl-Optimized
• 11 Jul 2026Gilbreath’s conjecture: a Cramér random model and a deterministic analysisWhat's new
• 11 Jul 2026Gilbreath’s conjecture: a Cramér random model and a deterministic analysisWhat's new
• 11 Jul 2026[Undefined]Samuel Coskey
• 11 Jul 2026“More bad science from JAMA”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 10 Jul 2026Starting to understand epsilon-zeroThe Universe of Discourse
• 10 Jul 2026Trump goes to war against… randomization!Xi'an's Og
• 10 Jul 2026Making AI smarter with AIMathematics and Computation
• 10 Jul 2026Announcing BQP Partners: my and my brother’s new angel-investing ventureShtetl-Optimized
• 10 Jul 202618 Associate Editors resign from Statistics and Computing editorial board: Problems with commercial scholarly publishing, and what does this all mean?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 10 Jul 2026… five years later …Area777
• 10 Jul 2026A lack of qualifications is not a qualification and other thoughts on PlatnerWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 10 Jul 2026DOIs for my websitesPieter Belmans
• 09 Jul 2026Resigning from the editorial board of Statistics & Computing [reposted]Xi'an's Og
• 09 Jul 2026Resources for Intro-Level Graduate CoursesMath3ma
• 09 Jul 2026“A medical journal says the case reports it has published for 25 years are, in fact, fiction”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 09 Jul 2026Wither/Whither the ACMComputational Complexity
• 09 Jul 2026A concession to Mark about outsider candidatesWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 09 Jul 2026Take it to the limit one more time – a history of calculus IThe Renaissance Mathematicus
• 09 Jul 2026Mgnbar.info: two new layersPieter Belmans
• 08 Jul 2026“too dangerous to release” [a correct prediction]Xi'an's Og
• 08 Jul 2026AI vs Math – will it enhance it or ruin it for mathematiciansBeni Bogoşel's blog
• 08 Jul 2026Monotone convergence for bounded self-adjoint operatorsOpen System – Ark's blog
• 08 Jul 2026Is fabricating data worse than fabricating results? Is failing to correct a known false report more or less serious than making the false report in the first place?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 08 Jul 2026I probably should have worked in a Matrix referenceWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 08 Jul 2026Optimal Transport for Actuarial Science (lecture notes)Freakonometrics
• 08 Jul 2026Marcel Scherer resolves the Smith-Ward problem!Noncommutative Analysis
• 08 Jul 2026Survey Statistics: toy example for energy balancing weightsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 08 Jul 2026New paper: Brauer groups of resolved quiver moduli via gerbesPieter Belmans
• 07 Jul 2026Information Geometry, Privacy and Monte Carlo workshop, ISM, 6-7 July 2026Xi'an's Og
• 07 Jul 2026Claude builds 3D Hamiltonian Monte Carlo animation in one shot with anaglyphsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 07 Jul 2026Packing Latin squares into sudoku puzzles11011110
• 07 Jul 2026Task Design for Achieving Implicitly Stated GoalsMegan Hayes-Golding
• 07 Jul 2026persuasive privacy at ICML 2026Xi'an's Og
• 07 Jul 2026A message for Carol TavrisStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 07 Jul 2026The idea of approaching tech narratives as folklore actually works better than it did eight years ago.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 07 Jul 2026NRL Predictions for Round 19Stats Chat
• 07 Jul 2026AFL Predictions for Week 19Stats Chat
• 07 Jul 2026On the contingent contingency of V = HOD and independence over the maximality principles, Fudan University, Shanghai, July 2026Joel David Hamkins
• 06 Jul 2026Matroid varietiesThe Matroid Union
• 06 Jul 2026Extreme cases of clickbait!Computational Complexity
• 06 Jul 2026Reproducing a geometry theorem diagramJohn D. Cook
• 06 Jul 2026Turning chaotic sensitivity from a bug into a feature: Using physical modeling and deep learning to alter the paths of storms and mitigate extreme weather eventsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 06 Jul 2026e approximationJohn D. Cook
• 06 Jul 2026AI doomsters and Dial F for FrankensteinWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 05 Jul 2026Information Geometry, Privacy and Monte Carlo workshop, ISM, 4-5 July 2026Xi'an's Og
• 05 Jul 2026The NIH wants to “Measure and Reward Scientific Impact and Replicable Research Practices.” Here’s my recommendation to the NIH director: you can start by no longer suppressing government reports whose conclusions happen to not be in accord with your ideological preferences.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 05 Jul 2026What I’m reading: Summer 2026 editionLaura Albert's Punk Rock Operations Research
• 04 Jul 2026ISBA⁶Xi'an's Og
• 04 Jul 2026Happy 250th!Shtetl-Optimized
• 04 Jul 2026Functoriality of the Borel Functional Calculus and Pushforward of Spectral MeasuresOpen System – Ark's blog
• 04 Jul 20262015-vintage replication-crisis-era junk science floats into the newsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 04 Jul 2026Does additional data always reduce posterior variance?John D. Cook
• 03 Jul 2026A digestion of unit distance constructionsWhat's new
• 03 Jul 2026A digestion of unit distance constructionsWhat's new
• 03 Jul 2026A new episode in the Francesca Gino caseStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 03 Jul 2026Patrick Boyle on the anniversary of BrexitWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 03 Jul 2026Spectral integrals and a first taste of functional calculusOpen System – Ark's blog
• 03 Jul 2026Congratulations Dr. Gianni Petrella!Pieter Belmans
• 02 Jul 2026The Ramanujan Challenge for AICombinatorics and more
• 02 Jul 2026An American privacy emergency: Guest post from Cynthia Dwork et al.Shtetl-Optimized
• 02 Jul 2026Excel ANOVA Format in ROR in an OB World
• 02 Jul 2026The high cost of split R-hatStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 02 Jul 2026Guess who’s getting the big-money donations in the Maine U.S. Senate race?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 02 Jul 2026Conference announcement: Celebrating 100 Years: Avi 70 + CSDM 30Theory Matters
• 02 Jul 2026Peter Thiel's moments of honesty are largely limited to him saying bitchy things about Elon MuskWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 02 Jul 2026Just some guy with a blogThe Renaissance Mathematicus
• 02 Jul 2026Fanography is now a static website (and other improvements)Pieter Belmans
• 01 Jul 2026The True MethodComputational Complexity
• 01 Jul 2026Chaos on surfaces and beyondJérôme Buzzi’s
• 01 Jul 2026The optimizer’s curseStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 01 Jul 2026Postdoctoral Research Position in Finite Geometry and Ramsey TheorySymOmega
• 01 Jul 2026“It really seems like anyone with some renders and a white paper written by someone being gassed up by an overly agreeable AI can get VC funding these days,”West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 01 Jul 2026DNA Sequence Alignment and KingsJohn D. Cook
• 01 Jul 2026The Mori–Mukai determinantPieter Belmans
• 30 Jun 2026Survey Statistics: Big Changes in the Times/Siena PollStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 30 Jun 2026Distinguishing variables from parametersJohn D. Cook
• 30 Jun 2026Beachhenge linkage11011110
• 30 Jun 2026Silver Rectangles and the Ways of KingsJohn D. Cook
• 30 Jun 2026OK, I guess Lawrence “Epstein” Krauss didn’t follow his brother’s advice.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 30 Jun 2026Precarious TimesWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 30 Jun 2026Celebrating 100 Years: Avi 70 + CSDM 30 (June 14-18, 2027)Windows On Theory
• 30 Jun 2026notationnLab
• 30 Jun 2026Derivative equals inverseJohn D. Cook
• 29 Jun 2026NRL Predictions for Round 18Stats Chat
• 29 Jun 2026AFL Predictions for Week 18Stats Chat
• 29 Jun 2026Cheapskate evolutionary biologist underpays his statistical helpStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 29 Jun 2026Who you gonna believe: Grok or the docs?John D. Cook
• 29 Jun 2026If only we had effective, efficient technology to deal with these crisesWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 29 Jun 2026Spreading the Gospel of Theoretical Computer Science to an Omega(1) Fraction of Humanity: My Trevisan Award Acceptance Speech at STOCShtetl-Optimized
• 29 Jun 2026The physicists of FlorenceQuantum Frontiers
• 28 Jun 2026Separation axioms that are inverse invariant under perfect mapsDan Ma's Topology Blog
• 28 Jun 2026Guest Post by Peter Brass on the new NSF guidelinesComputational Complexity
• 28 Jun 2026Separation axioms that are invariant under perfect mapsDan Ma's Topology Blog
• 28 Jun 202650 Years of Aumann’s Agreement TheoremShtetl-Optimized
• 28 Jun 2026The Anthropic Principle in Statistics and Science (my talk this Mon 29 June, 4:20pm London time)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 28 Jun 2026Brace expansion treeJohn D. Cook
• 27 Jun 2026When will the decimals in a/b repeat?John D. Cook
• 27 Jun 2026A counterexample for Steiner triangulation11011110
• 27 Jun 2026Bayesian Workflow exists as a physical book!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 27 Jun 2026Out of the frying pan and into the fire: Scientific American returned to form, and then this happened:Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 27 Jun 2026It's our language now!The Universe of Discourse
• 27 Jun 2026Height of harmonic numbersJohn D. Cook
• 27 Jun 2026I owe my life to a 1913 road rage incidentThe Universe of Discourse
• 27 Jun 2026Writing down harmonic numbersJohn D. Cook
• 27 Jun 2026My latest re-Cognize post…Mathematics Rising
• 26 Jun 2026“Springer Nature has removed two studies by Max Planck.”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 26 Jun 2026From the Old AbbeyPeter Cameron's Blog
• 26 Jun 2026Supplement that alphabetized display with another graph showing the states in a more informative order.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 26 Jun 2026Another one of those stories that we really need Patrick Boyle for.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 26 Jun 2026Scientific and Mathematical Instruments in the Early Modern PeriodThe Renaissance Mathematicus
• 25 Jun 2026Hart’s theoremJohn D. Cook
• 25 Jun 2026Structural equation modeling (SEM) and positive definitenessStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 25 Jun 2026Incircles and Excircles of Pythagorean trianglesJohn D. Cook
• 25 Jun 2026Getting justice can require a lot of effort, and usually at some point we’ll just give up, which is what the cheaters rely on.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 25 Jun 2026Consecutive Pythagorean triangle sidesJohn D. Cook
• 25 Jun 2026NBC Blue was known for playing the uncensored version of Fibber McGee and Molly*West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 25 Jun 2026The ZoneComputational Complexity
• 25 Jun 2026The price of proof: insurance policies for an AI-enabled worldFreakonometrics
• 25 Jun 2026Spectral family and resolution of the identityOpen System – Ark's blog
• 25 Jun 2026The Star Trek lemmaJohn D. Cook
• 24 Jun 2026Treating AI review like the contentious policy design problem it isStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 24 Jun 2026“Howard Lutnick gives top Cantor Fitzgerald jobs to his sons Brandon and Kyle” is a very clean example of meritocracy.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 24 Jun 2026I've been waiting years for a good feral pig story so I would have an excuse to use these two quotes.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 24 Jun 2026To select or not to select?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 24 Jun 2026Announcement: CFP Synthese Topical Collection:  Severity and Learning from ErrorError Statistics Philosophy
• 24 Jun 2026Regular expressions that work “everywhere”John D. Cook
• 23 Jun 2026Deciphering basmalaThe Universe of Discourse
• 23 Jun 2026Survey Statistics: perfect collinearity in the sample but not in the populationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 23 Jun 2026Ceramic orthogonal polyhedra11011110
• 23 Jun 2026My response to the White House executive order on QCShtetl-Optimized
• 23 Jun 2026Mind-body healing: An exchange.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 23 Jun 2026Newport is also the guy who suggested that Anthropic deserved the Nobel Prize in marketing for the Anthropic launchWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 23 Jun 2026NRL Predictions for Round 17Stats Chat
• 23 Jun 2026AFL Predictions for Week 17Stats Chat
• 23 Jun 202629th International Congress on Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 서울, June 2026Freakonometrics
• 23 Jun 2026Golems, auditors, and AIStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 22 Jun 2026Workshop on Rethinking the Role of Bayesianism in the Age of Modern AIStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 22 Jun 2026Lobachevsky’s integral formulaJohn D. Cook
• 22 Jun 2026Bipartite matching is in NC!Shtetl-Optimized
• 22 Jun 2026The new rule in economics: One star is p < 0.20, two stars is a set of steak knives, three stars is you're fired.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 22 Jun 2026Normal forms of dynamical systemsHydrobates
• 22 Jun 2026The New Result on Off-diagonal Ramsey NumbersComputational Complexity
• 22 Jun 2026The original Cushing oil boom was started in 1912 by a man actually named Tom Slick. Not relevant to the post but I had to mention it.West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 22 Jun 2026Matching in NC and Local EventsCombinatorics and more
• 22 Jun 2026Queens on a prime order boardJohn D. Cook
• 21 Jun 2026Online haters in the low-budget literary bizStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 20 Jun 2026All pieces on a 6 by 5 boardJohn D. Cook
• 20 Jun 2026A conflict of visions by Thomas SowellHydrobates
• 20 Jun 2026Information = Comprehension × Extension • Selection 1Inquiry Into Inquiry
• 20 Jun 2026A tool for learning about Fourier transformsStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 20 Jun 2026Five Eras in the Evolution of Probability and StatisticsStats With Cats Blog
• 20 Jun 2026Set-theoretic mereology as a foundation of mathematics? Shandong University, Workshop on Mereology, China, June 2026Joel David Hamkins
• 20 Jun 2026Never trust a T-RexShtetl-Optimized
• 19 Jun 2026Gray Davis, Grover Norquist, and a rabbi walk into Peter Thiel’s Dialog conference . . . and get no press coverage!Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 19 Jun 2026Parting shots -- following up on some recent threadsWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 18 Jun 2026My 1992 view of the problems of computer programming in 1992The Universe of Discourse
• 18 Jun 2026LLM-generated Stan case study on Galileo’s inclined plane experimentStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 18 Jun 2026A sensational Ramsey breakthrough by Domagoj Bradač (reblogged from Sam Mattheus’ blog)Combinatorics and more
• 18 Jun 2026Gambling provides a gentle rocking of the emotions to put you in a pleasant baby-like stateStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 18 Jun 20261999 ADWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 18 Jun 2026reCognize+ Issue 01Mathematics Rising
• 18 Jun 2026Egyptian fraction multiplicationThe Universe of Discourse
• 17 Jun 2026Impossible patterns of sphere tangencies11011110
• 17 Jun 2026The Tech of Silk RoadComputational Complexity
• 17 Jun 2026Formalizing a ring theorem with Lean 4 and ClaudeJohn D. Cook
• 17 Jun 2026Elmore Leonard.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 17 Jun 2026Mais on cherchait le même portSince it is not …
• 17 Jun 2026Question for the MBAs in the audience, is losiing $21 billion a year bad?West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 17 Jun 2026controllability and observabilitynLab
• 17 Jun 2026Square root lemmaOpen System – Ark's blog
• 17 Jun 2026R wins statistics award.Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 17 Jun 2026Call for workshop proposals: FOCS 2026Windows On Theory
• 16 Jun 2026Call for invited session proposals for the upcoming BayesComp conferenceStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 16 Jun 2026Survey Statistics: using MRP in later analyses (pride edition)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 16 Jun 2026Launching Version 15 of Wolfram Language & Mathematica: Built-in (Useful) AI & Lots of New Core FunctionalityStephen Wolfram Writings
• 16 Jun 2026Partial fraction decompositionJohn D. Cook
• 16 Jun 2026Third SAIR competition: inverse Galois challengeWhat's new
• 16 Jun 2026Third SAIR competition: inverse Galois challengeWhat's new
• 16 Jun 2026Octonions and the Standard ModelAzimuth
• 16 Jun 2026Information = Comprehension × Extension • PreambleInquiry Into Inquiry
• 16 Jun 2026The New York Knicks and the martingale property of calibrated probability forecasts (with some simulation and R code)Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 16 Jun 2026If you're going to do a post on index funds...West Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 16 Jun 2026Three examples sufficeJohn D. Cook
• 16 Jun 2026Top 14 Predictions for the Semi-finalsStats Chat
• 15 Jun 2026Testing pentagonal numbersJohn D. Cook
• 15 Jun 2026Ph.D. student opening in Sweden on Earth Observation, Data Science, and AI for poverty estimationStatistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 15 Jun 2026Quaternion Rotations, Claude, and LeanJohn D. Cook
• 15 Jun 2026Writing Prolog with ChatGPTJohn D. Cook
• 15 Jun 2026Linkage11011110
• 15 Jun 2026Publication: Minicourse on the entropic continuity of Lyapunov ExponentsJérôme Buzzi’s
• 15 Jun 2026Capitalism: On its last legs or healthy enough to be milked?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 15 Jun 2026Paul Krugman has the perfect metaphor for the career of Elon MuskWest Coast Stat Views (on Observational Epidemiology and more)
• 15 Jun 2026Breakthrough bounds on the universal dilation constant by Ian ThompsonNoncommutative Analysis
• 15 Jun 2026mnemonic devices and pangrams that could be real sentencesComputational Complexity
• 14 Jun 2026Women in ForecastingHyndsight
• 14 Jun 2026“Are prediction markets causing more harm than good?”Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 13 Jun 2026Update: Here I am at the Sagrada FamíliaThe Universe of Discourse
• 13 Jun 2026The "fable" of Anthropic and the USGThe Geomblog
• 13 Jun 2026RSA munitions T-shirtJohn D. Cook
• 13 Jun 2026Congratulations, Dr. Sridhar!11011110
• 13 Jun 2026To what extent is it true that “All intelligence, human or artificial, must extract structure from correlational data”?Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
• 13 Jun 2026Icon, Likeness, Likely Story, Likelihood, Probability • 4Inquiry Into Inquiry

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